NYSE$GTES

Gates Industrial Corporation plc · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Gates Industrial reported first quarter results, experiencing a decline in net sales and net income due to the COVID-19 pandemic and industrial end market weakness.

Gates Industrial's first-quarter net sales decreased by 11.8% year-over-year to $710.1 million, with a core revenue decline of 10.1%. Net income attributable to shareholders was $35.6 million, or $0.12 per diluted share, compared to $613.7 million, or $2.08 per diluted share in the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA was $120.8 million, representing 17.0% of net sales. The company withdrew its full-year 2020 core revenue and Adjusted EBITDA guidance due to the uncertain impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.

  • Net sales decreased by 11.8% year-over-year to $710.1 million, with core revenue declining by 10.1%.
  • Net income attributable to shareholders was $35.6 million, or $0.12 per diluted share, significantly lower than the prior year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $120.8 million, with an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 17.0%.
  • The company withdrew its full-year 2020 core revenue and Adjusted EBITDA guidance due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$710M

Previous: $805M-11.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.21

Previous: $0.28-25.0%
Total Core Sales Growth

-10.1%

No prior period
Power Transmission Core Sales Growth

-9.8%

No prior period
Fluid Power Core Sales Growth

-10.6%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$12.1M

Previous: -$21.3M+43.2%
Free Cash Flow

$23.5M

Previous: $592M-96.0%
Net Income

$35.6M

Previous: $614M-94.2%
Operating Income

$58.4M

Previous: $100M-41.7%
Gross Profit

$256M

Previous: $307M-16.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$626M

Previous: $334M+87.7%
Total Assets

$7.18B

Previous: $7.44B-3.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.9M

Previous: $2.6M+11.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Gates Industrial · Revenue · Quarterly

$710M

Q1 2020-11.8%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 9 of 13 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Gates Industrial · $710M total across 2 segments · Q1 2020

  • Power Transmission
    $441M
  • Fluid Power
    $269M

Forward guidance

The Company is withdrawing its full-year 2020 core revenue and Adjusted EBITDA guidance due to an inability to predict the extent and duration of the unprecedented actions taken globally to limit the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic, which are likely to have a material impact. The Company currently expects total capital expenditures of approximately $70 million and Free Cash Flow Conversion to be greater than 100% of Adjusted Net Income.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

16 / 35 earnings

Positive

+15.5%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-19.3%

Q2 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.2%+2.5%+1.2%
Q4 2025+3.8%+3.1%-14.2%
Q3 2025-12.8%-14.3%-11.9%
Q1 2025+5.2%+11.2%+17.6%
Q4 2024+11.8%+7.8%-4.5%
Q3 2024+6.0%+7.5%+21.4%
Q2 2024+0.1%-8.9%+2.4%
Q1 2024-6.6%-6.5%-1.1%
Q4 2023-4.4%-3.7%+22.4%
Q3 2023+1.3%+1.1%+13.2%
Q2 2023-4.1%-11.9%-7.0%
Q1 2023+3.8%+1.5%-8.3%
Q4 2022+5.6%+6.9%+2.6%
Q3 2022+2.3%+1.6%+5.9%
Q2 2022-3.4%-1.5%-13.1%
Q1 2022-0.9%-7.8%-2.6%
Q4 2021+0.0%-2.3%+2.0%
Q3 2021-6.4%-5.4%-10.1%
Q2 2021-4.1%-10.3%-10.7%
Q1 2021-0.6%+1.6%+3.4%
Q3 2020+0.7%+2.0%+8.4%
Q2 2020+8.6%+8.1%+4.0%
Q1 2020+1.9%+10.5%+34.2%
Q4 2019+7.7%+1.3%-22.6%
Q3 2019+8.0%+8.1%+6.2%
Q2 2019-19.3%-19.1%-2.8%
Q1 2019-16.0%-17.4%-30.0%
Q4 2016-1.5%-0.2%-3.3%
Q4 2018+6.7%+5.0%+1.3%
Q3 2017-7.1%+0.3%-4.7%
Q3 2018-0.4%-4.9%-2.1%
Q2 2018+15.5%+15.6%+17.1%
Q1 2017-2.3%-1.6%-3.6%
Q1 2018-3.4%-3.5%-4.4%
Q4 2017-0.6%+0.6%-10.0%
Q2 2017
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012

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