NYSE$NOVAQ

Sunnova Energy International Inc · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong results with revenue increase and customer growth.

Sunnova reported a revenue increase to $68.9 million, added 14,300 customers, and had $951 million in cash and available liquidity. The company incurred a net loss of $25.9 million, an improvement compared to the previous year. Management reaffirms existing full-year 2021 guidance and initiates complete full-year 2022 guidance.

  • Added 14,300 customers in Q3, bringing total customer count to 176,900 as of September 30, 2021.
  • Cash and available liquidity totaled $951 million as of September 30, 2021.
  • Single customer economics remain robust.
  • Battery attachment rate continues to recover as supply constraints abate.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$68.9M

Previous: $50.2M+37.3%
EPS (adj)

-$0.25

Previous: -$0.15-66.7%
Number of Customers

176.9K

Previous: 98.6K+79.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$344M

Previous: -$440M+21.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$491M

Previous: -$542M+9.4%
Net Income

-$27.5M

Previous: -$64.2M+57.1%
Operating Income

-$8.18M

Previous: $1.65M-595.8%
Gross Profit

-$33.5M

Previous: -$18M-86.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$408M

Previous: $84.6M+382.3%
Total Assets

$5.06B

Previous: $3.15B+60.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.09M

Previous: $2.35M+31.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Sunnova · Revenue · Quarterly

$68.9M

Q3 2021+37.3%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Management reaffirms existing full-year 2021 guidance and initiates complete full-year 2022 guidance.

Tailwinds

  • Customer additions of 55,000 - 58,000 (excluding legacy SunStreet customers) for 2021.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $80 million - $85 million for 2021.
  • Customer interest payments received from solar loans of $28 million - $34 million for 2021.
  • Customer principal payments received from solar loans, net of amounts recorded in revenue of $62 million - $68 million for 2021.
  • Customer additions of 83,000 - 87,000 for 2022.

Headwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA of $117 million - $137 million for 2022.
  • Customer interest payments received from solar loans of $45 million - $55 million for 2022.
  • Customer principal payments received from solar loans, net of amounts recorded in revenue of $134 million - $154 million for 2022.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 15 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

+1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.4%

Avg return

30 days after

67%

16 / 24 earnings

Positive

+36.1%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-64.2%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2025+0.0%+0.0%-99.8%
Q4 2024-64.2%-71.1%-80.1%
Q3 2024+16.1%+25.2%+3.4%
Q2 2024+17.2%+8.6%+56.8%
Q1 2024+5.0%+11.0%+24.0%
Q4 2023-23.8%-38.4%-48.6%
Q3 2023+9.1%+2.9%+19.8%
Q2 2023-12.6%-14.7%-35.8%
Q1 2023+1.9%-3.4%-7.6%
Q4 2022+3.5%+2.7%-22.1%
Q3 2022+9.6%+8.8%+37.3%
Q2 2022+36.1%+32.2%+37.7%
Q1 2022+7.1%+10.7%+15.0%
Q4 2021+18.9%+32.7%+63.4%
Q3 2021+13.3%+12.5%-6.6%
Q2 2021+8.1%+6.6%+5.6%
Q1 2021-7.9%
Q4 2020-1.8%
Q3 2020-2.6%
Q2 2020+3.6%
Q1 2020+7.5%
Q4 2019+0.4%
Q3 2019+0.6%
Q2 2019-6.2%
Q3 2018
Q2 2018

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