NYSE$NRDY

Nerdy Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Nerdy's revenue decreased due to lower ARPM in the Consumer business, but platform enhancements and strategic investments were made.

Nerdy reported Q3 2024 revenue of $37.5 million, a 7% decrease year-over-year, with a net loss of $25.0 million. The company focused on scaling its winning product and expanding its learner base through strategic investments in Varsity Tutors for Schools.

  • Revenue was $37.5 million, a 7% decrease year-over-year, primarily due to lower ARPM in the Consumer business.
  • Active Members totaled 39.7K, up 1% year-over-year.
  • The Institutional business generated $5.4 million in revenue, a 3% decrease year-over-year.
  • Nerdy enabled access to the Varsity Tutors platform for an additional 1.1 million students, reaching a total of 4.4 million students across nearly 900 school districts.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$37.5M

Previous: $40.3M-6.9%
EPS

-$0.14

Previous: -$0.09-55.6%
Non-GAAP Gross Margin

70.5%

Previous: 72.4%-2.6%
Adjusted EBITDA

-$14M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$5.7M

Previous: -$3.92M-45.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$21.6M

Previous: -$16.2M-33.2%
Net Income

-$15.9M

Previous: -$12.3M-29.4%
Operating Income

-$25.7M

Previous: -$25.6M-0.7%
Gross Profit

$26.5M

Previous: $29.2M-9.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$9.81M

Previous: $11.6M-15.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Nerdy · Revenue · Quarterly

$37.5M

Q3 2024-6.9%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 11 of 14 quarters(79%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Nerdy · $5.58M total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • Institutional
    $5.58M+133.2%

Forward guidance

For the fourth quarter of 2024, Nerdy expects revenue in the range of $44-47 million and adjusted EBITDA in the range of negative $7 million to negative $10 million. For the full year, revenue is expected to be in the range of $186-189 million and adjusted EBITDA in the range of negative $23 million to negative $26 million.

Tailwinds

  • Higher sequential quarterly revenues are expected from Learning Memberships.
  • Higher sequential quarterly revenues are expected from Varsity Tutors for Schools.
  • Sequential improvement in adjusted EBITDA is expected from the third to the fourth quarter.
  • Ample liquidity is available to fund the business and pursue growth initiatives.
  • Continued innovation and growth investments.

Headwinds

  • Year-over-year Consumer revenue will be impacted by a decline in the number of Learning Membership subscribers.
  • Year-over-year Consumer revenue will be impacted by lower average revenue per member per month.
  • Lower bookings year-to-date will result in the flow through of lower revenues during the fourth quarter in the Institutional business.
  • Investments in the institutional sales organization will impact adjusted EBITDA.
  • Investments in product development will impact adjusted EBITDA.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-7.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-6.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.0%

Avg return

30 days after

33%

7 / 21 earnings

Positive

+31.1%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-43.8%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.1%-4.2%-6.7%
Q4 2025+2.1%+0.2%-13.4%
Q3 2025-9.4%-3.7%+41.2%
Q1 2025-6.2%+7.4%+9.2%
Q4 2024-4.4%-0.6%-8.2%
Q3 2024-6.2%+2.3%+83.0%
Q2 2024-43.8%-40.8%-36.3%
Q1 2024-11.0%-21.7%-43.4%
Q4 2023-18.1%-1.3%-4.3%
Q3 2023-17.2%-19.2%-4.5%
Q2 2023-20.2%-11.7%-8.1%
Q1 2023+3.4%+15.5%+7.2%
Q4 2022+31.1%+39.0%+56.2%
Q3 2022+5.5%+1.7%-17.9%
Q2 2022+9.6%-20.7%-17.8%
Q1 2022-32.0%-37.3%+18.0%
Q4 2021+0.9%-7.7%+15.6%
Q3 2021-23.0%-23.7%-32.9%
Q2 2021-0.1%-0.2%-0.2%
Q1 2021-0.3%-0.9%-0.2%
Q4 2020-6.9%-10.2%-16.4%
Q2 2020

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