NYSE$LXU

LSB Industries Inc · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

LSB Industries reported results with a decrease in net sales and net income compared to the second quarter of 2022, but sales volumes were up.

LSB Industries reported a decrease in net sales and net income for the second quarter of 2023 compared to the same period in 2022, but sales volumes increased. The decline in financial performance was attributed to lower selling prices, although this was partially offset by higher sales volumes and lower natural gas prices. The company continued to generate solid free cash flow and repurchased stock and bonds.

  • Net sales decreased to $166 million compared to $285 million in Q2 2022.
  • Net income decreased to $25 million compared to $103 million in Q2 2022.
  • EPS decreased to $0.33 compared to $1.17 for Q2 2022.
  • Total cash and short-term investments were approximately $314 million as of June 30, 2023.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$166M

Previous: $285M-41.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.25

Previous: $1.22-79.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$32.3M

Previous: -$16.4M-96.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$7.17M

Previous: $87M-108.2%
Net Income

$25.1M

Previous: $103M-75.7%
Operating Income

$27.5M

Previous: $133M-79.3%
Gross Profit

$36M

Previous: $143M-74.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$45.1M

Previous: $125M-64.0%
Total Assets

$1.3B

Previous: $1.51B-13.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.93M

Previous: $1.37M+41.2%

Revenue & EPS history

LSB Industries · Revenue · Quarterly

$166M

Q2 2023-41.8%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 7 of 13 quarters(54%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

LSB Industries · $55.4M total across 2 segments · Q2 2023

  • Ammonia
    $39.6M-55.7%
  • Other
    $15.8M-29.1%

Forward guidance

Nitrogen pricing has stabilized over the last month and has recently begun to strengthen. The company believes that current pricing for ammonia and other nitrogen products should prove attractive to retailers and farmers such that, as the second half of 2023 progresses and as the 2024 planting season approaches, demand for nitrogen fertilizers should increase to a degree that pricing will continue to rise from current levels.

Tailwinds

  • Nitrogen pricing has stabilized over the last month and has recently begun to strengthen.
  • Current pricing for ammonia and other nitrogen products should prove attractive to retailers and farmers.
  • Demand for nitrogen fertilizers should increase as the second half of 2023 progresses and as the 2024 planting season approaches.
  • Favorable U.S. corn market dynamics to provide support for stronger fertilizer pricing later this year and into next year.
  • Corn prices remain above 10-year averages which should further incentivize farmers to optimize fertilizer applications in the fourth quarter of 2023 and the first half of 2024 in order to maximize yields.

Headwinds

  • Nitrogen fertilizer prices have declined significantly over the course of 2023 reflecting reduced global demand for ammonia and a decline in European production costs.
  • A slowdown in Asian industrial activity, particularly in China, has also contributed to lower nitrogen prices as ammonia is a feedstock for various downstream chemicals that are produced in China.
  • China’s manufacturing activity has contracted for much of the past two years resulting in a reduction of the country’s ammonia consumption and contributing to greater global ammonia supply and weaker prices.
  • Cold and wet weather across many corn growing regions of the U.S. in the early Spring delayed the application of fertilizers which, combined with lower demand for phosphate products this planting season, further increased ammonia inventories in the supply chain and leading to weaker prices.
  • Economic concerns persist for 2023

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.2%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

30 / 65 earnings

Positive

+34.0%

Q1 2017

Best reaction

-54.7%

Q3 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.0%+0.7%-17.4%
Q4 2025+15.5%+19.2%+62.7%
Q3 2025-0.1%-8.3%-2.9%
Q1 2025+4.9%+4.8%+24.5%
Q4 2024-4.0%-12.7%-14.3%
Q3 2024-6.8%-5.4%-1.4%
Q2 2024+5.1%-8.3%-11.0%
Q1 2024+13.3%+3.7%+17.7%
Q4 2023+1.1%+4.1%+17.4%
Q3 2023-1.4%-8.7%-0.7%
Q2 2023+3.7%+2.1%-10.8%
Q1 2023+2.0%-1.3%+6.8%
Q4 2022+5.2%+6.4%-21.5%
Q3 2022-5.6%-5.9%-16.2%
Q2 2022+9.8%+9.2%+34.8%
Q1 2022-4.3%-12.6%-0.7%
Q4 2021+22.5%+42.5%+92.3%
Q3 2021-2.7%+2.5%+0.8%
Q2 2021+2.0%+7.6%+1.6%
Q1 2021-3.5%-5.5%-4.4%
Q4 2020+14.2%+19.3%+10.0%
Q3 2020-11.4%-1.0%+43.8%
Q2 2020+4.5%+1.8%+105.5%
Q1 2020-5.8%-19.0%-27.0%
Q4 2019-19.9%-19.1%-9.5%
Q3 2019-20.6%-16.2%-28.5%
Q2 2019+28.9%+26.4%+18.8%
Q1 2019-4.4%-5.7%-39.1%
Q4 2018-5.5%-4.1%-14.7%
Q3 2018-10.6%-13.1%-16.1%
Q2 2018-11.9%-16.5%-6.2%
Q1 2018+3.7%-1.2%-7.3%
Q4 2017+10.9%+4.0%-14.8%
Q3 2017+1.6%+4.4%+20.3%
Q2 2017-26.3%-26.7%-39.1%
Q1 2017+34.0%+53.7%+30.8%
Q4 2016+23.9%+20.5%+5.8%
Q3 2016+18.1%+39.6%+54.9%
Q2 2016+5.0%-2.6%-2.4%
Q1 2016-34.0%
Q4 2015+25.1%
Q3 2015-54.7%
Q2 2015-31.7%
Q1 2015-2.0%
Q4 2014+2.5%
Q3 2014-10.7%
Q2 2014-1.8%
Q1 2014-1.5%
Q4 2013-4.1%
Q3 2013-12.3%
Q1 2011+2.5%
Q2 2013+7.0%
Q1 2013+0.3%
Q4 2012-0.9%
Q3 2012-5.9%
Q2 2012+8.0%
Q1 2012+3.3%
Q4 2009+12.1%
Q4 2011+12.1%
Q3 2010-11.9%
Q3 2011-11.9%
Q4 2010-1.0%
Q2 2011-1.0%
Q2 2010-1.0%
Q1 2010-6.8%

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