NYSE$HUM

Humana Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Humana's Q1 2023 financial results were reported, showing a strong performance due to membership growth and favorable inpatient utilization trends. The company raised its full-year EPS guidance and affirmed strong individual Medicare Advantage membership growth.

Humana reported a strong start to the year with better-than-expected first-quarter results, driven by robust membership growth and favorable inpatient utilization trends in the individual Medicare Advantage business. The company increased its full-year 2023 adjusted EPS guidance by $0.25 to at least $28.25 and affirmed strong individual Medicare Advantage membership growth of at least 775,000, or 17.0 percent growth over FY 2022.

  • Reported 1Q23 earnings per share (EPS) of $9.87 on a GAAP basis, Adjusted EPS of $9.38, with strong 1Q23 performance underpinned by robust membership growth and favorable inpatient utilization trends in the individual Medicare Advantage business.
  • Increased FY 2023 EPS guidance to 'at least $27.88' on a GAAP basis; 'at least $28.25' on an Adjusted basis.
  • Affirmed strong 2023 individual Medicare Advantage membership growth of 'at least 775,000', or 17.0 percent growth over FY 2022 ending membership, meaningfully higher than industry growth
  • Company is pleased with the solid start, which reflects our company's strong fundamentals and positions us well for meeting our mid-term Adjusted EPS target of $37 in 2025.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$26.7B

Previous: $24B+11.6%
EPS (adj)

$9.38

Previous: $8.04+16.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$223M

Previous: -$295M+24.4%
Free Cash Flow

$1.02B

Previous: $635M+60.0%
Net Income

$1.24B

Previous: $930M+33.2%
Operating Income

$1.72B

Previous: $1.29B+33.4%
Gross Profit

$26.7B

Previous: $24B+11.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$13.7B

Previous: $4.86B+182.4%
Total Assets

$54.8B

Previous: $46.3B+18.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$38M

Previous: $43M-11.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Humana · Revenue · Quarterly

$26.7B

Q1 2023+11.6%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Humana · $25.9B total across 1 segment · Q1 2023

  • Insurance
    $25.9B+21.3%

Forward guidance

Humana raised its GAAP and Adjusted EPS guidance for the year ending December 31, 2023 (FY 2023). The company now expects FY 2023 GAAP to be 'at least $27.88', while Adjusted EPS is expected to be 'at least $28.25'.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.8%

Avg return

30 days after

62%

45 / 73 earnings

Positive

+12.4%

Q2 2025

Best reaction

-12.6%

Q2 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.5%+3.6%+33.3%
Q4 2025-3.3%+1.5%-8.8%
Q3 2025-6.0%-15.4%-8.5%
Q2 2025+12.4%+6.3%+30.5%
Q1 2025+1.1%-1.0%-10.1%
Q4 2024-3.5%-4.9%-5.6%
Q3 2024+0.0%-0.9%+15.0%
Q2 2024-11.3%-11.9%-12.4%
Q1 2024-5.1%-7.6%+6.5%
Q4 2023-10.2%-6.4%-9.8%
Q3 2023-8.1%-6.9%-5.4%
Q2 2023+6.3%+8.0%+0.5%
Q1 2023+4.7%+6.7%-1.0%
Q4 2022-4.3%-5.0%-2.2%
Q3 2022+1.5%+0.1%-1.4%
Q2 2022-1.7%-3.6%-1.1%
Q1 2022+6.6%+0.7%+7.1%
Q4 2021+9.1%+10.2%+13.0%
Q3 2021-0.8%-0.6%-7.7%
Q2 2021-7.9%-8.1%-13.2%
Q1 2021-0.3%+0.4%-2.5%
Q4 2020+2.1%+0.4%+5.9%
Q3 2020+10.6%+5.9%-1.2%
Q2 2020+4.2%+7.3%+5.6%
Q1 2020+5.2%+4.1%+13.2%
Q4 2019+4.8%+3.0%+7.1%
Q3 2019+6.9%+7.7%+18.1%
Q2 2019+4.8%+0.8%-0.5%
Q1 2019-3.1%-2.3%-4.1%
Q4 2018+0.2%-3.2%-11.6%
Q3 2018+2.3%+1.8%-7.8%
Q2 2018+2.4%+2.8%+6.1%
Q1 2018-2.9%-3.9%-1.9%
Q4 2017-2.5%-0.8%+1.3%
Q3 2017-3.5%-6.0%+0.1%
Q2 2017+7.8%+8.2%+12.1%
Q1 2017+2.0%+3.9%+8.4%
Q4 2016+6.0%+5.9%+11.6%
Q3 2016+5.8%+12.5%+29.2%
Q2 2016+2.5%+4.8%+4.6%
Q1 2016-1.6%
Q4 2015-0.9%
Q3 2015-0.8%
Q2 2015-0.4%
Q1 2015-8.6%
Q4 2014+1.2%
Q3 2014-5.3%
Q2 2014-7.7%
Q1 2014+6.3%
Q4 2013-0.8%
Q3 2013+1.6%
Q2 2013+2.3%
Q1 2013+1.6%
Q4 2012+7.0%
Q3 2012+1.3%
Q2 2012-12.6%
Q1 2012-4.0%
Q4 2011+1.0%
Q3 2011+4.2%
Q2 2011-2.0%
Q1 2011+1.8%
Q4 2010+3.5%
Q3 2010+4.0%
Q2 2010+4.0%
Q1 2009+4.9%
Q1 2010-0.9%
Q4 2009+3.6%
Q4 2007+3.6%
Q3 2008+5.0%
Q3 2009+5.0%
Q4 2008+2.0%
Q2 2009+2.0%
Q2 2008+2.0%

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