NYSE$EAF

GrafTech International Ltd. · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported fourth quarter and full year results, reflecting persistent softness in the commercial environment. A cost rationalization and footprint optimization plan was announced.

GrafTech International Ltd. reported a challenging year in 2023, with Q4 net loss of $217 million, impacted by a goodwill impairment charge of $171 million and LCM inventory valuation adjustment of $12 million. The company is taking actions to reduce costs and optimize its manufacturing footprint in response to ongoing softness in the commercial environment.

  • Net loss of $217 million, or $0.85 per share, including a goodwill impairment charge of $171 million and a lower of cost or market ("LCM") inventory valuation adjustment of $12 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of negative $22 million, including the LCM inventory valuation adjustment.
  • Sales volume of 24 thousand metric tons ("MT").
  • Net cash provided by operating activities of $9 million.
  • Adjusted free cash flow of $4 million

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$137M

Previous: $248M-44.6%
EPS (adj)

-$0.27

Previous: $0.17-258.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$5.75M

Previous: $26.9M-121.4%
Net Income

-$217M

Previous: $50.3M-532.0%
Operating Income

-$208M

Previous: $63.9M-425.1%
Gross Profit

-$40.7M

Previous: $84M-148.5%
R&D Expense

$1.84M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$624K

Previous: $645K-3.3%

Revenue & EPS history

GrafTech · Revenue · Quarterly

$137M

Q4 2023-44.6%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

GrafTech anticipates weak demand for graphite electrodes in the near term due to persistent softness in the commercial environment. They expect a modest year-over-year improvement in sales volume for 2024 and are taking actions to reduce costs and optimize their manufacturing footprint.

Tailwinds

  • Anticipate a modest year-over-year improvement in our sales volume for 2024, most notably in the first quarter of 2024
  • Actions to further reduce our cost structure and optimize our manufacturing footprint.
  • Benefit of reduced market pricing for certain raw materials and energy
  • Anticipated improvement in our sales and production volume levels
  • Expected to result in a significant year-over-year decline in our cash cost of goods sold per MT.

Headwinds

  • Expect demand for graphite electrodes in the near term will remain weak
  • Reflecting persistent softness in the commercial environment
  • Steel industry production remains constrained by global economic uncertainty
  • Challenging pricing dynamics have persisted in most regions.
  • Being selective in the commercial opportunities we choose to pursue.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-4.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-4.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-3.1%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

13 / 33 earnings

Positive

+14.3%

Q4 2020

Best reaction

-46.2%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2025———
Q1 2026-1.7%+11.2%+15.6%
Q4 2025-46.2%-51.7%-62.8%
Q3 2025-1.9%-24.7%-30.0%
Q1 2025+7.8%-3.1%+59.3%
Q4 2024-9.4%-31.5%-22.1%
Q3 2024+3.9%+2.4%-7.2%
Q2 2024-3.5%-8.9%-13.0%
Q1 2024+3.1%+3.7%+10.6%
Q4 2023+7.6%+5.3%+26.5%
Q3 2023-23.6%-28.9%-22.1%
Q2 2023-21.8%-15.7%-31.5%
Q1 2023-9.9%-14.0%-5.7%
Q4 2022-16.2%-17.9%-12.3%
Q3 2022-3.1%-10.5%+7.6%
Q2 2022-13.0%-11.6%-25.6%
Q1 2022-8.9%-13.0%-2.0%
Q4 2021-12.6%-8.0%-13.2%
Q3 2021+12.7%+11.4%+5.6%
Q2 2021-6.6%-0.3%-4.1%
Q1 2021-2.0%-6.2%-2.0%
Q4 2020+14.3%+20.4%+11.8%
Q3 2020-9.3%+0.3%+39.2%
Q2 2020+9.3%+9.3%+1.9%
Q1 2020-14.3%-14.8%+11.5%
Q4 2019-5.6%-5.4%-31.9%
Q3 2019+2.2%+8.6%-3.0%
Q2 2019-1.6%-5.3%+9.0%
Q1 2019+2.2%+6.7%-13.4%
Q4 2018+0.8%+7.6%-5.8%
Q3 2018-0.6%-4.3%-13.6%
Q2 2018+0.4%-2.5%-15.6%
Q4 2017+8.3%+14.0%+18.6%
Q1 2018+8.3%+14.0%+18.6%
Q3 2017———
Q2 2017———
Q4 2016———
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Q4 2014———
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Q4 2012———
Q3 2012———
Q2 2012———
Q1 2012———
Q4 2011———
Q3 2011———
Q2 2011———
Q1 2011———
Q4 2010———
Q3 2010———
Q2 2010———
Q1 2009———
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Q4 2009———
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Q2 2009———
Q4 2008———
Q4 2007———
Q2 2008———

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