NYSE$LLY

Eli Lilly & Co · Q2 2022 earnings

Q2 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Eli Lilly's financial performance was marked by the launch of Mounjaro and advancements in the pipeline, but revenue decreased due to lower realized prices and generic competition.

Eli Lilly's Q2 2022 revenue decreased by 4% year-over-year, but grew 6% excluding Alimta, Cialis in China, and COVID-19 antibodies. The company launched Mounjaro in the U.S. and advanced its pipeline with regulatory approvals and Priority Review designations. EPS decreased by 31% on a reported basis and 32% on a non-GAAP basis, both inclusive of acquired IPR&D and development milestone charges.

  • Lilly's revenue decreased by 4% in Q2 2022, but grew 6% excluding Alimta, Cialis in China, and COVID-19 antibodies.
  • Key growth products grew 20% and represented 67% of revenue in Q2 2022, excluding revenue from COVID-19 antibodies.
  • The FDA accepted donanemab and pirtobrutinib with Priority Review designation.
  • Mounjaro was approved by the FDA and received a positive opinion from the European Medicines Agency's Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$6.49B

Previous: $6.74B-3.7%
EPS (adj)

$1.25

Previous: $1.87-33.2%
Free Cash Flow

$953M

Previous: $1.39B-31.5%
Net Income

$953M

Previous: $1.39B-31.5%
Operating Income

$1.65B

Previous: $1.43B+15.5%
Gross Profit

$5.06B

Previous: $4.79B+5.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.62B

Previous: $3.22B-18.5%
Total Assets

$47.1B

Previous: $47.8B-1.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$92.1M

Previous: $91.9M+0.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Eli Lilly · Revenue · Quarterly

$6.49B

Q2 2022-3.7%vs Q2 2021
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Eli Lilly · $605M total across 2 segments · Q2 2022

  • Verzenio
    $589M+72.4%
  • Mounjaro
    $16M

Forward guidance

Lilly has updated its 2022 financial guidance, with EPS now expected to be in the range of $6.96 to $7.11 on a reported basis and $7.90 to $8.05 on a non-GAAP basis. Revenue is still anticipated to be between $28.8 billion and $29.3 billion.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue is still anticipated to be between $28.8 billion and $29.3 billion.
  • Includes an additional $400 million of unfavorability from foreign exchange rates, offset by additional revenue from the company's COVID-19 antibody, bebtelovimab.
  • The additional revenue from bebtelovimab is inclusive of $275 million from the U.S. government purchase agreement announced in June 2022 as well as estimated revenue from the commencement of non-U.S. government distribution.
  • The company's outlook for gross margin, marketing, selling, and administrative expenses, and research and development expenses remain unchanged.
  • The company's financial results for Q2 2022 include the favorable impact related to the implementation of the provision of the 2017 Tax Act that requires capitalization and amortization of research and development expenses for tax purposes.

Headwinds

  • EPS for 2022 is now expected to be in the range of $6.96 to $7.11 on a reported basis
  • EPS for 2022 is now expected to be in the range of $7.90 to $8.05 on a non-GAAP basis
  • Operating margin percent has been reduced by 100 basis points and is now expected to be approximately 27% on a reported basis
  • Operating margin percent has been reduced by 100 basis points and is now expected to be approximately 29% on a non-GAAP basis, primarily due to the impacts attributable to foreign exchange rates and acquired IPR&D and development milestone charges to date.
  • Other income (expense) for 2022 is now expected to be expense in the range of $500 million to $600 million on a reported basis

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2022

Historical avgQ2 2022

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.1%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

29 / 67 earnings

Positive

+15.9%

Q2 2023

Best reaction

-14.1%

Q2 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.1%+16.2%+29.9%
Q4 2025+10.3%+4.1%-1.3%
Q3 2025+3.2%+11.5%+32.2%
Q2 2025-14.1%-14.3%-2.6%
Q1 2025-11.7%-13.8%-17.9%
Q4 2024+3.3%+2.7%+3.3%
Q3 2024-8.2%-10.8%-12.0%
Q2 2024+15.5%+17.6%+16.9%
Q1 2024+5.4%-0.3%+10.6%
Q4 2023+2.7%+4.8%+10.5%
Q3 2023+2.4%+8.2%+5.3%
Q2 2023+15.9%+16.3%+26.2%
Q1 2023+5.2%+7.4%+13.2%
Q4 2022-1.0%-0.8%-7.0%
Q3 2022-2.0%-1.3%+2.3%
Q2 2022-4.0%-3.4%-4.0%
Q1 2022+2.5%+1.0%+13.5%
Q4 2021-3.4%-4.4%+4.8%
Q3 2021+2.1%+4.0%+6.9%
Q2 2021+6.4%+6.8%+5.3%
Q1 2021-3.6%-2.4%+6.4%
Q4 2020-3.3%-6.3%-2.5%
Q3 2020-7.3%-7.9%+2.2%
Q2 2020-7.1%-4.3%-8.9%
Q1 2020+4.0%+0.4%-3.5%
Q4 2019-0.2%+2.5%-9.9%
Q3 2019-1.8%+2.9%+5.8%
Q2 2019+0.2%+3.4%+3.2%
Q1 2019-1.2%-2.2%-3.1%
Q4 2018-2.4%-2.0%+5.2%
Q3 2018-0.4%+1.9%+5.2%
Q2 2018+8.5%+8.7%+17.9%
Q1 2018+1.2%+3.2%+3.1%
Q4 2017-4.3%-10.0%-10.3%
Q3 2017-2.7%-3.8%-4.0%
Q2 2017-3.4%-1.9%-6.9%
Q1 2017-2.9%-1.6%-6.1%
Q4 2016+3.9%+3.4%+11.0%
Q3 2016-1.0%-3.9%-12.3%
Q2 2016+1.7%+1.1%-4.8%
Q1 2016-1.8%
Q4 2015-3.3%
Q3 2015+1.7%
Q2 2015-1.9%
Q1 2015-1.0%
Q4 2014-0.6%
Q3 2014+2.1%
Q2 2014-0.7%
Q1 2014-1.8%
Q4 2013+0.2%
Q3 2013+0.8%
Q2 2013+3.1%
Q1 2013-3.3%
Q4 2012+2.9%
Q3 2012-1.6%
Q2 2012+3.9%
Q1 2012+2.3%
Q4 2011+1.0%
Q3 2011-1.9%
Q2 2011-0.1%
Q1 2011-0.1%
Q4 2010-1.6%
Q3 2010-0.3%
Q2 2010+2.5%
Q1 2010+0.4%
Q4 2009-0.8%
Q4 2008-0.3%

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