NYSE$LLY
Eli Lilly & Co · Q1 2024 earnings
Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Eli Lilly's Q1 2024 performance reflected solid revenue growth, driven by key products and pipeline advancements.
Eli Lilly reported a strong first quarter in 2024, with revenue increasing by 26% to $8.77 billion, driven by sales of Mounjaro, Zepbound, Verzenio, and Jardiance. EPS increased by 66% to $2.48 on a reported basis and by 59% to $2.58 on a non-GAAP basis. The company raised its full-year revenue guidance by $2 billion and EPS guidance by $1.25-$1.30.
- Revenue increased 26%, driven by Mounjaro, Zepbound, Verzenio and Jardiance.
- Pipeline progress included positive results from two Phase 3 trials of tirzepatide for obstructive sleep apnea and submission of mirikizumab for Crohn's disease in the U.S. and EU.
- EPS increased 66% to $2.48 on a reported basis and increased 59% to $2.58 on a non-GAAP basis, both inclusive of $0.10 of acquired IPR&D charges.
- 2024 full-year revenue guidance raised by $2.0 billion; reported EPS guidance raised $1.25 to be in the range of $13.05 to $13.55 and non-GAAP EPS guidance raised $1.30 to be in the range of $13.50 to $14.00.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Eli Lilly · Revenue · Quarterly
$8.77B
Revenue by segment
Eli Lilly · $2.45B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023
- Mounjaro$1.41B+652.4%57.5%
- Verzenio$1.04B+68.4%42.5%
Forward guidance
Lilly increased its full-year 2024 revenue guidance to a range of $42.4 billion to $43.6 billion and EPS guidance to $13.05 to $13.55 on a reported basis and $13.50 to $14.00 on a non-GAAP basis.
Tailwinds
- Strong performance of Mounjaro and Zepbound
- Greater visibility into the company's production expansion for the remainder of the year
- The ratio of (Gross Margin - OPEX) / Revenue is now expected to be in the range of 32% to 34% on a reported basis
- The ratio of (Gross Margin - OPEX) / Revenue is now expected to be in the range of 33% to 35% on a non-GAAP basis
- Tax rate guidance remains unchanged at approximately 14% on both a reported and a non-GAAP basis
Headwinds
- Other income (expense) guidance remains unchanged at a range of ($500) to ($400) million of expense on both a reported and non-GAAP basis
- Guidance does not include Acquired IPR&D either incurred, or expected to be incurred, after Q1 2024.
- Exceptionally strong demand for the company's incretin medicines led to wholesaler backorders for these products at quarter end.
- The company expects tight supply to continue as growing production volume is outpaced by demand.
- In the short to mid-term, Lilly expects sales growth for incretin medicines to primarily be a function of the quantity the company can produce and ship.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024
+0.1%
Avg return
Earnings day
+0.8%
Avg return
5 days after
+3.1%
Avg return
30 days after
43%
29 / 67 earnings
Positive
+15.9%
Q2 2023
Best reaction
-14.1%
Q2 2025
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -0.1% | +16.2% | +29.9% | |
| Q4 2025 | +10.3% | +4.1% | -1.3% | |
| Q3 2025 | +3.2% | +11.5% | +32.2% | |
| Q2 2025 | -14.1% | -14.3% | -2.6% | |
| Q1 2025 | -11.7% | -13.8% | -17.9% | |
| Q4 2024 | +3.3% | +2.7% | +3.3% | |
| Q3 2024 | -8.2% | -10.8% | -12.0% | |
| Q2 2024 | +15.5% | +17.6% | +16.9% | |
| Q1 2024 | +5.4% | -0.3% | +10.6% | |
| Q4 2023 | +2.7% | +4.8% | +10.5% | |
| Q3 2023 | +2.4% | +8.2% | +5.3% | |
| Q2 2023 | +15.9% | +16.3% | +26.2% | |
| Q1 2023 | +5.2% | +7.4% | +13.2% | |
| Q4 2022 | -1.0% | -0.8% | -7.0% | |
| Q3 2022 | -2.0% | -1.3% | +2.3% | |
| Q2 2022 | -4.0% | -3.4% | -4.0% | |
| Q1 2022 | +2.5% | +1.0% | +13.5% | |
| Q4 2021 | -3.4% | -4.4% | +4.8% | |
| Q3 2021 | +2.1% | +4.0% | +6.9% | |
| Q2 2021 | +6.4% | +6.8% | +5.3% | |
| Q1 2021 | -3.6% | -2.4% | +6.4% | |
| Q4 2020 | -3.3% | -6.3% | -2.5% | |
| Q3 2020 | -7.3% | -7.9% | +2.2% | |
| Q2 2020 | -7.1% | -4.3% | -8.9% | |
| Q1 2020 | +4.0% | +0.4% | -3.5% | |
| Q4 2019 | -0.2% | +2.5% | -9.9% | |
| Q3 2019 | -1.8% | +2.9% | +5.8% | |
| Q2 2019 | +0.2% | +3.4% | +3.2% | |
| Q1 2019 | -1.2% | -2.2% | -3.1% | |
| Q4 2018 | -2.4% | -2.0% | +5.2% | |
| Q3 2018 | -0.4% | +1.9% | +5.2% | |
| Q2 2018 | +8.5% | +8.7% | +17.9% | |
| Q1 2018 | +1.2% | +3.2% | +3.1% | |
| Q4 2017 | -4.3% | -10.0% | -10.3% | |
| Q3 2017 | -2.7% | -3.8% | -4.0% | |
| Q2 2017 | -3.4% | -1.9% | -6.9% | |
| Q1 2017 | -2.9% | -1.6% | -6.1% | |
| Q4 2016 | +3.9% | +3.4% | +11.0% | |
| Q3 2016 | -1.0% | -3.9% | -12.3% | |
| Q2 2016 | +1.7% | +1.1% | -4.8% | |
| Q1 2016 | -1.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | -3.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | +1.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | -1.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -1.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -0.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +2.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -0.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -1.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +0.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | +3.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | -3.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | +2.9% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | -1.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +3.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +2.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | +1.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | -1.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -0.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -0.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | -1.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -0.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +2.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +0.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | -0.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2008 | -0.3% | — | — |
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