NYSE$NNI

Nelnet Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported GAAP net income and announced a new federal student loan servicing contract.

Nelnet reported a GAAP net income of $26.5 million, or $0.71 per share, for the first quarter of 2023. The company was also awarded a new, long-term federal student loan servicing contract.

  • Net income, excluding derivative market value adjustments, was $54.9 million, or $1.47 per share, for Q1 2023.
  • Asset Generation and Management (AGM) segment reported net interest income of $45.5 million.
  • Loan Servicing and Systems segment revenue was $139.2 million.
  • Education Technology, Services, and Payment Processing segment revenue was $133.6 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$332M

Previous: $482M-31.1%
EPS (adj)

$1.47

Previous: $1.99-26.1%
Total loans serviced

$579B

Previous: $557B+3.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$24.4M

Previous: -$15.8M-54.7%
Free Cash Flow

$2.06M

Previous: $171M-98.8%
Net Income

$26.5M

Previous: $187M-85.8%
Operating Income

-$9.53M

Previous: $201M-104.7%
Gross Profit

$276M

Previous: $446M-38.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$188M

Previous: $163M+15.2%
Total Assets

$18.1B

Previous: $21B-13.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.84M

Previous: $2.92M+31.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Nelnet · Revenue · Quarterly

$332M

Q1 2023-31.1%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 4 of 14 quarters(29%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Nelnet · $273M total across 2 segments · Q1 2023

  • Loan Servicing & Systems
    $139M+2.1%
  • EdTech & Payments
    $134M+19.0%

Forward guidance

Nelnet believes it has the financial strength and liquidity to continue investing in its core businesses and asset strategy. A new, long-term federal student loan servicing contract was awarded after the quarter.

Tailwinds

  • Financial strength to invest in core businesses
  • Ability to benefit from market turbulence
  • Ability to navigate a variety of economic conditions
  • New, long-term federal student loan servicing contract awarded
  • Dedication to helping federal student loan borrowers

Headwinds

  • Risks related to maintaining and increasing student loans serviced under existing and future contracts.
  • Risks related to compliance with agreements for servicing loans.
  • Loan portfolio risks such as interest rate basis and repricing risk.
  • Risks from changes in the terms of education loans and in the educational credit and services markets.
  • Risks related to a breach of or failure in the company's operational or information systems.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.9%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

36 / 65 earnings

Positive

+16.6%

Q3 2016

Best reaction

-11.3%

Q4 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.5%-13.6%-8.2%
Q4 2025-1.7%+3.5%-3.6%
Q3 2025+2.2%+0.1%+0.5%
Q1 2025+5.9%+10.6%+7.7%
Q4 2024+9.3%+6.7%-0.3%
Q3 2024-9.9%-12.5%-13.1%
Q2 2024+1.1%+2.6%+4.5%
Q1 2024+12.9%+13.9%+4.1%
Q4 2023-3.7%-3.1%+7.3%
Q3 2023-0.8%-3.1%-3.9%
Q2 2023-2.1%-4.1%-7.9%
Q1 2023-1.1%-0.9%+6.8%
Q4 2022-3.0%-2.5%-3.3%
Q3 2022+1.4%+8.2%+6.9%
Q2 2022-0.2%-2.3%-11.3%
Q1 2022-1.7%-0.8%+3.9%
Q4 2021+0.0%+1.6%+5.6%
Q3 2021-0.6%+1.8%+9.7%
Q2 2021+2.8%+2.5%+8.3%
Q1 2021-1.0%+2.9%-0.1%
Q4 2020+1.0%+2.7%+3.6%
Q3 2020+3.2%+13.8%+9.1%
Q2 2020+2.2%+1.8%+5.2%
Q1 2020-1.6%-2.8%+15.2%
Q4 2019-5.5%-10.1%-24.6%
Q3 2019-3.1%-1.9%-3.0%
Q2 2019+7.8%+6.8%+5.7%
Q1 2019+8.9%+6.0%+2.1%
Q4 2018+1.5%+1.2%+2.0%
Q3 2018-8.2%-3.9%-6.6%
Q2 2018-2.9%-3.1%-4.5%
Q1 2018+8.4%+8.9%+16.0%
Q4 2017+6.9%+6.7%+1.2%
Q3 2017-10.4%-10.9%-5.9%
Q2 2017-0.6%-5.3%-0.5%
Q1 2017-5.0%-9.1%-6.9%
Q4 2016-11.3%-8.9%-15.0%
Q3 2016+16.6%+23.7%+36.2%
Q2 2016-11.1%-11.7%-9.5%
Q1 2016-5.9%
Q4 2015+2.4%
Q3 2015-4.6%
Q2 2015+5.0%
Q1 2015-4.3%
Q4 2014-0.6%
Q3 2014-0.9%
Q2 2014+6.6%
Q1 2014-3.1%
Q4 2013+11.8%
Q3 2012+4.9%
Q3 2013+4.9%
Q2 2013+5.5%
Q1 2013+0.9%
Q4 2012+3.9%
Q2 2012+3.9%
Q1 2012-1.7%
Q1 2011-1.7%
Q4 2009+1.9%
Q4 2011+1.9%
Q2 2011+1.9%
Q3 2011+1.6%
Q3 2010+1.6%
Q2 2010+4.0%
Q4 2010+4.0%
Q1 2010+9.1%

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