NYSE$ROK

Rockwell Automation Inc · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Rockwell Automation reported Q4 2021 earnings with increased sales and adjusted EPS, but a decrease in net income due to fair-value adjustments.

Rockwell Automation reported a 15.1% increase in fourth-quarter sales, reaching $1,807.8 million. Adjusted EPS rose by 20.7% to $2.33, while diluted EPS was $0.67. The company introduced fiscal year 2022 guidance, projecting sales growth of 16% - 19% and adjusted EPS of $10.50 - $11.10.

  • Record quarterly orders of $2.2 billion, up over 40% year over year.
  • Fourth quarter reported sales up 15.1% year over year; organic sales up 12.6% year over year.
  • Fourth quarter diluted EPS $0.67; Adjusted EPS $2.33.
  • Organic ARR grew 18%; total ARR now over 8% of revenue.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.81B

Previous: $1.57B+15.2%
EPS (adj)

$2.33

Previous: $1.87+24.6%
Pre-Tax Margin

0.2%

Previous: 19.1%-99.0%
Segment Operating Margin

17.9%

Previous: 20.2%-11.4%
Effective Tax Rate

-1634.9%

Previous: 12.0%-13724.2%
Capital Expenditures

$43.7M

Previous: $22M+98.6%
Free Cash Flow

$160M

Previous: $304M-47.2%
Net Income

$74.6M

Previous: $264M-71.7%
Operating Income

$4.3M

Previous: $300M-98.6%
Gross Profit

$719M

Previous: $639M+12.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$662M

Previous: $705M-6.0%
Total Assets

$10.7B

Previous: $7.26B+47.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$13.8M

Previous: $11.4M+21.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Rockwell Automation · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.81B

Q4 2021+15.2%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Rockwell Automation · $1.31B total across 2 segments · Q4 2021

  • Intelligent Devices
    $857M+22.0%
  • Lifecycle Services
    $457M

Forward guidance

Rockwell Automation introduced fiscal 2022 guidance, projecting reported sales growth of 16% - 19% ($8.2 billion at mid-point) and organic sales growth of 14% - 17%. Diluted EPS is expected to be $9.91 - $10.51, and Adjusted EPS is projected at $10.50 - $11.10.

Tailwinds

  • Strong demand
  • Record backlog entering into fiscal year 2022
  • Sales expected to exceed $8B as component supply improves
  • Major new product introductions
  • Recent acquisitions will fuel continued orders growth globally across all industry segments

Headwinds

  • Supply chain challenges remain dynamic
  • Projections assume gradual improvement over the course of the year
  • Diluted EPS $9.91 - $10.51
  • Adjusted EPS $10.50 - $11.10
  • Effective tax rate ~ 16.5%

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

32 / 73 earnings

Positive

+12.7%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-14.4%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+4.6%+13.2%+14.4%
Q1 2026-5.4%-4.0%-14.0%
Q4 2025+2.8%+8.1%+11.5%
Q3 2025-5.0%-4.7%-1.8%
Q2 2025+12.0%+18.5%+28.2%
Q1 2025+12.6%+9.7%-2.4%
Q4 2024-7.4%-5.5%+0.5%
Q3 2024+3.3%+0.9%+2.0%
Q2 2024-1.4%-1.4%-8.0%
Q1 2024-14.4%-13.3%-5.9%
Q4 2023-1.2%-3.7%+5.4%
Q3 2023-9.5%-11.1%-7.2%
Q2 2023+4.7%+3.1%+5.8%
Q1 2023+3.0%+1.4%+4.4%
Q4 2022-5.0%-1.9%+3.8%
Q3 2022+12.7%+15.1%+8.0%
Q2 2022-11.1%-14.2%-12.0%
Q1 2022-4.5%-2.7%-9.6%
Q4 2021+6.1%+6.0%+7.4%
Q3 2021+0.5%+3.2%+7.4%
Q2 2021-0.3%-2.8%-1.8%
Q1 2021-7.6%-4.7%-6.3%
Q4 2020-4.9%-5.9%-3.1%
Q3 2020-3.5%-4.7%+1.3%
Q2 2020+8.4%+0.8%+19.1%
Q1 2020-0.9%-1.1%-6.7%
Q4 2019+10.5%+11.8%+14.7%
Q3 2019-2.5%-2.1%-12.4%
Q2 2019-5.5%-4.3%-18.1%
Q1 2019+5.3%+3.5%+9.4%
Q4 2018-2.7%-6.3%-8.8%
Q3 2018+8.0%+7.2%+2.7%
Q2 2018+2.0%+1.6%+9.9%
Q1 2018-2.4%-2.4%-9.4%
Q4 2017-5.5%-4.1%-4.0%
Q3 2017+1.1%+1.2%-2.1%
Q2 2017-0.5%-2.3%-0.5%
Q1 2017+7.7%+5.1%+6.4%
Q4 2016+6.4%+12.0%+18.2%
Q3 2016-3.7%-5.5%-2.3%
Q2 2016-1.4%
Q1 2016-1.4%
Q4 2015-3.6%
Q3 2015-1.8%
Q2 2015+7.9%
Q1 2015+2.6%
Q4 2014-4.2%
Q3 2014-6.9%
Q2 2014-4.3%
Q1 2014+0.1%
Q4 2013+2.5%
Q3 2013+7.0%
Q2 2013+2.1%
Q1 2013-0.8%
Q4 2012+4.5%
Q3 2012-0.5%
Q2 2012+0.1%
Q1 2012-5.1%
Q4 2011-0.3%
Q3 2011-11.8%
Q2 2011+2.0%
Q1 2011+4.5%
Q4 2010+3.8%
Q3 2010+0.4%
Q2 2010-4.3%
Q1 2009+2.0%
Q1 2010+1.2%
Q2 2009-1.3%
Q4 2009-1.3%
Q4 2007-1.3%
Q3 2009-1.3%
Q3 2008-1.3%
Q4 2008-1.3%

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