NYSE$LLY

Eli Lilly & Co · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong second-quarter performance driven by volume growth and key product contributions.

Eli Lilly reported a strong second quarter in 2021, with revenue increasing by 23% driven by volume growth. Key growth products contributed significantly to revenue, and the company progressed its pipeline with positive data readouts and regulatory submissions. The company updated its 2021 financial guidance.

  • Revenue increased 23 percent, driven by volume growth of 22 percent.
  • Key growth products contributed 17 percentage points of revenue growth.
  • Positive data readouts were achieved for tirzepatide and Jardiance.
  • Plans to submit donanemab and tirzepatide to regulatory authorities by the end of 2021 were announced.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$6.74B

Previous: $5.5B+22.6%
EPS (adj)

$1.87

Previous: $1.89-1.1%
Free Cash Flow

$1.39B

Previous: $1.41B-1.5%
Net Income

$1.39B

Previous: $1.41B-1.5%
Operating Income

$1.43B

Previous: $1.44B-0.7%
Gross Profit

$4.79B

Previous: $4.28B+11.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$3.22B

Previous: $2.37B+36.1%
Total Assets

$47.8B

Previous: $42B+13.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$91.9M

Previous: $76.8M+19.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Eli Lilly · Revenue · Quarterly

$6.74B

Q2 2021+22.6%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Eli Lilly · $2.45B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Mounjaro
    $1.41B+652.4%
  • Verzenio
    $1.04B+68.4%

Forward guidance

Eli Lilly has updated certain elements of its 2021 financial guidance on a reported basis. Earnings per share for 2021 are now expected to be in the range of $6.73 to $6.93 on a reported basis and remain in the range of $7.80 to $8.00 on a non-GAAP basis.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue to be between $26.8 billion and $27.4 billion.
  • Increase of $200 million in estimated revenue from products in the company's core business.
  • Gross margin as a percent of revenue for 2021 is now expected to be approximately 75 percent on a reported basis
  • Other income (expense) for 2021 is now expected to be income in the range of $375 million to $475 million on a reported basis.
  • The 2021 effective tax rate is now expected to be approximately 12 percent on a reported basis

Headwinds

  • Reduction in estimated revenue from COVID-19 therapies, which is now expected to be in the range of $1.0 billion to $1.1 billion.
  • Gross margin as a percent of revenue for 2021 is still expected to be approximately 79 percent on a non-GAAP basis.
  • Operating margin for 2021 is now expected to be approximately 24 percent on a reported basis
  • Other income (expense) for 2021 is now expected to be expense in the range of $100 million to $0 on a non-GAAP basis.
  • The 2021 effective tax rate is still expected to be approximately 13 percent on a non-GAAP basis.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2021

Historical avgQ2 2021

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.1%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

29 / 67 earnings

Positive

+15.9%

Q2 2023

Best reaction

-14.1%

Q2 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.1%+16.2%+29.9%
Q4 2025+10.3%+4.1%-1.3%
Q3 2025+3.2%+11.5%+32.2%
Q2 2025-14.1%-14.3%-2.6%
Q1 2025-11.7%-13.8%-17.9%
Q4 2024+3.3%+2.7%+3.3%
Q3 2024-8.2%-10.8%-12.0%
Q2 2024+15.5%+17.6%+16.9%
Q1 2024+5.4%-0.3%+10.6%
Q4 2023+2.7%+4.8%+10.5%
Q3 2023+2.4%+8.2%+5.3%
Q2 2023+15.9%+16.3%+26.2%
Q1 2023+5.2%+7.4%+13.2%
Q4 2022-1.0%-0.8%-7.0%
Q3 2022-2.0%-1.3%+2.3%
Q2 2022-4.0%-3.4%-4.0%
Q1 2022+2.5%+1.0%+13.5%
Q4 2021-3.4%-4.4%+4.8%
Q3 2021+2.1%+4.0%+6.9%
Q2 2021+6.4%+6.8%+5.3%
Q1 2021-3.6%-2.4%+6.4%
Q4 2020-3.3%-6.3%-2.5%
Q3 2020-7.3%-7.9%+2.2%
Q2 2020-7.1%-4.3%-8.9%
Q1 2020+4.0%+0.4%-3.5%
Q4 2019-0.2%+2.5%-9.9%
Q3 2019-1.8%+2.9%+5.8%
Q2 2019+0.2%+3.4%+3.2%
Q1 2019-1.2%-2.2%-3.1%
Q4 2018-2.4%-2.0%+5.2%
Q3 2018-0.4%+1.9%+5.2%
Q2 2018+8.5%+8.7%+17.9%
Q1 2018+1.2%+3.2%+3.1%
Q4 2017-4.3%-10.0%-10.3%
Q3 2017-2.7%-3.8%-4.0%
Q2 2017-3.4%-1.9%-6.9%
Q1 2017-2.9%-1.6%-6.1%
Q4 2016+3.9%+3.4%+11.0%
Q3 2016-1.0%-3.9%-12.3%
Q2 2016+1.7%+1.1%-4.8%
Q1 2016-1.8%
Q4 2015-3.3%
Q3 2015+1.7%
Q2 2015-1.9%
Q1 2015-1.0%
Q4 2014-0.6%
Q3 2014+2.1%
Q2 2014-0.7%
Q1 2014-1.8%
Q4 2013+0.2%
Q3 2013+0.8%
Q2 2013+3.1%
Q1 2013-3.3%
Q4 2012+2.9%
Q3 2012-1.6%
Q2 2012+3.9%
Q1 2012+2.3%
Q4 2011+1.0%
Q3 2011-1.9%
Q2 2011-0.1%
Q1 2011-0.1%
Q4 2010-1.6%
Q3 2010-0.3%
Q2 2010+2.5%
Q1 2010+0.4%
Q4 2009-0.8%
Q4 2008-0.3%

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