NYSE$NOVAQ

Sunnova Energy International Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Sunnova reported strong third quarter results, reaffirmed 2020 guidance, and initiated 2021 guidance.

Sunnova Energy International Inc. announced financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2020, showing revenue increased to $50.2 million and an increase in total customer count to 98,600 as of September 30, 2020.

  • Increased total customer count to 98,600 as of September 30, 2020.
  • Reaffirmed full-year 2020 guidance.
  • Initiated full-year 2021 guidance.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $25.4 million for the three months ended September 30, 2020 compared to $15.9 million for the three months ended September 30, 2019, an increase of $9.5 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$50.2M

Previous: $36.6M+37.0%
EPS (adj)

-$0.15

Previous: -$0.62+75.8%
Number of Customers

98.6K

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$440M

Previous: -$299M-47.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$542M

Previous: -$374M-44.9%
Net Income

-$64.2M

Previous: -$37.6M-70.7%
Operating Income

$1.65M

Previous: -$5.9M+128.0%
Gross Profit

-$18M

Previous: -$12.3M-45.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$84.6M

Previous: $51M+65.9%
Total Assets

$3.15B

Previous: $2.15B+46.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.35M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Sunnova · Revenue · Quarterly

$50.2M

Q3 2020+37%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 10 of 14 quarters(71%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Management reaffirms existing full-year 2020 guidance and initiates full-year 2021 guidance.

Tailwinds

  • Customer additions of 28,000 - 30,000 (2020)
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $58 million - $62 million (2020)
  • Customer principal payments received from solar loans, net of amounts recorded in revenue of $32 million - $36 million (2020)
  • Customer interest payments received from solar loans of $17 million - $21 million (2020)
  • Adjusted Operating Cash Flow of $10 million - $20 million (2020)

Headwinds

  • Recurring Operating Cash Flow of $(20) million - $(5) million (2020)
  • Customer additions of 42,000 - 48,000 (2021)
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $77 million - $83 million (2021)
  • Customer principal payments received from solar loans, net of amounts recorded in revenue of $57 million - $63 million (2021)
  • Customer interest payments received from solar loans of $28 million - $34 million (2021)

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 15 quarterly earnings reports

Historical avg

+1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.4%

Avg return

30 days after

67%

16 / 24 earnings

Positive

+36.1%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-64.2%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2025+0.0%+0.0%-99.8%
Q4 2024-64.2%-71.1%-80.1%
Q3 2024+16.1%+25.2%+3.4%
Q2 2024+17.2%+8.6%+56.8%
Q1 2024+5.0%+11.0%+24.0%
Q4 2023-23.8%-38.4%-48.6%
Q3 2023+9.1%+2.9%+19.8%
Q2 2023-12.6%-14.7%-35.8%
Q1 2023+1.9%-3.4%-7.6%
Q4 2022+3.5%+2.7%-22.1%
Q3 2022+9.6%+8.8%+37.3%
Q2 2022+36.1%+32.2%+37.7%
Q1 2022+7.1%+10.7%+15.0%
Q4 2021+18.9%+32.7%+63.4%
Q3 2021+13.3%+12.5%-6.6%
Q2 2021+8.1%+6.6%+5.6%
Q1 2021-7.9%
Q4 2020-1.8%
Q3 2020-2.6%
Q2 2020+3.6%
Q1 2020+7.5%
Q4 2019+0.4%
Q3 2019+0.6%
Q2 2019-6.2%
Q3 2018
Q2 2018

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