NYSE$NRDY

Nerdy Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Nerdy's Q3 2022 performance was marked by a revenue of $31.8 million, aligning with guidance, and a strategic shift towards Learning Memberships, which now constitute 18% of total revenue and have an annualized run rate of $50.2 million.

Nerdy, Inc. reported Q3 2022 revenue of $31.8 million, consistent with its guidance. The company focused on transitioning customers to Learning Memberships, which reached an annualized run rate of $50.2 million. Varsity Tutors for Schools signed 21 new contracts with $5.6 million in bookings. The company maintains a strong liquidity position with $106.4 million in cash reserves.

  • Nerdy's Q3 2022 revenue was $31.8 million, in line with guidance.
  • Learning Membership revenue grew to $5.8 million, representing 18% of total revenue, with an annualized run rate of $50.2 million.
  • Varsity Tutors for Schools signed 21 new contracts, yielding $5.6 million in bookings.
  • Nerdy maintains a strong liquidity position with $106.4 million in cash reserves and is on track to achieve adjusted EBITDA profitability by the end of 2023.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$31.8M

Previous: $31.3M+1.5%
EPS (adj)

-$0.21

Previous: -$0.27+22.2%
Non-GAAP Gross Margin

69.0%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$4.34M

Previous: -$3.77M-15.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$22.9M

Previous: -$25M+8.7%
Net Income

-$18.5M

Previous: -$21.3M+13.0%
Operating Income

-$27.7M

Previous: -$58M+52.3%
Gross Profit

$21.9M

Previous: $20.7M+6.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$106M

Previous: $170M-37.4%
Total Assets

$140M

Previous: $238M-41.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$12.2M

Previous: $37.5M-67.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Nerdy · Revenue · Quarterly

$31.8M

Q3 2022+1.5%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 11 of 14 quarters(79%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Nerdy · $2.39M total across 1 segment · Q3 2022

  • Institutional
    $2.39M

Forward guidance

Nerdy anticipates sequential quarterly revenue growth driven by Learning Membership subscribers and higher Institutional revenues. For Q4 2022, revenue is expected to be in the range of $39-41 million and a non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA loss in the range of $6-8 million. For the full year 2022, revenue is expected to be $160-162 million, with a non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA loss in the range of $36-38 million. The company targets exiting the J Curve business model transition by the end of Q1 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Sequential quarterly revenue growth expected.
  • Increase in Learning Membership subscribers anticipated.
  • Higher Institutional revenues projected.
  • Continued moderation of marketing spend.
  • Reduced levels of hiring demonstrating operating leverage.

Headwinds

  • Lower revenue recognized in the quarter due to Learning Memberships rollout.
  • Longer-lead times in Institutional business due to focus on larger school districts.
  • Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA loss expected for Q4 2022.
  • Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA loss expected for full year 2022.
  • J Curve business model transition expected to continue until the end of Q1 2023.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

-7.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-6.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.0%

Avg return

30 days after

33%

7 / 21 earnings

Positive

+31.1%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-43.8%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.1%-4.2%-6.7%
Q4 2025+2.1%+0.2%-13.4%
Q3 2025-9.4%-3.7%+41.2%
Q1 2025-6.2%+7.4%+9.2%
Q4 2024-4.4%-0.6%-8.2%
Q3 2024-6.2%+2.3%+83.0%
Q2 2024-43.8%-40.8%-36.3%
Q1 2024-11.0%-21.7%-43.4%
Q4 2023-18.1%-1.3%-4.3%
Q3 2023-17.2%-19.2%-4.5%
Q2 2023-20.2%-11.7%-8.1%
Q1 2023+3.4%+15.5%+7.2%
Q4 2022+31.1%+39.0%+56.2%
Q3 2022+5.5%+1.7%-17.9%
Q2 2022+9.6%-20.7%-17.8%
Q1 2022-32.0%-37.3%+18.0%
Q4 2021+0.9%-7.7%+15.6%
Q3 2021-23.0%-23.7%-32.9%
Q2 2021-0.1%-0.2%-0.2%
Q1 2021-0.3%-0.9%-0.2%
Q4 2020-6.9%-10.2%-16.4%
Q2 2020

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