NYSE$ROK

Rockwell Automation Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Rockwell Automation's Q1 2023 earnings exceeded expectations due to strong execution and focus on supply chain resilience, with double-digit earnings growth year-over-year.

Rockwell Automation reported a 6.7% increase in sales to $1,981 million, with organic sales up 9.9%. Diluted EPS increased by 61% to $3.31, and adjusted EPS rose by 15% to $2.46. The company updated its fiscal 2023 sales and EPS guidance, reflecting strong Q1 performance and a gradually improving supply chain environment.

  • Reported sales increased by 6.7% year-over-year, with organic sales up 9.9%.
  • Currency translation reduced sales by 4.0%, while acquisitions contributed 0.8%.
  • Organic ARR grew by 14%.
  • Diluted EPS was $3.31, and adjusted EPS was $2.46, representing increases of 61% and 15% year-over-year, respectively.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.98B

Previous: $1.86B+6.7%
EPS (adj)

$2.46

Previous: $2.14+15.0%
Pre-Tax Margin

23.6%

Previous: 15.2%+55.3%
Segment Operating Margin

20.2%

Previous: 19.1%+5.8%
Effective Tax Rate

19.1%

Previous: 15.4%+24.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$24.2M

Previous: -$37.1M+34.8%
Free Cash Flow

$360M

Previous: $204M+76.0%
Net Income

$384M

Previous: $242M+59.0%
Operating Income

$316M

Previous: $345M-8.2%
Gross Profit

$814M

Previous: $749M+8.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$460M

Previous: $540M-14.8%
Total Assets

$11.1B

Previous: $10.7B+3.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$18.4M

Previous: $15.5M+18.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Rockwell Automation · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.98B

Q1 2023+6.7%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Rockwell Automation · $1.41B total across 2 segments · Q1 2023

  • Intelligent Devices
    $936M+4.0%
  • Lifecycle Services
    $472M+6.5%

Forward guidance

Rockwell Automation updated its fiscal year 2023 guidance, reflecting first quarter performance and record backlog, assuming a gradually improving supply chain environment.

Tailwinds

  • Reported sales growth updated to 10.0% - 14.0%.
  • Organic sales growth updated to 11.0% - 15.0%.
  • Inorganic sales growth remains at approximately 1.0%.
  • Diluted EPS guidance updated to $10.99 - $11.79.
  • Adjusted EPS guidance updated to $10.70 - $11.50.

Headwinds

  • Currency translation is expected to reduce sales by approximately (2.0)%.
  • The guidance is based on the assumption of a gradually improving supply chain environment, which may not materialize.
  • Actual results may be affected by various risks and uncertainties, including macroeconomic factors, component availability, and geopolitical issues.
  • The company's ability to achieve the expected benefits of strategic transactions could impact future performance.
  • Changes in laws, regulations, and governmental policies could also affect the company's results.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

32 / 73 earnings

Positive

+12.7%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-14.4%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+4.6%+13.2%+14.4%
Q1 2026-5.4%-4.0%-14.0%
Q4 2025+2.8%+8.1%+11.5%
Q3 2025-5.0%-4.7%-1.8%
Q2 2025+12.0%+18.5%+28.2%
Q1 2025+12.6%+9.7%-2.4%
Q4 2024-7.4%-5.5%+0.5%
Q3 2024+3.3%+0.9%+2.0%
Q2 2024-1.4%-1.4%-8.0%
Q1 2024-14.4%-13.3%-5.9%
Q4 2023-1.2%-3.7%+5.4%
Q3 2023-9.5%-11.1%-7.2%
Q2 2023+4.7%+3.1%+5.8%
Q1 2023+3.0%+1.4%+4.4%
Q4 2022-5.0%-1.9%+3.8%
Q3 2022+12.7%+15.1%+8.0%
Q2 2022-11.1%-14.2%-12.0%
Q1 2022-4.5%-2.7%-9.6%
Q4 2021+6.1%+6.0%+7.4%
Q3 2021+0.5%+3.2%+7.4%
Q2 2021-0.3%-2.8%-1.8%
Q1 2021-7.6%-4.7%-6.3%
Q4 2020-4.9%-5.9%-3.1%
Q3 2020-3.5%-4.7%+1.3%
Q2 2020+8.4%+0.8%+19.1%
Q1 2020-0.9%-1.1%-6.7%
Q4 2019+10.5%+11.8%+14.7%
Q3 2019-2.5%-2.1%-12.4%
Q2 2019-5.5%-4.3%-18.1%
Q1 2019+5.3%+3.5%+9.4%
Q4 2018-2.7%-6.3%-8.8%
Q3 2018+8.0%+7.2%+2.7%
Q2 2018+2.0%+1.6%+9.9%
Q1 2018-2.4%-2.4%-9.4%
Q4 2017-5.5%-4.1%-4.0%
Q3 2017+1.1%+1.2%-2.1%
Q2 2017-0.5%-2.3%-0.5%
Q1 2017+7.7%+5.1%+6.4%
Q4 2016+6.4%+12.0%+18.2%
Q3 2016-3.7%-5.5%-2.3%
Q2 2016-1.4%
Q1 2016-1.4%
Q4 2015-3.6%
Q3 2015-1.8%
Q2 2015+7.9%
Q1 2015+2.6%
Q4 2014-4.2%
Q3 2014-6.9%
Q2 2014-4.3%
Q1 2014+0.1%
Q4 2013+2.5%
Q3 2013+7.0%
Q2 2013+2.1%
Q1 2013-0.8%
Q4 2012+4.5%
Q3 2012-0.5%
Q2 2012+0.1%
Q1 2012-5.1%
Q4 2011-0.3%
Q3 2011-11.8%
Q2 2011+2.0%
Q1 2011+4.5%
Q4 2010+3.8%
Q3 2010+0.4%
Q2 2010-4.3%
Q1 2009+2.0%
Q1 2010+1.2%
Q2 2009-1.3%
Q4 2009-1.3%
Q4 2007-1.3%
Q3 2009-1.3%
Q3 2008-1.3%
Q4 2008-1.3%

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