NYSE$GTES

Gates Industrial Corporation plc · Q2 2022 earnings

Q2 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Gates Industrial's financial performance showed solid improvement from the first quarter, driven by constructive demand trends and pricing actions offsetting inflation, but was impacted by FX headwinds and supply chain challenges.

Gates Industrial reported Q2 2022 results with net sales of $906.8 million, a slight decrease of 0.9% year-over-year, but included core revenue growth of 3.6%. Net income attributable to shareholders was $53.1 million, or $0.19 per diluted share, while Adjusted Net Income was $90.2 million, or $0.32 per diluted share. The company is updating its full-year 2022 outlook to reflect current market conditions, expecting core revenue growth in the range of 6% to 9%.

  • Net sales reached $906.8 million, including a 3.6% core revenue growth.
  • Net income attributable to shareholders was $53.1 million, or $0.19 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted Net Income amounted to $90.2 million, or $0.32 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was reported as $180.1 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$907M

Previous: $915M-0.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.32

Previous: $0.42-23.8%
Total Core Sales Growth

3.6%

Previous: 51.0%-92.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$34.9M

Previous: -$40.3M+13.4%
Free Cash Flow

$18.2M

Previous: $56.6M-67.8%
Net Income

$53.1M

Previous: $96.9M-45.2%
Operating Income

$113M

Previous: $149M-24.4%
Gross Profit

$326M

Previous: $367M-11.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$393M

Previous: $473M-16.9%
Total Assets

$7.2B

Previous: $7.5B-4.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.5M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Gates Industrial · Revenue · Quarterly

$907M

Q2 2022-0.9%vs Q2 2021
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Gates Industrial · $907M total across 2 segments · Q2 2022

  • Power Transmission
    $543M
  • Fluid Power
    $364M

Forward guidance

The Company is updating its full-year 2022 outlook. The Company continues to see the demand environment as constructive and now expects core revenue growth in the range of 6% to 9%. Adjusted EBITDA is now expected in the range of $705 million to $755 million. Adjusted Earnings per Share are now expected to be between $1.15 and $1.25.

Tailwinds

  • Constructive demand environment
  • Expects core revenue growth in the range of 6% to 9%
  • Adjusted EBITDA is now expected in the range of $705 million to $755 million
  • Adjusted Earnings per Share are now expected to be between $1.15 and $1.25
  • Free Cash Flow conversion is now expected to be greater than 75% of Adjusted Net Income

Headwinds

  • Negative impact of larger foreign currency headwinds from a stronger U.S. dollar
  • Continued supply chain challenges
  • China exhibiting a slower pace of recovery from the COVID lockdowns
  • Tax and other headwinds of $0.27 per share at the midpoint, primarily due to benefits from certain discrete tax items in 2021
  • Higher inventory levels to mitigate the supply chain reliability challenges

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2022

Historical avgQ2 2022

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

16 / 35 earnings

Positive

+15.5%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-19.3%

Q2 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.2%+2.5%+1.2%
Q4 2025+3.8%+3.1%-14.2%
Q3 2025-12.8%-14.3%-11.9%
Q1 2025+5.2%+11.2%+17.6%
Q4 2024+11.8%+7.8%-4.5%
Q3 2024+6.0%+7.5%+21.4%
Q2 2024+0.1%-8.9%+2.4%
Q1 2024-6.6%-6.5%-1.1%
Q4 2023-4.4%-3.7%+22.4%
Q3 2023+1.3%+1.1%+13.2%
Q2 2023-4.1%-11.9%-7.0%
Q1 2023+3.8%+1.5%-8.3%
Q4 2022+5.6%+6.9%+2.6%
Q3 2022+2.3%+1.6%+5.9%
Q2 2022-3.4%-1.5%-13.1%
Q1 2022-0.9%-7.8%-2.6%
Q4 2021+0.0%-2.3%+2.0%
Q3 2021-6.4%-5.4%-10.1%
Q2 2021-4.1%-10.3%-10.7%
Q1 2021-0.6%+1.6%+3.4%
Q3 2020+0.7%+2.0%+8.4%
Q2 2020+8.6%+8.1%+4.0%
Q1 2020+1.9%+10.5%+34.2%
Q4 2019+7.7%+1.3%-22.6%
Q3 2019+8.0%+8.1%+6.2%
Q2 2019-19.3%-19.1%-2.8%
Q1 2019-16.0%-17.4%-30.0%
Q4 2016-1.5%-0.2%-3.3%
Q4 2018+6.7%+5.0%+1.3%
Q3 2017-7.1%+0.3%-4.7%
Q3 2018-0.4%-4.9%-2.1%
Q2 2018+15.5%+15.6%+17.1%
Q1 2017-2.3%-1.6%-3.6%
Q1 2018-3.4%-3.5%-4.4%
Q4 2017-0.6%+0.6%-10.0%
Q2 2017
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012

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