NYSE$OLN

Olin Corp · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Olin's financial performance declined due to weaker customer demand and planned maintenance, but Winchester segment earnings improved.

Olin Corporation reported a net loss of $120.1 million for Q2 2020, a significant decrease compared to the net loss of $20.0 million in Q2 2019. Sales also decreased to $1,241.2 million from $1,592.9 million year-over-year. The decline was attributed to weaker customer demand in the Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls and Epoxy businesses, alongside planned maintenance activities. However, the Winchester segment experienced improved earnings due to higher commercial ammunition sales.

  • Olin Corporation reported a net loss of $120.1 million, or $0.76 per diluted share, for the second quarter of 2020.
  • Second quarter 2020 sales were $1,241.2 million, a decrease from $1,592.9 million in the second quarter 2019.
  • The Winchester business experienced year-over-year improvement in segment earnings due to elevated commercial ammunition demand.
  • Olin completed several refinancing actions to enhance liquidity and provide flexibility amidst current economic conditions.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.24B

Previous: $1.59B-22.1%
EPS (adj)

-$0.60

Previous: -$0.15-300.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$71.5M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$167M

Previous: -$191M+13.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$287M

Previous: -$211M-35.6%
Net Income

-$120M

Previous: -$20M-500.5%
Operating Income

-$95.8M

Previous: $28.5M-436.1%
Gross Profit

$5.5M

Previous: $129M-95.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$238M

Previous: $127M+87.5%
Total Assets

$8.98B

Previous: $9.24B-2.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.9M

Previous: $2M+95.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Olin · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.24B

Q2 2020-22.1%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Olin · $1.05B total across 2 segments · Q2 2020

  • Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls
    $651M-28.4%
  • Epoxy
    $397M-23.4%

Forward guidance

Olin expects improved sales volumes, higher product pricing and lower maintenance turnaround costs to generate a third quarter 2020 adjusted EBITDA that is more than double second quarter 2020 levels.

Tailwinds

  • Refinancing of high-cost bonds expected to reduce interest expense by approximately $30 million annually.
  • Winding down IT project to reduce annual spending by approximately $110 million.
  • New VCM contract expected to improve annual adjusted EBITDA by approximately $50 million to $75 million.
  • Winchester contract to operate Lake City ammunition facility expected to increase annual revenue by $450 million to $550 million.
  • Winchester contract to operate Lake City ammunition facility expected to improve annual adjusted EBITDA of $40 million to $50 million.

Headwinds

  • Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls businesses remain challenged by current economic conditions.
  • Epoxy businesses remain challenged by current economic conditions.
  • Visibility around future demand continues to be limited.
  • Customer order patterns remain volatile.
  • The combination of lower maintenance turnaround costs, improved sales volumes, and higher product pricing are forecast to generate a third quarter 2020 adjusted EBITDA that is more than double second quarter 2020 levels.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

-0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.7%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

29 / 67 earnings

Positive

+12.1%

Q4 2016

Best reaction

-15.7%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.4%+6.2%-8.2%
Q4 2025-6.8%+13.9%+13.6%
Q3 2025-12.5%-13.8%-13.5%
Q1 2025+2.4%-5.8%-10.3%
Q3 2024-8.1%-9.3%-4.9%
Q2 2024-5.6%-4.0%-5.9%
Q1 2024+0.8%-1.5%+2.5%
Q4 2023+8.6%+5.3%+3.5%
Q3 2023-6.3%-4.9%+5.6%
Q2 2023+4.4%+4.2%+4.5%
Q1 2023+4.3%+2.3%-4.8%
Q4 2022+9.1%+12.5%+4.0%
Q3 2022+5.8%+7.0%+17.0%
Q2 2022+5.7%+4.2%+14.2%
Q1 2022+9.9%+18.7%+28.0%
Q4 2021-3.6%+3.3%+2.8%
Q3 2021+8.3%+11.5%+15.7%
Q2 2021+4.6%+6.4%+8.3%
Q1 2021+1.3%+3.5%+18.4%
Q4 2020+0.3%+11.7%+29.7%
Q3 2020+10.4%+11.3%+24.3%
Q2 2020-1.0%-1.4%+5.6%
Q1 2020-12.3%-21.3%-21.0%
Q4 2019+9.2%+6.6%-7.0%
Q3 2019-5.1%+0.0%-9.1%
Q2 2019-7.5%-12.0%-17.7%
Q1 2019-6.0%-5.0%-9.7%
Q4 2018+8.1%+1.5%+0.5%
Q3 2018-2.3%+6.2%+6.2%
Q2 2018+2.4%+4.3%+7.1%
Q1 2018+2.0%+4.8%+7.1%
Q4 2017-6.1%-13.7%-8.4%
Q3 2017+3.2%+0.2%-0.2%
Q2 2017-0.2%+3.4%+6.0%
Q1 2017-5.0%-8.1%-7.9%
Q4 2016+12.1%+17.9%+21.1%
Q3 2016-0.1%-3.0%+18.4%
Q2 2016-1.0%-0.3%+3.5%
Q1 2016+1.7%
Q4 2015-15.7%
Q3 2015+3.9%
Q2 2015-0.9%
Q1 2015-0.3%
Q4 2014+5.1%
Q3 2014-7.2%
Q2 2014-1.5%
Q1 2014-3.2%
Q4 2013-4.0%
Q3 2013+2.0%
Q2 2013-1.8%
Q1 2013-4.9%
Q4 2012-3.0%
Q3 2012-2.8%
Q2 2012-9.6%
Q1 2012-1.0%
Q4 2011-0.2%
Q4 2008-0.2%
Q3 2011-11.8%
Q2 2011-1.7%
Q1 2011-5.4%
Q1 2010-5.4%
Q4 2010+0.2%
Q3 2010-5.6%
Q3 2009-5.6%
Q4 2009+1.5%
Q2 2010+1.5%
Q2 2009+1.5%

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