NYSE$LXU

LSB Industries Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

LSB Industries reported a net loss for Q3 2020, but saw increased sales volumes partially offset by weaker pricing.

LSB Industries reported a net loss of $20.4 million on net sales of $74.0 million for the third quarter ended September 30, 2020. While the company experienced stronger sales volumes, this was offset by weaker pricing compared to the prior year's third quarter. The Pryor facility achieved record UAN production and sales, and fertilizer sales volumes increased by 19%.

  • Net sales increased 12% due to stronger sales volumes, offset by a 14% decrease from weaker pricing.
  • Net loss was $20.4 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $10.2 million, reflecting an $8.8 million benefit from stronger sales volumes, offset by a $10.4 million impact from weaker pricing.
  • Fertilizer sales volumes increased 19%, including a 33% increase in UAN sales volumes.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$74M

Previous: $75.5M-2.0%
EPS (adj)

-$0.82

Previous: -$1.07+23.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$22.2M

Previous: -$20.5M-8.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$42.6M

Previous: -$51.2M+16.8%
Net Income

-$20.4M

Previous: -$30.8M+33.7%
Operating Income

-$9M

Previous: -$19.2M+53.2%
Gross Profit

-$1.06M

Previous: -$9.73M+89.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$42.1M

Previous: $66.8M-37.0%
Total Assets

$1.07B

Previous: $1.13B-5.3%

Revenue & EPS history

LSB Industries · Revenue · Quarterly

$74M

Q3 2020-2%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

LSB Industries · $84.2M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • AN & Nitric Acid
    $46M-30.4%
  • Ammonia
    $26.8M-48.5%
  • Other
    $11.3M-27.2%

Forward guidance

LSB Industries is cautiously optimistic about improving sales volume and pricing in the coming months, driven by emerging demand trends in both the agricultural and industrial sectors. They anticipate stronger corn prices leading to higher plantings and increased demand for fertilizers. Gradual improvement is expected in demand for nitric acid, industrial ammonia, and ammonium nitrate as key sectors recover.

Tailwinds

  • Stronger corn prices could result in higher plantings in 2021.
  • Increased demand for orders of UAN and HDAN for the 2021 spring planting season.
  • Gradual improvement in demand for nitric acid, industrial ammonia and ammonium nitrate as sectors such as automotive manufacturing, home building, and copper mining have increased activity.
  • Stronger demand in the agricultural and industrial sectors should drive greater consumption of ammonia in the U.S. market, reducing the current inventory buildup and allowing the Tampa ammonia benchmark to rise, benefitting our selling prices.
  • Expectations for continued operating performance improvement.

Headwinds

  • Effects of COVID-19 protocols and restrictions continue to weigh on the U.S. economy.
  • The oversupply of ammonia that has persisted for the past 18 months continued to pressure the nitrogen chemical industry in the third quarter.
  • Pricing for all major fertilizer categories was impacted by the continued oversupply of ammonia and UAN in our primary end markets.
  • Pricing for our industrial products was also impacted by excess ammonia inventory in the U.S. distribution channel which continues to be impacted by lower demand for industrial ammonia applications.
  • Very hot and dry weather across the Southern Plains delayed the shipment of HDAN fill tons during the quarter.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.2%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

30 / 65 earnings

Positive

+34.0%

Q1 2017

Best reaction

-54.7%

Q3 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.0%+0.7%-17.4%
Q4 2025+15.5%+19.2%+62.7%
Q3 2025-0.1%-8.3%-2.9%
Q1 2025+4.9%+4.8%+24.5%
Q4 2024-4.0%-12.7%-14.3%
Q3 2024-6.8%-5.4%-1.4%
Q2 2024+5.1%-8.3%-11.0%
Q1 2024+13.3%+3.7%+17.7%
Q4 2023+1.1%+4.1%+17.4%
Q3 2023-1.4%-8.7%-0.7%
Q2 2023+3.7%+2.1%-10.8%
Q1 2023+2.0%-1.3%+6.8%
Q4 2022+5.2%+6.4%-21.5%
Q3 2022-5.6%-5.9%-16.2%
Q2 2022+9.8%+9.2%+34.8%
Q1 2022-4.3%-12.6%-0.7%
Q4 2021+22.5%+42.5%+92.3%
Q3 2021-2.7%+2.5%+0.8%
Q2 2021+2.0%+7.6%+1.6%
Q1 2021-3.5%-5.5%-4.4%
Q4 2020+14.2%+19.3%+10.0%
Q3 2020-11.4%-1.0%+43.8%
Q2 2020+4.5%+1.8%+105.5%
Q1 2020-5.8%-19.0%-27.0%
Q4 2019-19.9%-19.1%-9.5%
Q3 2019-20.6%-16.2%-28.5%
Q2 2019+28.9%+26.4%+18.8%
Q1 2019-4.4%-5.7%-39.1%
Q4 2018-5.5%-4.1%-14.7%
Q3 2018-10.6%-13.1%-16.1%
Q2 2018-11.9%-16.5%-6.2%
Q1 2018+3.7%-1.2%-7.3%
Q4 2017+10.9%+4.0%-14.8%
Q3 2017+1.6%+4.4%+20.3%
Q2 2017-26.3%-26.7%-39.1%
Q1 2017+34.0%+53.7%+30.8%
Q4 2016+23.9%+20.5%+5.8%
Q3 2016+18.1%+39.6%+54.9%
Q2 2016+5.0%-2.6%-2.4%
Q1 2016-34.0%
Q4 2015+25.1%
Q3 2015-54.7%
Q2 2015-31.7%
Q1 2015-2.0%
Q4 2014+2.5%
Q3 2014-10.7%
Q2 2014-1.8%
Q1 2014-1.5%
Q4 2013-4.1%
Q3 2013-12.3%
Q1 2011+2.5%
Q2 2013+7.0%
Q1 2013+0.3%
Q4 2012-0.9%
Q3 2012-5.9%
Q2 2012+8.0%
Q1 2012+3.3%
Q4 2009+12.1%
Q4 2011+12.1%
Q3 2010-11.9%
Q3 2011-11.9%
Q4 2010-1.0%
Q2 2011-1.0%
Q2 2010-1.0%
Q1 2010-6.8%

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