NYSE$LUMN

Lumen Technologies Inc · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Lumen's first quarter performance in 2024 was marked by strategic debt restructuring and a focus on digital enterprise solutions, despite facing expected headwinds.

Lumen Technologies reported a net income of $57 million and free cash flow of $518 million, excluding special items. The company successfully completed TSA transactions, strengthening its balance sheet and securing new liquidity. While revenue declined year-over-year, Lumen saw accelerated North America Enterprise sales and improved customer satisfaction.

  • Successfully completed TSA transactions, addressing over $15 billion in debt and commitments.
  • Secured access to over $2.3 billion in new liquidity to fuel pivot to growth.
  • Generated Free Cash Flow of $518 million, excluding cash paid for Special Items.
  • Reiterated full-year 2024 financial outlook, expecting Q1 to be the low-point for Adjusted EBITDA.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.29B

Previous: $3.74B-12.0%
EPS

$0.06

Previous: $0.10-40.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$807M

Previous: $1.14B-29.0%
Adjusted EBITDA Excluding Special Items

$977M

Previous: $1.25B-21.9%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

24.5%

Previous: 30.4%-19.4%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Excluding Special Items

29.7%

Previous: 33.5%-11.3%
Unlevered Cash Flow

$670M

Previous: $305M+119.7%
Unlevered Cash Flow Excluding Cash Special Items

$799M

Previous: $275M+190.5%
Net Income Excluding Special Items

-$41M

Previous: $97M-142.3%
Capital Expenditures

$713M

Previous: $640M+11.4%
Mass Markets Total Broadband Subscribers

2.7M

No prior period
Fiber Broadband Subscribers

952.0K

No prior period
Mass Markets Total Broadband Enabled Units

21.8M

No prior period
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities

$1.1B

No prior period
Free Cash Flow Excluding Cash Special Items

$518M

Previous: -$75M+790.7%
Net (Loss) Income Margin

1.7%

No prior period
Net Income (Loss) Margin Excluding Special Items

-1.2%

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$57M

Previous: $511M-88.8%
Net Income

$57M

Previous: $511M-88.8%
Operating Income

$45M

Previous: $390M-88.5%
Gross Profit

$1.64B

Previous: $1.92B-14.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.58B

Previous: $1.15B+37.6%
Total Assets

$33.2B

Previous: $45.5B-27.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$14M

Previous: $14M+0.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Lumen · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.29B

Q1 2024-12%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Lumen · $3.64B total across 5 segments · Q3 2023

  • Large Enterprise
    $1.18B+40.0%
  • Wholesale
    $770M-14.6%
  • Mass Markets Segment Revenue
    $747M-36.3%
  • Mid-Market Enterprise
    $498M-19.4%
  • Public Sector
    $444M

Forward guidance

Lumen Technologies reiterated its full-year 2024 financial outlook.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $4.1 to $4.3 billion.
  • Free Cash Flow is projected to be between $100 to $300 million.
  • Net Cash Interest is anticipated to be between $1.25 to $1.35 billion.
  • Capital Expenditures are expected to be between $2.7 to $2.9 billion.
  • Cash Income Taxes/(Refund) is projected to be between ($200) to ($300) million, including an approximately $700 million tax refund received during the first quarter 2024.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.0%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

33 / 68 earnings

Positive

+156.0%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-34.2%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+4.6%-9.6%-3.6%
Q4 2025-21.6%-8.2%-21.7%
Q3 2025+14.2%+5.0%-21.6%
Q1 2025+6.9%+20.2%+11.4%
Q4 2024-1.4%-1.2%+5.2%
Q3 2024+20.6%+28.2%-13.5%
Q2 2024+156.0%+115.1%+112.4%
Q1 2024-0.8%+8.2%+4.9%
Q4 2023+12.4%+17.8%+34.1%
Q3 2023-34.2%-24.8%-12.1%
Q2 2023+0.0%-7.3%-11.2%
Q1 2023-3.8%-4.2%-18.1%
Q4 2022-21.6%-21.4%-42.9%
Q3 2022-21.9%-18.7%-25.8%
Q2 2022+0.6%+1.9%-8.5%
Q1 2022+3.2%+7.1%+11.8%
Q4 2021-14.6%-21.8%-15.8%
Q3 2021+12.2%+14.6%+1.1%
Q2 2021-7.3%-6.3%-1.5%
Q1 2021+2.3%+8.8%+12.3%
Q4 2020-8.4%-6.2%+11.7%
Q3 2020+1.9%+1.5%+15.9%
Q2 2020+6.9%+9.9%+8.9%
Q1 2020-4.9%-3.4%+8.0%
Q4 2019-7.0%-6.9%-32.2%
Q3 2019+8.9%+10.2%+3.6%
Q2 2019-10.5%-6.3%-1.3%
Q1 2019-4.8%-7.9%-7.6%
Q4 2018-12.2%-5.6%-16.9%
Q3 2018-11.9%-12.5%-18.6%
Q2 2018+12.5%+17.4%+17.7%
Q1 2018+7.0%+6.1%-2.6%
Q4 2017+11.2%+10.0%-0.5%
Q3 2017-4.6%-5.5%-9.6%
Q2 2017-3.9%-4.4%-14.2%
Q1 2017-8.5%-4.4%-0.3%
Q4 2016-1.8%-1.0%-7.0%
Q3 2016-17.8%-24.2%-22.6%
Q2 2016-1.1%-1.0%-8.7%
Q1 2016-7.8%
Q4 2015+10.0%
Q3 2015+0.8%
Q2 2015-1.8%
Q1 2015-4.1%
Q4 2014-2.2%
Q3 2014-6.3%
Q2 2014-0.9%
Q1 2014+7.0%
Q4 2013+1.5%
Q3 2013-4.7%
Q2 2013-5.0%
Q1 2013+0.5%
Q4 2012-22.7%
Q3 2012+1.9%
Q2 2012+1.6%
Q1 2012+0.2%
Q4 2010+0.6%
Q4 2011+0.6%
Q3 2011+3.6%
Q2 2011+4.9%
Q1 2010+0.8%
Q1 2011-1.7%
Q4 2008+0.2%
Q3 2010-0.7%
Q3 2009-0.7%
Q4 2009+0.2%
Q2 2010+0.2%
Q2 2009+0.2%

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