NYSE$LUMN

Lumen Technologies Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Lumen reported a net loss impacted by a non-cash goodwill impairment charge, while making progress on strategic priorities and delivering on EBITDA and free cash flow guidance.

Lumen Technologies reported a net loss of $(1.995) billion for Q4 2023, which included a non-cash goodwill impairment charge of $1.9 billion. Excluding special items, diluted earnings per share was $0.08. The company generated adjusted EBITDA of $1.099 billion and free cash flow of $50 million, excluding special items.

  • Announced Amended and Restated Transaction Support Agreement to address approximately $9 billion of outstanding indebtedness.
  • Completed the $1.8 billion divestiture of its EMEA business and the sale of select CDN contracts.
  • Generated Adjusted EBITDA of $1.099 billion for the fourth quarter 2023, compared to $1.393 billion for the fourth quarter 2022, excluding the effects of Special Items.
  • Generated Free Cash Flow of $50 million for the fourth quarter 2023, compared to $126 million for the fourth quarter 2022, excluding cash paid for Special items.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.52B

Previous: $3.8B-7.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.08

Previous: $0.43-81.4%
Adjusted EBITDA

$888M

Previous: $810M+9.6%
Adjusted EBITDA Excluding Special Items

$1.1B

Previous: $1.39B-21.1%
Unlevered Cash Flow

$196M

Previous: $264M-25.8%
Unlevered Cash Flow Excluding Cash Special Items

$283M

Previous: $382M-25.9%
Capital Expenditures

$821M

No prior period
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities

$784M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow Excluding Cash Special Items

$50M

Previous: $126M-60.3%
Net Income

-$2B

Previous: -$3.07B+35.0%
Operating Income

-$1.78B

Previous: -$3.28B+45.9%
Gross Profit

$1.03B

Previous: $1.97B-47.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$13M

Previous: $27M-51.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Lumen · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.52B

Q4 2023-7.4%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Lumen · $3.64B total across 5 segments · Q3 2023

  • Large Enterprise
    $1.18B+40.0%
  • Wholesale
    $770M-14.6%
  • Mass Markets Segment Revenue
    $747M-36.3%
  • Mid-Market Enterprise
    $498M-19.4%
  • Public Sector
    $444M

Forward guidance

Lumen provided its full-year 2024 financial outlook, anticipating adjusted EBITDA between $4.1 to $4.3 billion and free cash flow between $100 to $300 million.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA: $4.1 to $4.3 billion
  • Free Cash Flow: $100 to $300 million
  • Net Cash Interest: $1.25 to $1.35 billion
  • Capital Expenditures: $2.7 to $2.9 billion
  • Cash Income Taxes/(Refund): ($200) to ($300) million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.0%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

33 / 68 earnings

Positive

+156.0%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-34.2%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+4.6%-9.6%-3.6%
Q4 2025-21.6%-8.2%-21.7%
Q3 2025+14.2%+5.0%-21.6%
Q1 2025+6.9%+20.2%+11.4%
Q4 2024-1.4%-1.2%+5.2%
Q3 2024+20.6%+28.2%-13.5%
Q2 2024+156.0%+115.1%+112.4%
Q1 2024-0.8%+8.2%+4.9%
Q4 2023+12.4%+17.8%+34.1%
Q3 2023-34.2%-24.8%-12.1%
Q2 2023+0.0%-7.3%-11.2%
Q1 2023-3.8%-4.2%-18.1%
Q4 2022-21.6%-21.4%-42.9%
Q3 2022-21.9%-18.7%-25.8%
Q2 2022+0.6%+1.9%-8.5%
Q1 2022+3.2%+7.1%+11.8%
Q4 2021-14.6%-21.8%-15.8%
Q3 2021+12.2%+14.6%+1.1%
Q2 2021-7.3%-6.3%-1.5%
Q1 2021+2.3%+8.8%+12.3%
Q4 2020-8.4%-6.2%+11.7%
Q3 2020+1.9%+1.5%+15.9%
Q2 2020+6.9%+9.9%+8.9%
Q1 2020-4.9%-3.4%+8.0%
Q4 2019-7.0%-6.9%-32.2%
Q3 2019+8.9%+10.2%+3.6%
Q2 2019-10.5%-6.3%-1.3%
Q1 2019-4.8%-7.9%-7.6%
Q4 2018-12.2%-5.6%-16.9%
Q3 2018-11.9%-12.5%-18.6%
Q2 2018+12.5%+17.4%+17.7%
Q1 2018+7.0%+6.1%-2.6%
Q4 2017+11.2%+10.0%-0.5%
Q3 2017-4.6%-5.5%-9.6%
Q2 2017-3.9%-4.4%-14.2%
Q1 2017-8.5%-4.4%-0.3%
Q4 2016-1.8%-1.0%-7.0%
Q3 2016-17.8%-24.2%-22.6%
Q2 2016-1.1%-1.0%-8.7%
Q1 2016-7.8%
Q4 2015+10.0%
Q3 2015+0.8%
Q2 2015-1.8%
Q1 2015-4.1%
Q4 2014-2.2%
Q3 2014-6.3%
Q2 2014-0.9%
Q1 2014+7.0%
Q4 2013+1.5%
Q3 2013-4.7%
Q2 2013-5.0%
Q1 2013+0.5%
Q4 2012-22.7%
Q3 2012+1.9%
Q2 2012+1.6%
Q1 2012+0.2%
Q4 2010+0.6%
Q4 2011+0.6%
Q3 2011+3.6%
Q2 2011+4.9%
Q1 2010+0.8%
Q1 2011-1.7%
Q4 2008+0.2%
Q3 2010-0.7%
Q3 2009-0.7%
Q4 2009+0.2%
Q2 2010+0.2%
Q2 2009+0.2%

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