NYSE$LUMN

Lumen Technologies Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported an increase in net income and progress in financial strengthening and strategic development.

Lumen Technologies reported a net income of $85 million for Q4 2024, a significant improvement compared to the net loss of $(1.995) billion in Q4 2023. The company focused on strengthening its financial position, transforming corporate functions, and building infrastructure for the AI economy.

  • Reported Net Income of $85 million for the fourth quarter 2024, compared to reported Net Loss of $(1.995) billion for the fourth quarter 2023.
  • Reported diluted earnings per share of $0.09 for the fourth quarter 2024, compared to diluted loss per share of $(2.03) for the fourth quarter 2023.
  • Generated Adjusted EBITDA of $1.052 billion for the fourth quarter 2024, compared to $1.099 billion for the fourth quarter 2023, excluding the effects of Special Items of $132 million and $211 million, respectively.
  • Reported Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities of $688 million for the fourth quarter 2024.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.33B

Previous: $3.52B-5.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.09

Previous: $0.08+12.5%
Adjusted EBITDA

$920M

Previous: $888M+3.6%
Adjusted EBITDA Excluding Special Items

$1.05B

Previous: $1.1B-4.3%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

27.6%

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Excluding Special Items

31.6%

No prior period
Unlevered Cash Flow

$112M

Previous: $196M-42.9%
Unlevered Cash Flow Excluding Cash Special Items

$165M

Previous: $283M-41.7%
Net Income Excluding Special Items

$93M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$915M

Previous: $821M+11.4%
Mass Markets Total Broadband Subscribers

2.5M

No prior period
Fiber Broadband Subscribers

1.1M

No prior period
Mass Markets Total Broadband Enabled Units

22.0M

No prior period
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities

$688M

Previous: $784M-12.2%
Free Cash Flow Excluding Cash Special Items

-$174M

Previous: $50M-448.0%
Net (Loss) Income Margin

2.6%

No prior period
Net Income (Loss) Margin Excluding Special Items

2.8%

No prior period
Other Broadband Subscribers

1.5M

No prior period
Fiber Broadband Enabled Units

4.2

No prior period
Other Broadband Enabled Units

17.8

No prior period
Net Income

$85M

Previous: -$2B+104.3%
Operating Income

$154M

Previous: -$1.78B+108.7%
Gross Profit

$3.33B

Previous: $1.03B+223.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Lumen · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.33B

Q4 2024-5.3%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Lumen · $3.64B total across 5 segments · Q3 2023

  • Large Enterprise
    $1.18B+40.0%
  • Wholesale
    $770M-14.6%
  • Mass Markets Segment Revenue
    $747M-36.3%
  • Mid-Market Enterprise
    $498M-19.4%
  • Public Sector
    $444M

Forward guidance

Lumen updated its full-year 2025 financial outlook.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be $3.2 to $3.4 billion.
  • Free Cash Flow is expected to be $700 to $900 million.
  • Net Cash Interest is expected to be $1.2 to $1.3 billion.
  • Capital Expenditures are expected to be $4.1 to $4.3 billion.
  • Cash Income Taxes are expected to be $100 to $200 million.

Headwinds

  • The financial outlook excludes the effects of Special Items.
  • The financial outlook excludes future changes in operating or capital allocation plans.
  • The financial outlook excludes unforeseen changes in regulation, laws or litigation.
  • The financial outlook excludes unforeseen events or circumstances impacting financial performance.
  • The outlook speaks only as of Feb. 4, 2025.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.0%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

33 / 68 earnings

Positive

+156.0%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-34.2%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+4.6%-9.6%-3.6%
Q4 2025-21.6%-8.2%-21.7%
Q3 2025+14.2%+5.0%-21.6%
Q1 2025+6.9%+20.2%+11.4%
Q4 2024-1.4%-1.2%+5.2%
Q3 2024+20.6%+28.2%-13.5%
Q2 2024+156.0%+115.1%+112.4%
Q1 2024-0.8%+8.2%+4.9%
Q4 2023+12.4%+17.8%+34.1%
Q3 2023-34.2%-24.8%-12.1%
Q2 2023+0.0%-7.3%-11.2%
Q1 2023-3.8%-4.2%-18.1%
Q4 2022-21.6%-21.4%-42.9%
Q3 2022-21.9%-18.7%-25.8%
Q2 2022+0.6%+1.9%-8.5%
Q1 2022+3.2%+7.1%+11.8%
Q4 2021-14.6%-21.8%-15.8%
Q3 2021+12.2%+14.6%+1.1%
Q2 2021-7.3%-6.3%-1.5%
Q1 2021+2.3%+8.8%+12.3%
Q4 2020-8.4%-6.2%+11.7%
Q3 2020+1.9%+1.5%+15.9%
Q2 2020+6.9%+9.9%+8.9%
Q1 2020-4.9%-3.4%+8.0%
Q4 2019-7.0%-6.9%-32.2%
Q3 2019+8.9%+10.2%+3.6%
Q2 2019-10.5%-6.3%-1.3%
Q1 2019-4.8%-7.9%-7.6%
Q4 2018-12.2%-5.6%-16.9%
Q3 2018-11.9%-12.5%-18.6%
Q2 2018+12.5%+17.4%+17.7%
Q1 2018+7.0%+6.1%-2.6%
Q4 2017+11.2%+10.0%-0.5%
Q3 2017-4.6%-5.5%-9.6%
Q2 2017-3.9%-4.4%-14.2%
Q1 2017-8.5%-4.4%-0.3%
Q4 2016-1.8%-1.0%-7.0%
Q3 2016-17.8%-24.2%-22.6%
Q2 2016-1.1%-1.0%-8.7%
Q1 2016-7.8%
Q4 2015+10.0%
Q3 2015+0.8%
Q2 2015-1.8%
Q1 2015-4.1%
Q4 2014-2.2%
Q3 2014-6.3%
Q2 2014-0.9%
Q1 2014+7.0%
Q4 2013+1.5%
Q3 2013-4.7%
Q2 2013-5.0%
Q1 2013+0.5%
Q4 2012-22.7%
Q3 2012+1.9%
Q2 2012+1.6%
Q1 2012+0.2%
Q4 2010+0.6%
Q4 2011+0.6%
Q3 2011+3.6%
Q2 2011+4.9%
Q1 2010+0.8%
Q1 2011-1.7%
Q4 2008+0.2%
Q3 2010-0.7%
Q3 2009-0.7%
Q4 2009+0.2%
Q2 2010+0.2%
Q2 2009+0.2%

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