NYSE$NOVAQ

Sunnova Energy International Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced financial results for the fourth quarter and full-year ended December 31, 2019.

Sunnova reported a revenue increase to $33.6 million for the quarter, with a net loss of $13.8 million. Adjusted EBITDA stood at $10.8 million, driven by customer growth outpacing expenses. The company's total number of customers reached 78,600 as of December 31, 2019.

  • Added over 18,000 customers in 2019, a 30% year-over-year increase.
  • Storage attachment rate on origination increased to 24% in Q4 2019.
  • Revenue increased to $33.6 million for Q4 2019.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $10.8 million for Q4 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$33.6M

No prior period
EPS (adj)

-$0.21

No prior period
Number of Customers

78.6K

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$132M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$227M

No prior period
Net Income

-$13.8M

No prior period
Operating Income

-$9.16M

No prior period
Gross Profit

$19.9M

No prior period
Cash & Equivalents

$83.5M

No prior period
Total Assets

$2.49B

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$2.26M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Sunnova · Revenue · Quarterly

$33.6M

Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 10 of 14 quarters(71%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Management announced updates to 2020 full-year guidance.

Tailwinds

  • Increase guidance on customer additions from 23,000 - 27,500 to 28,000 - 30,000
  • Increase guidance on Adjusted EBITDA from $55 million - $60 million to $58 million - $62 million
  • Increase guidance on customer principal payments received from solar loans, net of amounts recorded in revenue from $30 million - $35 million to $32 million - $36 million
  • Increase guidance on customer interest payments received from solar loans from $15 million - $20 million to $17 million - $21 million
  • Increase guidance on Adjusted Operating Cash Flow from $5 million - $15 million to $10 million - $20 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 15 quarterly earnings reports

Historical avg

+1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.4%

Avg return

30 days after

67%

16 / 24 earnings

Positive

+36.1%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-64.2%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2025+0.0%+0.0%-99.8%
Q4 2024-64.2%-71.1%-80.1%
Q3 2024+16.1%+25.2%+3.4%
Q2 2024+17.2%+8.6%+56.8%
Q1 2024+5.0%+11.0%+24.0%
Q4 2023-23.8%-38.4%-48.6%
Q3 2023+9.1%+2.9%+19.8%
Q2 2023-12.6%-14.7%-35.8%
Q1 2023+1.9%-3.4%-7.6%
Q4 2022+3.5%+2.7%-22.1%
Q3 2022+9.6%+8.8%+37.3%
Q2 2022+36.1%+32.2%+37.7%
Q1 2022+7.1%+10.7%+15.0%
Q4 2021+18.9%+32.7%+63.4%
Q3 2021+13.3%+12.5%-6.6%
Q2 2021+8.1%+6.6%+5.6%
Q1 2021-7.9%
Q4 2020-1.8%
Q3 2020-2.6%
Q2 2020+3.6%
Q1 2020+7.5%
Q4 2019+0.4%
Q3 2019+0.6%
Q2 2019-6.2%
Q3 2018
Q2 2018

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