NYSE$GTES

Gates Industrial Corporation plc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Gates Industrial's financial performance declined due to core sales decrease and unfavorable currency effects, but gross margin improved through enterprise initiatives.

Gates Industrial reported a decrease in net sales by 4.8% to $830.7 million, with a core sales decline of 3.8%. Net income attributable to shareholders was $47.6 million, or $0.18 per diluted share, while adjusted net income per diluted share was $0.33. The company is updating its full year 2024 guidance.

  • Net sales decreased by 4.8% to $830.7 million, with a 3.8% core sales decline.
  • Net income attributable to shareholders was $47.6 million, or $0.18 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted Net Income per diluted share reached $0.33.
  • The company is updating its full year 2024 Adjusted EPS guidance.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$831M

Previous: $873M-4.8%
EPS

$0.18

Previous: $0.35-48.6%
Adjusted EBITDA

$183M

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

22.0%

No prior period
Net Income from Continuing Operations Margin

6.6%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$59.8M

Previous: -$39.6M-51.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$12.2M

Previous: $39.1M-131.2%
Net Income

$47.6M

Previous: $78.7M-39.5%
Operating Income

$113M

Previous: $126M-10.1%
Gross Profit

$336M

Previous: $343M-2.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$574M

Previous: $557M+3.2%
Total Assets

$7.12B

Previous: $7.11B+0.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.4M

Previous: $3.3M+93.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Gates Industrial · Revenue · Quarterly

$831M

Q3 2024-4.8%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Gates Industrial · $936M total across 2 segments · Q2 2023

  • Power Transmission
    $574M+5.7%
  • Fluid Power
    $362M-0.4%

Forward guidance

The Company is updating its full year 2024 guidance. Core Sales Growth is expected to be between (~4%) to (~3%). Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be $745 to $765 Million. Adjusted EPS is expected to be $1.33 to $1.37. Capital Expenditures are expected to be ~$100 Million. Free Cash Flow Conversion is expected to be 90%+

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted EPS is expected to be $1.33 to $1.37, an increase of +$0.03 from prior guidance.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be $745 to $765 Million.
  • Capital Expenditures are expected to be ~$100 Million.
  • Free Cash Flow Conversion is expected to be 90%+
  • Share-based metrics in the Company’s guidance do not include the potential effect of incremental share repurchases.

Headwinds

  • Core Sales Growth is expected to be between (~4%) to (~3%).
  • GAAP financial measures on a forward-looking basis are not accessible.
  • Reconciling information is not available without unreasonable effort.
  • We have not provided reconciliations for forward-looking non-GAAP measures.
  • We are unable to address the probable significance of the unavailable information, which could be material to future results.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

16 / 35 earnings

Positive

+15.5%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-19.3%

Q2 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.2%+2.5%+1.2%
Q4 2025+3.8%+3.1%-14.2%
Q3 2025-12.8%-14.3%-11.9%
Q1 2025+5.2%+11.2%+17.6%
Q4 2024+11.8%+7.8%-4.5%
Q3 2024+6.0%+7.5%+21.4%
Q2 2024+0.1%-8.9%+2.4%
Q1 2024-6.6%-6.5%-1.1%
Q4 2023-4.4%-3.7%+22.4%
Q3 2023+1.3%+1.1%+13.2%
Q2 2023-4.1%-11.9%-7.0%
Q1 2023+3.8%+1.5%-8.3%
Q4 2022+5.6%+6.9%+2.6%
Q3 2022+2.3%+1.6%+5.9%
Q2 2022-3.4%-1.5%-13.1%
Q1 2022-0.9%-7.8%-2.6%
Q4 2021+0.0%-2.3%+2.0%
Q3 2021-6.4%-5.4%-10.1%
Q2 2021-4.1%-10.3%-10.7%
Q1 2021-0.6%+1.6%+3.4%
Q3 2020+0.7%+2.0%+8.4%
Q2 2020+8.6%+8.1%+4.0%
Q1 2020+1.9%+10.5%+34.2%
Q4 2019+7.7%+1.3%-22.6%
Q3 2019+8.0%+8.1%+6.2%
Q2 2019-19.3%-19.1%-2.8%
Q1 2019-16.0%-17.4%-30.0%
Q4 2016-1.5%-0.2%-3.3%
Q4 2018+6.7%+5.0%+1.3%
Q3 2017-7.1%+0.3%-4.7%
Q3 2018-0.4%-4.9%-2.1%
Q2 2018+15.5%+15.6%+17.1%
Q1 2017-2.3%-1.6%-3.6%
Q1 2018-3.4%-3.5%-4.4%
Q4 2017-0.6%+0.6%-10.0%
Q2 2017
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012

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