NYSE$LUMN

Lumen Technologies Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Lumen's Q3 2024 performance was marked by a net loss but strong free cash flow, driven by operational progress and sales momentum in growth areas.

Lumen Technologies reported a net loss of $(148) million for Q3 2024, compared to a net loss of $(78) million in Q3 2023. Despite the net loss, the company generated a free cash flow of $1.2 billion, excluding special items. The company is focusing on becoming the trusted network for AI.

  • Lumen's net subscriptions in Quantum Fiber business reached a record for the quarter.
  • New Lumen Private Connectivity Fabric (PCF) sales provided additional liquidity and flexibility to reduce overall debt.
  • Adoption of Lumen Digital capabilities is growing, with promising network-as-a-service adoption metrics.
  • Lumen is updated its full-year 2024 financial outlook.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.22B

Previous: $3.64B-11.5%
EPS

-$0.15

Previous: -$0.09-66.7%
Adjusted EBITDA

$843M

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Excluding Special Items

$899M

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

26.2%

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Excluding Special Items

27.9%

No prior period
Unlevered Cash Flow

$1.47B

No prior period
Unlevered Cash Flow Excluding Cash Special Items

$1.49B

No prior period
Net Income Excluding Special Items

-$133M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$850M

No prior period
Mass Markets Total Broadband Subscribers

2.6M

No prior period
Fiber Broadband Subscribers

1.0M

No prior period
Mass Markets Total Broadband Enabled Units

22.0M

No prior period
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities

$2.03B

No prior period
Free Cash Flow Excluding Cash Special Items

$1.2B

No prior period
Net (Loss) Income Margin

-4.6%

No prior period
Net Income (Loss) Margin Excluding Special Items

-4.1%

No prior period
Other Broadband Subscribers

1.6M

No prior period
Fiber Broadband Enabled Units

4.1M

No prior period
Other Broadband Enabled Units

17.9M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$148M

Previous: -$78M-89.7%
Net Income

-$148M

Previous: -$78M-89.7%
Operating Income

$126M

Previous: $223M-43.5%
Gross Profit

$1.53B

Previous: $1.79B-14.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.64B

Previous: $311M+748.9%
Total Assets

$34B

Previous: $35.9B-5.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$10M

Previous: $16M-37.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Lumen · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.22B

Q3 2024-11.5%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Lumen · $3.64B total across 5 segments · Q3 2023

  • Large Enterprise
    $1.18B+40.0%
  • Wholesale
    $770M-14.6%
  • Mass Markets Segment Revenue
    $747M-36.3%
  • Mid-Market Enterprise
    $498M-19.4%
  • Public Sector
    $444M

Forward guidance

Lumen updated its full-year 2024 financial outlook.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be $3.9 to $4.0 billion.
  • Free Cash Flow is expected to be $1.2 to $1.4 billion.
  • Net Cash Interest is expected to be $1.15 to $1.25 billion.
  • Capital Expenditures are expected to be $3.1 to $3.3 billion.
  • Cash Income Taxes/(Refund) are expected to be ($200) to ($300) million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.0%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

33 / 68 earnings

Positive

+156.0%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-34.2%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+4.6%-9.6%-3.6%
Q4 2025-21.6%-8.2%-21.7%
Q3 2025+14.2%+5.0%-21.6%
Q1 2025+6.9%+20.2%+11.4%
Q4 2024-1.4%-1.2%+5.2%
Q3 2024+20.6%+28.2%-13.5%
Q2 2024+156.0%+115.1%+112.4%
Q1 2024-0.8%+8.2%+4.9%
Q4 2023+12.4%+17.8%+34.1%
Q3 2023-34.2%-24.8%-12.1%
Q2 2023+0.0%-7.3%-11.2%
Q1 2023-3.8%-4.2%-18.1%
Q4 2022-21.6%-21.4%-42.9%
Q3 2022-21.9%-18.7%-25.8%
Q2 2022+0.6%+1.9%-8.5%
Q1 2022+3.2%+7.1%+11.8%
Q4 2021-14.6%-21.8%-15.8%
Q3 2021+12.2%+14.6%+1.1%
Q2 2021-7.3%-6.3%-1.5%
Q1 2021+2.3%+8.8%+12.3%
Q4 2020-8.4%-6.2%+11.7%
Q3 2020+1.9%+1.5%+15.9%
Q2 2020+6.9%+9.9%+8.9%
Q1 2020-4.9%-3.4%+8.0%
Q4 2019-7.0%-6.9%-32.2%
Q3 2019+8.9%+10.2%+3.6%
Q2 2019-10.5%-6.3%-1.3%
Q1 2019-4.8%-7.9%-7.6%
Q4 2018-12.2%-5.6%-16.9%
Q3 2018-11.9%-12.5%-18.6%
Q2 2018+12.5%+17.4%+17.7%
Q1 2018+7.0%+6.1%-2.6%
Q4 2017+11.2%+10.0%-0.5%
Q3 2017-4.6%-5.5%-9.6%
Q2 2017-3.9%-4.4%-14.2%
Q1 2017-8.5%-4.4%-0.3%
Q4 2016-1.8%-1.0%-7.0%
Q3 2016-17.8%-24.2%-22.6%
Q2 2016-1.1%-1.0%-8.7%
Q1 2016-7.8%
Q4 2015+10.0%
Q3 2015+0.8%
Q2 2015-1.8%
Q1 2015-4.1%
Q4 2014-2.2%
Q3 2014-6.3%
Q2 2014-0.9%
Q1 2014+7.0%
Q4 2013+1.5%
Q3 2013-4.7%
Q2 2013-5.0%
Q1 2013+0.5%
Q4 2012-22.7%
Q3 2012+1.9%
Q2 2012+1.6%
Q1 2012+0.2%
Q4 2010+0.6%
Q4 2011+0.6%
Q3 2011+3.6%
Q2 2011+4.9%
Q1 2010+0.8%
Q1 2011-1.7%
Q4 2008+0.2%
Q3 2010-0.7%
Q3 2009-0.7%
Q4 2009+0.2%
Q2 2010+0.2%
Q2 2009+0.2%

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