NYSE$ROK

Rockwell Automation Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Rockwell Automation reported Q4 2020 results with sales decreasing year-over-year but increasing sequentially, and diluted EPS of $2.25.

Rockwell Automation reported a decrease in fourth-quarter sales by 9.3% year-over-year, but sales were up 12.6% sequentially. The diluted EPS was $2.25, and the adjusted EPS was $1.87. The company introduced fiscal 2021 EPS guidance with diluted EPS expected to be between $8.07 and $8.47, and adjusted EPS between $8.45 and $8.85.

  • Fourth quarter reported sales decreased 9.3% year-over-year, with organic sales down 12.1% year-over-year.
  • Fourth quarter reported sales increased 12.6% sequentially; organic sales increased 9.9% sequentially.
  • Fourth quarter diluted EPS was $2.25, and adjusted EPS was $1.87.
  • Introduced fiscal 2021 EPS guidance: Diluted EPS $8.07 - $8.47; Adjusted EPS $8.45 - $8.85 (new definition).

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.57B

Previous: $1.73B-9.2%
EPS (adj)

$1.87

Previous: $2.01-7.0%
Pre-Tax Margin

19.1%

Previous: 3.3%+478.8%
Segment Operating Margin

20.2%

Previous: 20.2%+0.0%
Effective Tax Rate

12.0%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$22M

Previous: $24.1M-8.7%
Free Cash Flow

$304M

Previous: $451M-32.6%
Net Income

$264M

Previous: $8.1M+3155.6%
Operating Income

$300M

No prior period
Gross Profit

$639M

Previous: $723M-11.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$705M

Previous: $1.02B-30.8%
Total Assets

$7.26B

Previous: $6.11B+18.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$11.4M

Previous: $10.6M+7.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Rockwell Automation · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.57B

Q4 2020-9.2%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Rockwell Automation · $703M total across 1 segment · Q4 2020

  • Intelligent Devices
    $703M

Forward guidance

Rockwell Automation provided fiscal year 2021 guidance, anticipating continued recovery and growth.

Tailwinds

  • Reported sales growth 6% - 9%
  • Organic sales growth 3.5% - 6.5%
  • Inorganic sales growth 1.0% - 1.5%
  • Currency translation ~ 1%
  • Diluted EPS $8.07 - $8.47

Headwinds

  • The COVID-19 pandemic and global efforts to respond to it continue to evolve.
  • Projections assume that a gradual recovery continues, with no increase in pandemic-related facility closures or disruptions to the supply chain.
  • Fiscal 2021 guidance excludes estimates of adjustments on a forward-looking basis due to variability, complexity, and limited visibility of these items.
  • Guidance is based on Adjusted Income attributable to Rockwell, which includes an adjustment for Schlumberger's non-controlling interest in Sensia.
  • There is no specific negative guidance mentioned in the provided text.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

32 / 73 earnings

Positive

+12.7%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-14.4%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+4.6%+13.2%+14.4%
Q1 2026-5.4%-4.0%-14.0%
Q4 2025+2.8%+8.1%+11.5%
Q3 2025-5.0%-4.7%-1.8%
Q2 2025+12.0%+18.5%+28.2%
Q1 2025+12.6%+9.7%-2.4%
Q4 2024-7.4%-5.5%+0.5%
Q3 2024+3.3%+0.9%+2.0%
Q2 2024-1.4%-1.4%-8.0%
Q1 2024-14.4%-13.3%-5.9%
Q4 2023-1.2%-3.7%+5.4%
Q3 2023-9.5%-11.1%-7.2%
Q2 2023+4.7%+3.1%+5.8%
Q1 2023+3.0%+1.4%+4.4%
Q4 2022-5.0%-1.9%+3.8%
Q3 2022+12.7%+15.1%+8.0%
Q2 2022-11.1%-14.2%-12.0%
Q1 2022-4.5%-2.7%-9.6%
Q4 2021+6.1%+6.0%+7.4%
Q3 2021+0.5%+3.2%+7.4%
Q2 2021-0.3%-2.8%-1.8%
Q1 2021-7.6%-4.7%-6.3%
Q4 2020-4.9%-5.9%-3.1%
Q3 2020-3.5%-4.7%+1.3%
Q2 2020+8.4%+0.8%+19.1%
Q1 2020-0.9%-1.1%-6.7%
Q4 2019+10.5%+11.8%+14.7%
Q3 2019-2.5%-2.1%-12.4%
Q2 2019-5.5%-4.3%-18.1%
Q1 2019+5.3%+3.5%+9.4%
Q4 2018-2.7%-6.3%-8.8%
Q3 2018+8.0%+7.2%+2.7%
Q2 2018+2.0%+1.6%+9.9%
Q1 2018-2.4%-2.4%-9.4%
Q4 2017-5.5%-4.1%-4.0%
Q3 2017+1.1%+1.2%-2.1%
Q2 2017-0.5%-2.3%-0.5%
Q1 2017+7.7%+5.1%+6.4%
Q4 2016+6.4%+12.0%+18.2%
Q3 2016-3.7%-5.5%-2.3%
Q2 2016-1.4%
Q1 2016-1.4%
Q4 2015-3.6%
Q3 2015-1.8%
Q2 2015+7.9%
Q1 2015+2.6%
Q4 2014-4.2%
Q3 2014-6.9%
Q2 2014-4.3%
Q1 2014+0.1%
Q4 2013+2.5%
Q3 2013+7.0%
Q2 2013+2.1%
Q1 2013-0.8%
Q4 2012+4.5%
Q3 2012-0.5%
Q2 2012+0.1%
Q1 2012-5.1%
Q4 2011-0.3%
Q3 2011-11.8%
Q2 2011+2.0%
Q1 2011+4.5%
Q4 2010+3.8%
Q3 2010+0.4%
Q2 2010-4.3%
Q1 2009+2.0%
Q1 2010+1.2%
Q2 2009-1.3%
Q4 2009-1.3%
Q4 2007-1.3%
Q3 2009-1.3%
Q3 2008-1.3%
Q4 2008-1.3%

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