NYSE$NOVAQ

Sunnova Energy International Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced financial results for Q4 and full year ended December 31, 2020.

Sunnova reported a revenue increase to $38.0 million for the fourth quarter of 2020, compared to $33.6 million for the same period in 2019. The company incurred a net loss of $128.8 million for the quarter, compared to a net loss of $13.8 million for the same period in 2019. Adjusted EBITDA was $10.0 million for the fourth quarter of 2020, compared to $10.8 million for the same period in 2019.

  • Added approximately 29,000 customers in 2020, bringing total customer count to 107,500 as of December 31, 2020.
  • Reduced adjusted operating expense per weighted average customer by 9.5% in 2020.
  • Met all 2020 guidance targets despite unprecedented public health and macro-economic challenges.
  • Entered into a definitive merger agreement to acquire Lennar's residential solar platform SunStreet, accelerating Sunnova's growth and increasing Sunnova's operating leverage.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$38M

Previous: $33.6M+13.1%
EPS (adj)

-$0.96

Previous: -$0.21-357.1%
Number of Customers

107.5K

Previous: 78.6K+36.8%
Capital Expenditures

$139M

Previous: $132M+5.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$168M

Previous: -$227M+26.0%
Net Income

-$129M

Previous: -$13.8M-835.8%
Operating Income

-$18M

Previous: -$9.16M-96.4%
Gross Profit

-$18M

Previous: $19.9M-190.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$210M

Previous: $83.5M+151.4%
Total Assets

$3.59B

Previous: $2.49B+44.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.48M

Previous: $2.26M+9.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Sunnova · Revenue · Quarterly

$38M

Q4 2020+13.1%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 10 of 14 quarters(71%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Management increases full-year 2021 guidance for customer additions, Adjusted EBITDA, and Recurring Operating Cash Flow.

Tailwinds

  • Customer additions increases from 42,000 - 48,000 to 55,000 - 58,000
  • Adjusted EBITDA increases from $77 million - $83 million to $80 million - $85 million
  • Customer principal payments received from solar loans, net of amounts recorded in revenue of $57 million - $63 million reaffirmed
  • Customer interest payments received from solar loans of $28 million - $34 million reaffirmed
  • Adjusted Operating Cash Flow of $20 million - $30 million reaffirmed

Headwinds

  • Recurring Operating Cash Flow increases from $(15) million - $5 million to $(5) million - $5 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 15 quarterly earnings reports

Historical avg

+1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.4%

Avg return

30 days after

67%

16 / 24 earnings

Positive

+36.1%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-64.2%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2025+0.0%+0.0%-99.8%
Q4 2024-64.2%-71.1%-80.1%
Q3 2024+16.1%+25.2%+3.4%
Q2 2024+17.2%+8.6%+56.8%
Q1 2024+5.0%+11.0%+24.0%
Q4 2023-23.8%-38.4%-48.6%
Q3 2023+9.1%+2.9%+19.8%
Q2 2023-12.6%-14.7%-35.8%
Q1 2023+1.9%-3.4%-7.6%
Q4 2022+3.5%+2.7%-22.1%
Q3 2022+9.6%+8.8%+37.3%
Q2 2022+36.1%+32.2%+37.7%
Q1 2022+7.1%+10.7%+15.0%
Q4 2021+18.9%+32.7%+63.4%
Q3 2021+13.3%+12.5%-6.6%
Q2 2021+8.1%+6.6%+5.6%
Q1 2021-7.9%
Q4 2020-1.8%
Q3 2020-2.6%
Q2 2020+3.6%
Q1 2020+7.5%
Q4 2019+0.4%
Q3 2019+0.6%
Q2 2019-6.2%
Q3 2018
Q2 2018

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