NYSE$LXU

LSB Industries Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

LSB Industries reported strong top and bottom line growth despite executing two turnarounds.

LSB Industries reported net sales of $184 million and adjusted EPS of $0.27 for the third quarter ended September 30, 2022. The company benefited from higher selling prices and strategic commercial initiatives.

  • Net sales of $184 million compared to $127 million in the third quarter of 2021.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $50 million compared to $38 million in the third quarter of 2021.
  • Adjusted EPS of $0.27 compared to $0.07 in the third quarter of 2021.
  • Total liquidity of approximately $450 million as of September 30, 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$184M

Previous: $127M+44.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.27

Previous: $0.07+285.7%
Adjusted EBITDA

$49.9M

Previous: $37.7M+32.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$32.5M

Previous: -$26.1M-24.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$30.2M

Previous: -$35M+13.7%
Net Income

$2.31M

Previous: -$8.93M+125.9%
Operating Income

$13.1M

Previous: $5.37M+143.2%
Gross Profit

$22.1M

Previous: $17.4M+26.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$19.6M

Previous: $32.9M-40.2%
Total Assets

$1.45B

Previous: $1.07B+35.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$921K

Previous: $4.33M-78.7%

Revenue & EPS history

LSB Industries · Revenue · Quarterly

$184M

Q3 2022+44.9%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 7 of 13 quarters(54%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

LSB Industries · $134M total across 3 segments · Q3 2022

  • AN & Nitric Acid
    $66.2M
  • Ammonia
    $52.1M
  • Other
    $15.6M

Forward guidance

Market conditions remain intact to keep fertilizer prices above historical averages for the remainder of 2022 and full year 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Farmer economics continue to be very favorable as a result of strong global demand for corn in the face of constrained supply.
  • Corn prices remain above 10-year averages and farmer profitability is meaningfully positive despite inflation across their cost inputs.
  • Demand for agricultural ammonia is expected to be strong through November and into December as farmers seek to replenish the nitrogen in their soil in advance of the coming Spring planting season.
  • Domestic natural gas prices remain a fraction of those in Europe, giving U.S. ammonia producers a substantial cost advantage in the global market.
  • Rising global consumption of coal has strengthened demand and pricing for ammonium nitrate.

Headwinds

  • Dry conditions in South America, the Western U.S. and parts of Europe coupled with continued high demand for corn from China.
  • Natural gas costs in Europe continue to be a major driver of high fertilizer prices.
  • Moving into the winter heating season it appears possible that European gas prices could rise again if temperatures are below average for periods of time as supply remains tight.
  • The impact of the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the ongoing conflict in the region has contributed to the constraints to both global grain and ammonia supplies.
  • Orders from customers producing products largely for export to Europe and Asia have softened to a degree given weakening international economies.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.2%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

30 / 65 earnings

Positive

+34.0%

Q1 2017

Best reaction

-54.7%

Q3 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.0%+0.7%-17.4%
Q4 2025+15.5%+19.2%+62.7%
Q3 2025-0.1%-8.3%-2.9%
Q1 2025+4.9%+4.8%+24.5%
Q4 2024-4.0%-12.7%-14.3%
Q3 2024-6.8%-5.4%-1.4%
Q2 2024+5.1%-8.3%-11.0%
Q1 2024+13.3%+3.7%+17.7%
Q4 2023+1.1%+4.1%+17.4%
Q3 2023-1.4%-8.7%-0.7%
Q2 2023+3.7%+2.1%-10.8%
Q1 2023+2.0%-1.3%+6.8%
Q4 2022+5.2%+6.4%-21.5%
Q3 2022-5.6%-5.9%-16.2%
Q2 2022+9.8%+9.2%+34.8%
Q1 2022-4.3%-12.6%-0.7%
Q4 2021+22.5%+42.5%+92.3%
Q3 2021-2.7%+2.5%+0.8%
Q2 2021+2.0%+7.6%+1.6%
Q1 2021-3.5%-5.5%-4.4%
Q4 2020+14.2%+19.3%+10.0%
Q3 2020-11.4%-1.0%+43.8%
Q2 2020+4.5%+1.8%+105.5%
Q1 2020-5.8%-19.0%-27.0%
Q4 2019-19.9%-19.1%-9.5%
Q3 2019-20.6%-16.2%-28.5%
Q2 2019+28.9%+26.4%+18.8%
Q1 2019-4.4%-5.7%-39.1%
Q4 2018-5.5%-4.1%-14.7%
Q3 2018-10.6%-13.1%-16.1%
Q2 2018-11.9%-16.5%-6.2%
Q1 2018+3.7%-1.2%-7.3%
Q4 2017+10.9%+4.0%-14.8%
Q3 2017+1.6%+4.4%+20.3%
Q2 2017-26.3%-26.7%-39.1%
Q1 2017+34.0%+53.7%+30.8%
Q4 2016+23.9%+20.5%+5.8%
Q3 2016+18.1%+39.6%+54.9%
Q2 2016+5.0%-2.6%-2.4%
Q1 2016-34.0%
Q4 2015+25.1%
Q3 2015-54.7%
Q2 2015-31.7%
Q1 2015-2.0%
Q4 2014+2.5%
Q3 2014-10.7%
Q2 2014-1.8%
Q1 2014-1.5%
Q4 2013-4.1%
Q3 2013-12.3%
Q1 2011+2.5%
Q2 2013+7.0%
Q1 2013+0.3%
Q4 2012-0.9%
Q3 2012-5.9%
Q2 2012+8.0%
Q1 2012+3.3%
Q4 2009+12.1%
Q4 2011+12.1%
Q3 2010-11.9%
Q3 2011-11.9%
Q4 2010-1.0%
Q2 2011-1.0%
Q2 2010-1.0%
Q1 2010-6.8%

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