NYSE$GTES

Gates Industrial Corporation plc · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Gates Industrial's performance declined due to decreased net sales and core sales, but gross margin and adjusted EBITDA margin improved.

Gates Industrial reported a decrease in net sales by 5.4% to $885.5 million, with a core sales decline of 4.0%. Net income attributable to shareholders increased to $70.7 million, or $0.26 per diluted share, while adjusted net income per diluted share was $0.36. The company's gross margin and adjusted EBITDA margin improved, but full-year guidance was trimmed due to softer demand.

  • Net sales decreased by 5.4% to $885.5 million, with a 4.0% core sales decline.
  • Net income attributable to shareholders was $70.7 million, or $0.26 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted net income per diluted share was $0.36.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin increased by 170 basis points to 22.8%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$886M

Previous: $936M-5.4%
EPS

$0.26

Previous: $0.36-27.8%
Adjusted EBITDA

$202M

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

22.8%

No prior period
Net Income from Continuing Operations Margin

8.8%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$37.9M

Previous: -$24.4M-55.3%
Free Cash Flow

$32.8M

Previous: $40.5M-19.0%
Net Income

$70.7M

Previous: $64.9M+8.9%
Operating Income

$136M

Previous: $129M+5.5%
Gross Profit

$357M

Previous: $353M+1.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$580M

Previous: $565M+2.6%
Total Assets

$7.03B

Previous: $7.28B-3.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.2M

Previous: $6.8M-23.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Gates Industrial · Revenue · Quarterly

$886M

Q2 2024-5.4%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Gates Industrial · $936M total across 2 segments · Q2 2023

  • Power Transmission
    $574M+5.7%
  • Fluid Power
    $362M-0.4%

Forward guidance

The company is updating its full year 2024 guidance, anticipating core sales growth between -4% and -2%, adjusted EBITDA between $740 million and $770 million, and adjusted EPS between $1.29 and $1.35.

Tailwinds

  • Still expect to increase our adjusted EBITDA margin by over 100 basis points year-over-year.
  • We are intently focused on driving our various enterprise initiatives and achieving our 2026 financial targets.
  • We remain opportunistic about deploying excess capital.
  • Capital Expenditures ~$100 Million
  • Free Cash Flow Conversion 90%+

Headwinds

  • We have trimmed our full year 2024 guidance for core sales, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted earnings per share to reflect softer than expected demand in our First Fit markets during the second half of the year and our normal business seasonality.
  • Core Sales Growth (4%) to (2%)
  • Adjusted EBITDA $740 to $770 Million
  • Adjusted EPS $1.29 to $1.35
  • Share-based metrics in the Company’s guidance do not include the potential effect of incremental share repurchases.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

16 / 35 earnings

Positive

+15.5%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-19.3%

Q2 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.2%+2.5%+1.2%
Q4 2025+3.8%+3.1%-14.2%
Q3 2025-12.8%-14.3%-11.9%
Q1 2025+5.2%+11.2%+17.6%
Q4 2024+11.8%+7.8%-4.5%
Q3 2024+6.0%+7.5%+21.4%
Q2 2024+0.1%-8.9%+2.4%
Q1 2024-6.6%-6.5%-1.1%
Q4 2023-4.4%-3.7%+22.4%
Q3 2023+1.3%+1.1%+13.2%
Q2 2023-4.1%-11.9%-7.0%
Q1 2023+3.8%+1.5%-8.3%
Q4 2022+5.6%+6.9%+2.6%
Q3 2022+2.3%+1.6%+5.9%
Q2 2022-3.4%-1.5%-13.1%
Q1 2022-0.9%-7.8%-2.6%
Q4 2021+0.0%-2.3%+2.0%
Q3 2021-6.4%-5.4%-10.1%
Q2 2021-4.1%-10.3%-10.7%
Q1 2021-0.6%+1.6%+3.4%
Q3 2020+0.7%+2.0%+8.4%
Q2 2020+8.6%+8.1%+4.0%
Q1 2020+1.9%+10.5%+34.2%
Q4 2019+7.7%+1.3%-22.6%
Q3 2019+8.0%+8.1%+6.2%
Q2 2019-19.3%-19.1%-2.8%
Q1 2019-16.0%-17.4%-30.0%
Q4 2016-1.5%-0.2%-3.3%
Q4 2018+6.7%+5.0%+1.3%
Q3 2017-7.1%+0.3%-4.7%
Q3 2018-0.4%-4.9%-2.1%
Q2 2018+15.5%+15.6%+17.1%
Q1 2017-2.3%-1.6%-3.6%
Q1 2018-3.4%-3.5%-4.4%
Q4 2017-0.6%+0.6%-10.0%
Q2 2017
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012

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