NYSE$GTES

Gates Industrial Corporation plc · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Gates Industrial's Q3 2021 results were reported, demonstrating significant growth and profitability.

Gates Industrial reported excellent Q3 2021 results, with net sales up 21.1% and core revenue growth of 19.0%. The company achieved record third-quarter revenue and earnings, driven by strong demand in industrial end markets. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 31.4%, and net leverage was reduced to 2.7x.

  • Net sales increased by 21.1%, with core revenue growth of 19.0% compared to the prior-year period.
  • Net income attributable to shareholders was $70.2 million, or $0.23 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted Net Income reached $92.0 million, or $0.31 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted EBITDA grew by 31.4% year-over-year, with a margin of 21.3%, representing a 160 basis points expansion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$862M

Previous: $712M+21.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.31

Previous: $0.26+19.2%
Total Core Sales Growth

19.0%

Previous: -3.6%+627.8%
Power Transmission Core Sales Growth

15.2%

Previous: -0.4%+3900.0%
Fluid Power Core Sales Growth

26.3%

Previous: -9.3%+382.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$56.4M

Previous: -$39M-44.6%
Free Cash Flow

$13.8M

Previous: $2.9M+375.9%
Net Income

$70.2M

Previous: $41.9M+67.5%
Operating Income

$131M

Previous: $63.9M+104.2%
Gross Profit

$341M

Previous: $274M+24.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$541M

Previous: $672M-19.6%
Total Assets

$7.51B

Previous: $7.34B+2.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Gates Industrial · Revenue · Quarterly

$862M

Q3 2021+21.1%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Gates Industrial · $936M total across 2 segments · Q2 2023

  • Power Transmission
    $574M+5.7%
  • Fluid Power
    $362M-0.4%

Forward guidance

The company maintains its full-year 2021 outlook for core revenue growth in the range of 20.0% to 22.0%. Adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be in the range of 21.0% to 21.5%. Total capital expenditures are expected to be approximately $100 million, and Free Cash Flow Conversion continues to be expected at greater than 80% of Adjusted Net Income.

Tailwinds

  • Maintaining full-year core revenue growth outlook of 20.0% to 22.0%
  • Free Cash Flow Conversion expected at greater than 80% of Adjusted Net Income.
  • Continued experience of a robust growth environment.
  • Focus on mitigating actions to navigate external operating challenges.
  • Constructive view of the setup for 2022, and opportunity to build on the momentum seen in the business this year.

Headwinds

  • Additional inflation, particularly related to freight and logistics, is leading to margin pressure.
  • Costs incurred to support the exceptional demand from customers are leading to margin pressure.
  • Updating expectation for full-year Adjusted EBITDA margin to be in the range of 21.0% to 21.5%, compared to the previous range of 22.2% to 22.8%.
  • External operating challenges are likely to persist for some time.
  • Supply chain disruptions, inflation, and inefficiencies from constrained labor availability.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

16 / 35 earnings

Positive

+15.5%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-19.3%

Q2 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.2%+2.5%+1.2%
Q4 2025+3.8%+3.1%-14.2%
Q3 2025-12.8%-14.3%-11.9%
Q1 2025+5.2%+11.2%+17.6%
Q4 2024+11.8%+7.8%-4.5%
Q3 2024+6.0%+7.5%+21.4%
Q2 2024+0.1%-8.9%+2.4%
Q1 2024-6.6%-6.5%-1.1%
Q4 2023-4.4%-3.7%+22.4%
Q3 2023+1.3%+1.1%+13.2%
Q2 2023-4.1%-11.9%-7.0%
Q1 2023+3.8%+1.5%-8.3%
Q4 2022+5.6%+6.9%+2.6%
Q3 2022+2.3%+1.6%+5.9%
Q2 2022-3.4%-1.5%-13.1%
Q1 2022-0.9%-7.8%-2.6%
Q4 2021+0.0%-2.3%+2.0%
Q3 2021-6.4%-5.4%-10.1%
Q2 2021-4.1%-10.3%-10.7%
Q1 2021-0.6%+1.6%+3.4%
Q3 2020+0.7%+2.0%+8.4%
Q2 2020+8.6%+8.1%+4.0%
Q1 2020+1.9%+10.5%+34.2%
Q4 2019+7.7%+1.3%-22.6%
Q3 2019+8.0%+8.1%+6.2%
Q2 2019-19.3%-19.1%-2.8%
Q1 2019-16.0%-17.4%-30.0%
Q4 2016-1.5%-0.2%-3.3%
Q4 2018+6.7%+5.0%+1.3%
Q3 2017-7.1%+0.3%-4.7%
Q3 2018-0.4%-4.9%-2.1%
Q2 2018+15.5%+15.6%+17.1%
Q1 2017-2.3%-1.6%-3.6%
Q1 2018-3.4%-3.5%-4.4%
Q4 2017-0.6%+0.6%-10.0%
Q2 2017
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012

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