NYSE$NRDY

Nerdy Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Nerdy exited the 'J-Curve' business model transition and returned to growth, achieving Adjusted EBITDA profitability nine months ahead of schedule, driven by strong adoption of Learning Memberships and the application of AI.

Nerdy, Inc. reported a strong first quarter, exceeding revenue guidance and achieving adjusted EBITDA profitability ahead of schedule. The company's transition to Learning Memberships and its application of AI are driving growth and improved profitability.

  • Revenue was $49.2 million, exceeding guidance and representing a 5% increase year-over-year.
  • Learning Membership subscriptions accounted for 60% of total company recognized revenue.
  • Institutional business delivered record revenue of $8.5 million, a 32% increase year-over-year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA profitability was achieved, delivering nearly 1,700 bps of improvement year-over-year and $1.4 million of adjusted EBITDA.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$49.2M

Previous: $46.9M+4.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.01

Previous: -$0.10+110.0%
Active Members

32.9K

No prior period
ARPM

$350.00

No prior period
Institutional Bookings

$6.3M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$982K

Previous: -$1.26M+22.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$19.9M

Previous: -$18.1M-10.0%
Net Income

-$18.9M

Previous: -$16.8M-12.4%
Operating Income

-$11.4M

Previous: -$20.7M+45.0%
Gross Profit

$33.9M

Previous: $32.8M+3.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$96.5M

Previous: $142M-31.9%
Total Assets

$132M

Previous: $177M-25.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$11M

Previous: $12.5M-11.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Nerdy · Revenue · Quarterly

$49.2M

Q1 2023+4.8%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 14 quarters(79%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Nerdy · $8.54M total across 1 segment · Q1 2023

  • Institutional
    $8.54M

Forward guidance

Nerdy expects revenue growth to be driven by recurring revenue streams and higher Institutional revenues. The company raised its full year revenue targets to $193-200 million and expects an adjusted EBITDA loss in the range of $7 million to breakeven.

Tailwinds

  • Continued evolution towards recurring revenue streams
  • Build in the number of Learning Membership subscribers
  • Higher Institutional revenues
  • Sequential year-over-year revenue growth each quarter
  • Improving gross margin profile

Headwinds

  • Normal summer seasonality
  • Anticipated lower levels of new customer acquisition
  • Lower consumption during the summer months
  • Lower Learning Membership retention during the summer months
  • Higher variable costs in the third quarter

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

-7.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-6.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.0%

Avg return

30 days after

33%

7 / 21 earnings

Positive

+31.1%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-43.8%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.1%-4.2%-6.7%
Q4 2025+2.1%+0.2%-13.4%
Q3 2025-9.4%-3.7%+41.2%
Q1 2025-6.2%+7.4%+9.2%
Q4 2024-4.4%-0.6%-8.2%
Q3 2024-6.2%+2.3%+83.0%
Q2 2024-43.8%-40.8%-36.3%
Q1 2024-11.0%-21.7%-43.4%
Q4 2023-18.1%-1.3%-4.3%
Q3 2023-17.2%-19.2%-4.5%
Q2 2023-20.2%-11.7%-8.1%
Q1 2023+3.4%+15.5%+7.2%
Q4 2022+31.1%+39.0%+56.2%
Q3 2022+5.5%+1.7%-17.9%
Q2 2022+9.6%-20.7%-17.8%
Q1 2022-32.0%-37.3%+18.0%
Q4 2021+0.9%-7.7%+15.6%
Q3 2021-23.0%-23.7%-32.9%
Q2 2021-0.1%-0.2%-0.2%
Q1 2021-0.3%-0.9%-0.2%
Q4 2020-6.9%-10.2%-16.4%
Q2 2020

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