NYSE$OLN

Olin Corp · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced first quarter 2023 results, demonstrating resilience with adjusted EBITDA of $434.1 million and net income of $156.3 million.

Olin Corporation reported a net income of $156.3 million, or $1.16 per diluted share, for the first quarter of 2023. Sales were $1,844.3 million compared to $2,461.4 million in the first quarter of 2022. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $434.1 million.

  • First quarter 2023 net income was $156.3 million, or $1.16 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter was $434.1 million.
  • Share repurchases totaled $206.1 million in the first quarter of 2023.
  • The company expects 2023 adjusted EBITDA to be between $1.6 and $1.9 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.84B

Previous: $2.46B-25.1%
EPS (adj)

$1.16

Previous: $2.48-53.2%
Adjusted EBITDA

$434M

Previous: $711M-38.9%
Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA

1.2

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$61.4M

Previous: -$47.3M-29.8%
Free Cash Flow

$92.6M

Previous: $346M-73.2%
Net Income

$154M

Previous: $393M-60.8%
Operating Income

$230M

Previous: $547M-57.8%
Gross Profit

$403M

Previous: $654M-38.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$176M

Previous: $198M-11.1%
Total Assets

$8.11B

Previous: $8.57B-5.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.7M

Previous: $3.1M+19.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Olin · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.84B

Q1 2023-25.1%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Olin · $1.48B total across 2 segments · Q1 2023

  • Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls
    $1.12B-10.3%
  • Epoxy
    $361M-54.3%

Forward guidance

Olin expects second quarter 2023 results from its Chemical businesses to be slightly lower than first quarter 2023 levels. Winchester business second quarter 2023 results are expected to increase sequentially from first quarter 2023. Overall, Olin’s second quarter 2023 adjusted EBITDA is expected to be slightly lower than first quarter 2023 levels.

Tailwinds

  • Winchester business second quarter 2023 results are expected to increase sequentially from first quarter 2023.
  • Commercial customer inventories are becoming more normalized.

Headwinds

  • Challenging global economic environment is ongoing.
  • Chemical businesses are expected to be slightly lower than first quarter 2023 levels.
  • Overall, Olin’s second quarter 2023 adjusted EBITDA is expected to be slightly lower than first quarter 2023 levels.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

-0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.7%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

29 / 67 earnings

Positive

+12.1%

Q4 2016

Best reaction

-15.7%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.4%+6.2%-8.2%
Q4 2025-6.8%+13.9%+13.6%
Q3 2025-12.5%-13.8%-13.5%
Q1 2025+2.4%-5.8%-10.3%
Q3 2024-8.1%-9.3%-4.9%
Q2 2024-5.6%-4.0%-5.9%
Q1 2024+0.8%-1.5%+2.5%
Q4 2023+8.6%+5.3%+3.5%
Q3 2023-6.3%-4.9%+5.6%
Q2 2023+4.4%+4.2%+4.5%
Q1 2023+4.3%+2.3%-4.8%
Q4 2022+9.1%+12.5%+4.0%
Q3 2022+5.8%+7.0%+17.0%
Q2 2022+5.7%+4.2%+14.2%
Q1 2022+9.9%+18.7%+28.0%
Q4 2021-3.6%+3.3%+2.8%
Q3 2021+8.3%+11.5%+15.7%
Q2 2021+4.6%+6.4%+8.3%
Q1 2021+1.3%+3.5%+18.4%
Q4 2020+0.3%+11.7%+29.7%
Q3 2020+10.4%+11.3%+24.3%
Q2 2020-1.0%-1.4%+5.6%
Q1 2020-12.3%-21.3%-21.0%
Q4 2019+9.2%+6.6%-7.0%
Q3 2019-5.1%+0.0%-9.1%
Q2 2019-7.5%-12.0%-17.7%
Q1 2019-6.0%-5.0%-9.7%
Q4 2018+8.1%+1.5%+0.5%
Q3 2018-2.3%+6.2%+6.2%
Q2 2018+2.4%+4.3%+7.1%
Q1 2018+2.0%+4.8%+7.1%
Q4 2017-6.1%-13.7%-8.4%
Q3 2017+3.2%+0.2%-0.2%
Q2 2017-0.2%+3.4%+6.0%
Q1 2017-5.0%-8.1%-7.9%
Q4 2016+12.1%+17.9%+21.1%
Q3 2016-0.1%-3.0%+18.4%
Q2 2016-1.0%-0.3%+3.5%
Q1 2016+1.7%
Q4 2015-15.7%
Q3 2015+3.9%
Q2 2015-0.9%
Q1 2015-0.3%
Q4 2014+5.1%
Q3 2014-7.2%
Q2 2014-1.5%
Q1 2014-3.2%
Q4 2013-4.0%
Q3 2013+2.0%
Q2 2013-1.8%
Q1 2013-4.9%
Q4 2012-3.0%
Q3 2012-2.8%
Q2 2012-9.6%
Q1 2012-1.0%
Q4 2011-0.2%
Q4 2008-0.2%
Q3 2011-11.8%
Q2 2011-1.7%
Q1 2011-5.4%
Q1 2010-5.4%
Q4 2010+0.2%
Q3 2010-5.6%
Q3 2009-5.6%
Q4 2009+1.5%
Q2 2010+1.5%
Q2 2009+1.5%

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