NYSE$NRDY

Nerdy Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Nerdy delivered revenue and profitability ahead of expectations, driven by strong demand in both Consumer and Institutional businesses and operating leverage from recurring revenue models and AI investments.

Nerdy reported a strong Q3 2023 with revenue of $40.3 million, a 27% year-over-year increase, exceeding guidance. The Consumer business grew by 19% and the Institutional business by 133%. Gross margin reached a record 72.4%.

  • Total revenue increased by 27% year-over-year, reaching $40.3 million.
  • Consumer revenue grew 19% year-over-year, driven by Learning Memberships.
  • Institutional revenue increased 133% year-over-year, driven by Varsity Tutors for Schools.
  • Gross margin improved to a record 72.4%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$40.3M

Previous: $31.8M+26.9%
EPS (adj)

-$0.09

Previous: -$0.21+57.1%
Active Members

39.5K

No prior period
Non-GAAP Gross Margin

72.4%

Previous: 69.0%+4.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$3.92M

Previous: -$4.34M+9.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$16.2M

Previous: -$22.9M+29.1%
Net Income

-$12.3M

Previous: -$18.5M+33.6%
Operating Income

-$25.6M

Previous: -$27.7M+7.7%
Gross Profit

$29.2M

Previous: $21.9M+33.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$84M

Previous: $106M-21.0%
Total Assets

$124M

Previous: $140M-11.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$11.6M

Previous: $12.2M-4.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Nerdy · Revenue · Quarterly

$40.3M

Q3 2023+26.9%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 14 quarters(79%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Nerdy · $5.58M total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • Institutional
    $5.58M+133.2%

Forward guidance

The company expects revenue growth to be driven by recurring revenue streams in the Consumer business, increased Learning Membership subscribers, and higher Institutional revenues. Fourth quarter and full year revenue guidance reflect higher revenues from Learning Memberships and Varsity Tutors for Schools when K12 schools and universities are in session.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue in a range of $54-56 million for Q4 2023, representing 32% growth at the midpoint
  • Revenue in a range of $192-$194 million for the full year, representing 19% growth at the midpoint
  • New Learning Member acquisition has been strong and ahead of expectations
  • Recurring revenue products focusing on long-term relationships with higher value customers
  • Improving gross margin profile and operating leverage from recurring revenue business models

Headwinds

  • Fewer customers re-activated their membership than expected as the school year started
  • Fewer existing members upgraded to higher frequency Learning Membership levels than anticipated, leading to lower ARPM than expected
  • Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA to be break-even for Q4 2023
  • Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA loss of approximately $6 million for the full year
  • Change in full year adjusted EBITDA guidance primarily reflects the flow through of lower revenues

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

-7.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-6.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.0%

Avg return

30 days after

33%

7 / 21 earnings

Positive

+31.1%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-43.8%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.1%-4.2%-6.7%
Q4 2025+2.1%+0.2%-13.4%
Q3 2025-9.4%-3.7%+41.2%
Q1 2025-6.2%+7.4%+9.2%
Q4 2024-4.4%-0.6%-8.2%
Q3 2024-6.2%+2.3%+83.0%
Q2 2024-43.8%-40.8%-36.3%
Q1 2024-11.0%-21.7%-43.4%
Q4 2023-18.1%-1.3%-4.3%
Q3 2023-17.2%-19.2%-4.5%
Q2 2023-20.2%-11.7%-8.1%
Q1 2023+3.4%+15.5%+7.2%
Q4 2022+31.1%+39.0%+56.2%
Q3 2022+5.5%+1.7%-17.9%
Q2 2022+9.6%-20.7%-17.8%
Q1 2022-32.0%-37.3%+18.0%
Q4 2021+0.9%-7.7%+15.6%
Q3 2021-23.0%-23.7%-32.9%
Q2 2021-0.1%-0.2%-0.2%
Q1 2021-0.3%-0.9%-0.2%
Q4 2020-6.9%-10.2%-16.4%
Q2 2020

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