NYSE$NOVAQ

Sunnova Energy International Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Sunnova's financial performance remained relatively stable with revenue slightly decreasing, while incurring a significant net loss due to increased operating expenses and interest expenses.

Sunnova reported a slight decrease in revenue to $194.2 million, compared to $195.6 million in the same quarter of the previous year. The company faced a net loss of $234.8 million, a significant increase from the $62.0 million net loss in Q4 2022. Adjusted EBITDA, however, showed a substantial increase, reaching $191.5 million compared to $25.6 million in the prior year quarter, primarily due to investment tax credit sales.

  • Deployed over 34,000 customers in Q4, bringing the total customer count to 419,200 as of December 31, 2023.
  • Increased single customer economics through fully burdened unlevered return.
  • Continued executing a cost reduction plan for 2024 to enhance cash generation.
  • Initiated 2025 cash generation guidance between $200 million and $500 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$194M

Previous: $196M-0.7%
EPS (adj)

-$1.42

Previous: -$0.18-688.9%
Number of Customers

419.2K

Previous: 279.4K+50.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$518M

Previous: $231M-324.4%
Net Income

-$235M

Previous: -$62M-278.8%
Operating Income

-$96.7M

Previous: -$16.8M-473.8%
Gross Profit

$53.2M

Previous: $61.3M-13.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.72M

Previous: $4.16M+37.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Sunnova · Revenue · Quarterly

$194M

Q4 2023-0.7%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Sunnova management reaffirms its 2024 full year guidance.

Tailwinds

  • Customer additions between 185,000 and 195,000
  • Adjusted EBITDA between $350 million and $450 million
  • Interest income between $150 million and $190 million
  • Principal proceeds from customer notes receivable, net of amounts recorded in revenue, and proceeds from investments in solar receivables between $210 million and $250 million
  • Focus will be on cash generation driven by cost reductions, asset sales, and expanding margins.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 15 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.4%

Avg return

30 days after

67%

16 / 24 earnings

Positive

+36.1%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-64.2%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2025+0.0%+0.0%-99.8%
Q4 2024-64.2%-71.1%-80.1%
Q3 2024+16.1%+25.2%+3.4%
Q2 2024+17.2%+8.6%+56.8%
Q1 2024+5.0%+11.0%+24.0%
Q4 2023-23.8%-38.4%-48.6%
Q3 2023+9.1%+2.9%+19.8%
Q2 2023-12.6%-14.7%-35.8%
Q1 2023+1.9%-3.4%-7.6%
Q4 2022+3.5%+2.7%-22.1%
Q3 2022+9.6%+8.8%+37.3%
Q2 2022+36.1%+32.2%+37.7%
Q1 2022+7.1%+10.7%+15.0%
Q4 2021+18.9%+32.7%+63.4%
Q3 2021+13.3%+12.5%-6.6%
Q2 2021+8.1%+6.6%+5.6%
Q1 2021-7.9%
Q4 2020-1.8%
Q3 2020-2.6%
Q2 2020+3.6%
Q1 2020+7.5%
Q4 2019+0.4%
Q3 2019+0.6%
Q2 2019-6.2%
Q3 2018
Q2 2018

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