NYSE$HUM

Humana Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Humana reported a GAAP loss per share of $2.07 and an adjusted loss per share of $2.30 for Q4 2020. The company provided FY 2021 EPS guidance in the range of $20.82 to $21.32 on a GAAP basis, and $21.25 to $21.75 on an adjusted basis.

Humana reported a loss per common share of $2.07 on a GAAP basis and $2.30 on an Adjusted basis for Q4 2020. The company's results were impacted by COVID-19 treatment and testing costs, crisis relief efforts, strategic investments, and increased marketing expenses. Humana announced FY 2021 EPS guidance in a range of $20.82 to $21.32 on a GAAP basis, $21.25 to $21.75 on Adjusted basis.

  • Reported 4Q20 loss per common share of $2.07 on a GAAP basis, $2.30 on an Adjusted basis.
  • Announced FY 2021 EPS guidance in a range of $20.82 to $21.32 on a GAAP basis, $21.25 to $21.75 on Adjusted basis.
  • Reaffirmed FY 2021 expected individual Medicare Advantage membership growth range of approximately 425,000 to 475,000 members, representing expected year-over-year growth of approximately 11 to 12 percent.
  • Experienced a significant increase in COVID-19 admissions in nearly all of the markets in which it operates across its Medicare Advantage, Medicaid, and group commercial insurance business lines.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$19B

Previous: $16.3B+16.4%
EPS (adj)

-$2.30

Previous: $2.28-200.9%
Capital Expenditures

$296M

Previous: $230M+28.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$13M

Previous: $282M-104.6%
Net Income

-$458M

Previous: $593M-177.2%
Operating Income

-$458M

Previous: $593M-177.2%
Gross Profit

$9.01B

Previous: $8.91B+1.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$772M

Previous: $4.05B-81.0%
Total Assets

$35B

Previous: $29.1B+20.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$52M

Previous: $44M+18.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Humana · Revenue · Quarterly

$19B

Q4 2020+16.4%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Humana · $16.8B total across 1 segment · Q4 2020

  • Insurance
    $16.8B

Forward guidance

Humana provided its GAAP and Adjusted EPS guidance for the year ending December 31, 2021 (FY 2021).

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.8%

Avg return

30 days after

62%

45 / 73 earnings

Positive

+12.4%

Q2 2025

Best reaction

-12.6%

Q2 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.5%+3.6%+33.3%
Q4 2025-3.3%+1.5%-8.8%
Q3 2025-6.0%-15.4%-8.5%
Q2 2025+12.4%+6.3%+30.5%
Q1 2025+1.1%-1.0%-10.1%
Q4 2024-3.5%-4.9%-5.6%
Q3 2024+0.0%-0.9%+15.0%
Q2 2024-11.3%-11.9%-12.4%
Q1 2024-5.1%-7.6%+6.5%
Q4 2023-10.2%-6.4%-9.8%
Q3 2023-8.1%-6.9%-5.4%
Q2 2023+6.3%+8.0%+0.5%
Q1 2023+4.7%+6.7%-1.0%
Q4 2022-4.3%-5.0%-2.2%
Q3 2022+1.5%+0.1%-1.4%
Q2 2022-1.7%-3.6%-1.1%
Q1 2022+6.6%+0.7%+7.1%
Q4 2021+9.1%+10.2%+13.0%
Q3 2021-0.8%-0.6%-7.7%
Q2 2021-7.9%-8.1%-13.2%
Q1 2021-0.3%+0.4%-2.5%
Q4 2020+2.1%+0.4%+5.9%
Q3 2020+10.6%+5.9%-1.2%
Q2 2020+4.2%+7.3%+5.6%
Q1 2020+5.2%+4.1%+13.2%
Q4 2019+4.8%+3.0%+7.1%
Q3 2019+6.9%+7.7%+18.1%
Q2 2019+4.8%+0.8%-0.5%
Q1 2019-3.1%-2.3%-4.1%
Q4 2018+0.2%-3.2%-11.6%
Q3 2018+2.3%+1.8%-7.8%
Q2 2018+2.4%+2.8%+6.1%
Q1 2018-2.9%-3.9%-1.9%
Q4 2017-2.5%-0.8%+1.3%
Q3 2017-3.5%-6.0%+0.1%
Q2 2017+7.8%+8.2%+12.1%
Q1 2017+2.0%+3.9%+8.4%
Q4 2016+6.0%+5.9%+11.6%
Q3 2016+5.8%+12.5%+29.2%
Q2 2016+2.5%+4.8%+4.6%
Q1 2016-1.6%
Q4 2015-0.9%
Q3 2015-0.8%
Q2 2015-0.4%
Q1 2015-8.6%
Q4 2014+1.2%
Q3 2014-5.3%
Q2 2014-7.7%
Q1 2014+6.3%
Q4 2013-0.8%
Q3 2013+1.6%
Q2 2013+2.3%
Q1 2013+1.6%
Q4 2012+7.0%
Q3 2012+1.3%
Q2 2012-12.6%
Q1 2012-4.0%
Q4 2011+1.0%
Q3 2011+4.2%
Q2 2011-2.0%
Q1 2011+1.8%
Q4 2010+3.5%
Q3 2010+4.0%
Q2 2010+4.0%
Q1 2009+4.9%
Q1 2010-0.9%
Q4 2009+3.6%
Q4 2007+3.6%
Q3 2008+5.0%
Q3 2009+5.0%
Q4 2008+2.0%
Q2 2009+2.0%
Q2 2008+2.0%

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