NYSE$LUMN

Lumen Technologies Inc · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Lumen's financial performance was marked by a net loss, impacted by a significant goodwill impairment charge, while the company focused on growth initiatives, particularly in its Business Grow product revenue and Quantum Fiber deployments.

Lumen Technologies reported a mixed second quarter, with increased Business Grow product revenue but a significant net loss due to a non-cash goodwill impairment charge. The company progressed on its growth strategy, expanding fiber deployments, but faced challenges in overall revenue and cash flow.

  • Business Grow product revenue increased to $1.138 billion, showing improvement from both the previous quarter and the prior year when considering divested businesses.
  • Approximately 130,000 fiber locations were deployed during the quarter, accelerating Quantum Fiber-enabled location pacing.
  • A non-cash goodwill impairment charge of $8.793 billion led to a reported net loss of $(8.736) billion.
  • Negative free cash flow of $(896) million was reported, compared to positive $668 million in the prior year, impacted by cash tax payments related to divestitures.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.66B

Previous: $4.61B-20.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.10

Previous: $0.35-71.4%
Adjusted EBITDA

$1.13B

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Excluding Special Items

$1.23B

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$796M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$8.74B

Previous: $344M-2639.5%
Net Income

-$8.74B

Previous: $344M-2639.5%
Operating Income

-$8.42B

Previous: $912M-1023.4%
Gross Profit

$1.92B

Previous: $2.55B-24.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$411M

Previous: $360M+14.2%
Total Assets

$36.2B

Previous: $57.7B-37.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$9M

Previous: $25M-64.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Lumen · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.66B

Q2 2023-20.6%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Lumen · $3.66B total across 5 segments · Q2 2023

  • Large Enterprise
    $1.18B+33.4%
  • Wholesale
    $797M-12.4%
  • Mass Markets Segment Revenue
    $764M-36.1%
  • Mid-Market Enterprise
    $507M-19.0%
  • Public Sector
    $414M

Forward guidance

Lumen updated its full-year 2023 financial outlook, maintaining its Adjusted EBITDA and Free Cash Flow guidance while anticipating specific figures for net cash interest, GAAP interest expense, capital expenditures, depreciation and amortization, stock-based compensation expense, cash income taxes, and the full-year effective income tax rate.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be in the range of $4.6 to $4.8 billion.
  • Net Cash Interest is expected to be between $1.1 to $1.2 billion.
  • Depreciation and Amortization is estimated to be $2.9 to $3.1 billion.
  • The full-year effective income tax rate is projected to be approximately 26%.
  • GAAP Interest Expense is expected to be $1.200 billion.

Headwinds

  • Free Cash Flow is projected to be in the range of $0 to $200 million.
  • Capital Expenditures are expected to be $2.9 to $3.1 billion.
  • Stock-based Compensation Expense is anticipated to be approximately $65 million.
  • Cash Income Taxes are projected to be approximately $300 to $400 million.
  • The outlook excludes the effects of Special Items, goodwill impairments, and unforeseen events.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.0%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

33 / 68 earnings

Positive

+156.0%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-34.2%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+4.6%-9.6%-3.6%
Q4 2025-21.6%-8.2%-21.7%
Q3 2025+14.2%+5.0%-21.6%
Q1 2025+6.9%+20.2%+11.4%
Q4 2024-1.4%-1.2%+5.2%
Q3 2024+20.6%+28.2%-13.5%
Q2 2024+156.0%+115.1%+112.4%
Q1 2024-0.8%+8.2%+4.9%
Q4 2023+12.4%+17.8%+34.1%
Q3 2023-34.2%-24.8%-12.1%
Q2 2023+0.0%-7.3%-11.2%
Q1 2023-3.8%-4.2%-18.1%
Q4 2022-21.6%-21.4%-42.9%
Q3 2022-21.9%-18.7%-25.8%
Q2 2022+0.6%+1.9%-8.5%
Q1 2022+3.2%+7.1%+11.8%
Q4 2021-14.6%-21.8%-15.8%
Q3 2021+12.2%+14.6%+1.1%
Q2 2021-7.3%-6.3%-1.5%
Q1 2021+2.3%+8.8%+12.3%
Q4 2020-8.4%-6.2%+11.7%
Q3 2020+1.9%+1.5%+15.9%
Q2 2020+6.9%+9.9%+8.9%
Q1 2020-4.9%-3.4%+8.0%
Q4 2019-7.0%-6.9%-32.2%
Q3 2019+8.9%+10.2%+3.6%
Q2 2019-10.5%-6.3%-1.3%
Q1 2019-4.8%-7.9%-7.6%
Q4 2018-12.2%-5.6%-16.9%
Q3 2018-11.9%-12.5%-18.6%
Q2 2018+12.5%+17.4%+17.7%
Q1 2018+7.0%+6.1%-2.6%
Q4 2017+11.2%+10.0%-0.5%
Q3 2017-4.6%-5.5%-9.6%
Q2 2017-3.9%-4.4%-14.2%
Q1 2017-8.5%-4.4%-0.3%
Q4 2016-1.8%-1.0%-7.0%
Q3 2016-17.8%-24.2%-22.6%
Q2 2016-1.1%-1.0%-8.7%
Q1 2016-7.8%
Q4 2015+10.0%
Q3 2015+0.8%
Q2 2015-1.8%
Q1 2015-4.1%
Q4 2014-2.2%
Q3 2014-6.3%
Q2 2014-0.9%
Q1 2014+7.0%
Q4 2013+1.5%
Q3 2013-4.7%
Q2 2013-5.0%
Q1 2013+0.5%
Q4 2012-22.7%
Q3 2012+1.9%
Q2 2012+1.6%
Q1 2012+0.2%
Q4 2010+0.6%
Q4 2011+0.6%
Q3 2011+3.6%
Q2 2011+4.9%
Q1 2010+0.8%
Q1 2011-1.7%
Q4 2008+0.2%
Q3 2010-0.7%
Q3 2009-0.7%
Q4 2009+0.2%
Q2 2010+0.2%
Q2 2009+0.2%

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