NYSE$NNI

Nelnet Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Nelnet's financial performance reflected a mix of challenges and progress across its various segments.

Nelnet reported GAAP net income of $2.4 million, or $0.07 per share, for Q3 2024, a decrease compared to $44.4 million, or $1.18 per share, for the same period last year. The results were impacted by a non-cash provision expense related to loan securitizations and losses related to tax equity investments in solar projects. Revenue was reported from Loan Servicing and Systems, and Education Technology Services and Payments segments.

  • Net income, excluding derivative market value adjustments, was $12.4 million, or $0.34 per share.
  • A non-cash provision expense of $29.0 million was recorded related to the company's ownership of beneficial interest in loan securitizations.
  • Revenue from the Education Technology Services and Payments segment increased to $118.2 million.
  • The company is transitioning to the USDS contract, with optimism about the future with existing and new loan servicing opportunities.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$72.2M

Previous: $77.4M-6.8%
EPS

$0.07

Previous: $1.15-93.9%
Total loans serviced

$527B

Previous: $539B-2.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$38.3M

Previous: -$52.6M+27.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$35.9M

Previous: -$7.27M-393.6%
Net Income

$2.39M

Previous: $45.3M-94.7%
Operating Income

-$301M

Previous: -$250M-20.2%
Gross Profit

$67K

Previous: $25.9M-99.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$220M

Previous: $188M+17.0%
Total Assets

$14.1B

Previous: $17.2B-18.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.95M

Previous: $4.17M-29.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Nelnet · Revenue · Quarterly

$72.2M

Q3 2024-6.8%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 4 of 14 quarters(29%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Nelnet · $242M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Loan Servicing & Systems
    $128M-4.7%
  • EdTech & Payments
    $114M+6.5%

Forward guidance

Nelnet's primary businesses include consumer lending, loan servicing, payments, and technology all with a large customer emphasis in education. All these areas are well positioned for long-term growth. As we enter the fourth quarter, NBS is having a great year, NFS is advancing our asset investment strategy as legacy guaranteed student loan assets runoff, and while NDS is transitioning to the USDS contract, we are optimistic about the future with our existing and new loan servicing opportunities.

Tailwinds

  • Nelnet remains a strong, diversified company
  • Consumer lending is well positioned for long-term growth
  • Loan servicing is well positioned for long-term growth
  • Payments are well positioned for long-term growth
  • Education technology is well positioned for long-term growth

Headwinds

  • Third quarter results included noise.
  • AGM operating segment reported lower loan and investment net interest income.
  • Nelnet Bank reported a net loss after tax.
  • Loan Servicing and Systems segment reported a net loss after tax.
  • Solar EPC business reported a loss.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.9%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

36 / 65 earnings

Positive

+16.6%

Q3 2016

Best reaction

-11.3%

Q4 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.5%-13.6%-8.2%
Q4 2025-1.7%+3.5%-3.6%
Q3 2025+2.2%+0.1%+0.5%
Q1 2025+5.9%+10.6%+7.7%
Q4 2024+9.3%+6.7%-0.3%
Q3 2024-9.9%-12.5%-13.1%
Q2 2024+1.1%+2.6%+4.5%
Q1 2024+12.9%+13.9%+4.1%
Q4 2023-3.7%-3.1%+7.3%
Q3 2023-0.8%-3.1%-3.9%
Q2 2023-2.1%-4.1%-7.9%
Q1 2023-1.1%-0.9%+6.8%
Q4 2022-3.0%-2.5%-3.3%
Q3 2022+1.4%+8.2%+6.9%
Q2 2022-0.2%-2.3%-11.3%
Q1 2022-1.7%-0.8%+3.9%
Q4 2021+0.0%+1.6%+5.6%
Q3 2021-0.6%+1.8%+9.7%
Q2 2021+2.8%+2.5%+8.3%
Q1 2021-1.0%+2.9%-0.1%
Q4 2020+1.0%+2.7%+3.6%
Q3 2020+3.2%+13.8%+9.1%
Q2 2020+2.2%+1.8%+5.2%
Q1 2020-1.6%-2.8%+15.2%
Q4 2019-5.5%-10.1%-24.6%
Q3 2019-3.1%-1.9%-3.0%
Q2 2019+7.8%+6.8%+5.7%
Q1 2019+8.9%+6.0%+2.1%
Q4 2018+1.5%+1.2%+2.0%
Q3 2018-8.2%-3.9%-6.6%
Q2 2018-2.9%-3.1%-4.5%
Q1 2018+8.4%+8.9%+16.0%
Q4 2017+6.9%+6.7%+1.2%
Q3 2017-10.4%-10.9%-5.9%
Q2 2017-0.6%-5.3%-0.5%
Q1 2017-5.0%-9.1%-6.9%
Q4 2016-11.3%-8.9%-15.0%
Q3 2016+16.6%+23.7%+36.2%
Q2 2016-11.1%-11.7%-9.5%
Q1 2016-5.9%
Q4 2015+2.4%
Q3 2015-4.6%
Q2 2015+5.0%
Q1 2015-4.3%
Q4 2014-0.6%
Q3 2014-0.9%
Q2 2014+6.6%
Q1 2014-3.1%
Q4 2013+11.8%
Q3 2012+4.9%
Q3 2013+4.9%
Q2 2013+5.5%
Q1 2013+0.9%
Q4 2012+3.9%
Q2 2012+3.9%
Q1 2012-1.7%
Q1 2011-1.7%
Q4 2009+1.9%
Q4 2011+1.9%
Q2 2011+1.9%
Q3 2011+1.6%
Q3 2010+1.6%
Q2 2010+4.0%
Q4 2010+4.0%
Q1 2010+9.1%

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