NYSE$LXU

LSB Industries Inc · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

LSB Industries reported results affected by lower selling prices, partially offset by stronger sales volumes and lower natural gas prices.

LSB Industries reported net sales of $83.4 million and a net loss of $19.5 million for the first quarter of 2020. The company saw an 8% increase in overall sales volumes, including a 21% increase in UAN sales volumes compared to the first quarter of 2019. Despite the COVID-19 pandemic, facilities remained fully operational.

  • Net sales reached $83.4 million.
  • Net loss amounted to $19.5 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $15.6 million, including an adjustment for certain legal fees of $3.3 million.
  • Overall sales volumes increased by 8%, with UAN sales volumes up 21% compared to Q1 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$83.4M

Previous: $94.2M-11.4%
EPS (adj)

-$0.78

Previous: -$0.53-47.2%
Adjusted EBITDA

$15.6M

Previous: $19.1M-18.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$10.7M

Previous: -$7.12M-50.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$30.2M

Previous: -$18.7M-61.8%
Net Income

-$19.5M

Previous: -$11.5M-68.6%
Operating Income

-$6.99M

Previous: $71K-9940.8%
Gross Profit

$2.55M

Previous: $7.32M-65.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$37.5M

Previous: $21.7M+72.7%
Total Assets

$1.11B

Previous: $1.13B-1.4%

Revenue & EPS history

LSB Industries · Revenue · Quarterly

$83.4M

Q1 2020-11.4%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

LSB Industries · $84.2M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • AN & Nitric Acid
    $46M-30.4%
  • Ammonia
    $26.8M-48.5%
  • Other
    $11.3M-27.2%

Forward guidance

LSB Industries expects a material year-over-year improvement in results for full year 2020, despite uncertainties and demand headwinds caused by the pandemic crisis. The company has taken decisive actions to control costs and maintain liquidity.

Tailwinds

  • USDA increased its 2020 forecast for total corn acres to be planted.
  • Strong pickup in orders and shipments of fertilizer products.
  • Facilities operating at high production rates.
  • Implemented protocols to ensure employee health and safety.
  • Believe in ability to deliver year-over-year improvement in EBITDA and cash flow in 2020.

Headwinds

  • Drop in demand for ethanol due to reduced vehicle use.
  • Pull back in demand for products used in auto manufacturing, home building, power generation, water treatment, and coal and metals mining industries.
  • Uncertainties and demand headwinds caused by the pandemic crisis.
  • Lower selling prices for agricultural and industrial products.
  • Excess ammonia inventory in the U.S. distribution channel.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.2%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

30 / 65 earnings

Positive

+34.0%

Q1 2017

Best reaction

-54.7%

Q3 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.0%+0.7%-17.4%
Q4 2025+15.5%+19.2%+62.7%
Q3 2025-0.1%-8.3%-2.9%
Q1 2025+4.9%+4.8%+24.5%
Q4 2024-4.0%-12.7%-14.3%
Q3 2024-6.8%-5.4%-1.4%
Q2 2024+5.1%-8.3%-11.0%
Q1 2024+13.3%+3.7%+17.7%
Q4 2023+1.1%+4.1%+17.4%
Q3 2023-1.4%-8.7%-0.7%
Q2 2023+3.7%+2.1%-10.8%
Q1 2023+2.0%-1.3%+6.8%
Q4 2022+5.2%+6.4%-21.5%
Q3 2022-5.6%-5.9%-16.2%
Q2 2022+9.8%+9.2%+34.8%
Q1 2022-4.3%-12.6%-0.7%
Q4 2021+22.5%+42.5%+92.3%
Q3 2021-2.7%+2.5%+0.8%
Q2 2021+2.0%+7.6%+1.6%
Q1 2021-3.5%-5.5%-4.4%
Q4 2020+14.2%+19.3%+10.0%
Q3 2020-11.4%-1.0%+43.8%
Q2 2020+4.5%+1.8%+105.5%
Q1 2020-5.8%-19.0%-27.0%
Q4 2019-19.9%-19.1%-9.5%
Q3 2019-20.6%-16.2%-28.5%
Q2 2019+28.9%+26.4%+18.8%
Q1 2019-4.4%-5.7%-39.1%
Q4 2018-5.5%-4.1%-14.7%
Q3 2018-10.6%-13.1%-16.1%
Q2 2018-11.9%-16.5%-6.2%
Q1 2018+3.7%-1.2%-7.3%
Q4 2017+10.9%+4.0%-14.8%
Q3 2017+1.6%+4.4%+20.3%
Q2 2017-26.3%-26.7%-39.1%
Q1 2017+34.0%+53.7%+30.8%
Q4 2016+23.9%+20.5%+5.8%
Q3 2016+18.1%+39.6%+54.9%
Q2 2016+5.0%-2.6%-2.4%
Q1 2016-34.0%
Q4 2015+25.1%
Q3 2015-54.7%
Q2 2015-31.7%
Q1 2015-2.0%
Q4 2014+2.5%
Q3 2014-10.7%
Q2 2014-1.8%
Q1 2014-1.5%
Q4 2013-4.1%
Q3 2013-12.3%
Q1 2011+2.5%
Q2 2013+7.0%
Q1 2013+0.3%
Q4 2012-0.9%
Q3 2012-5.9%
Q2 2012+8.0%
Q1 2012+3.3%
Q4 2009+12.1%
Q4 2011+12.1%
Q3 2010-11.9%
Q3 2011-11.9%
Q4 2010-1.0%
Q2 2011-1.0%
Q2 2010-1.0%
Q1 2010-6.8%

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