NYSE$EAF

GrafTech International Ltd. · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

GrafTech's Q4 2021 financial results were announced, with improved market conditions and strong execution driving a favorable finish to the year and a positive outlook for 2022.

GrafTech International Ltd. reported a net income of $141 million, or $0.54 per share, and adjusted earnings per share of $0.50 for the fourth quarter of 2021. Sales and production volumes increased compared to the fourth quarter of 2020, and the company reduced debt by $100 million during the quarter.

  • Net income was $141 million, or $0.54 per share, with adjusted earnings per share at $0.50.
  • Sales volume increased 19% compared to the fourth quarter of 2020.
  • Production volume increased 28% compared to the fourth quarter of 2020.
  • Debt was reduced by $100 million during the quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$363M

Previous: $338M+7.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.50

Previous: $0.47+6.4%
Capital Expenditures

$17.8M

Previous: $5.39M+231.0%
Free Cash Flow

$82.2M

Previous: $142M-41.9%
Net Income

$141M

Previous: $125M+13.1%
Operating Income

$162M

Previous: $156M+4.1%
Gross Profit

$181M

Previous: $176M+2.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$57.5M

Previous: $145M-60.5%
Total Assets

$1.41B

Previous: $1.43B-1.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$338K

Previous: $2.67M-87.3%

Revenue & EPS history

GrafTech · Revenue · Quarterly

$363M

Q4 2021+7.5%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The steel industry has experienced unprecedented pricing over the past 12 months. While pricing has retreated recently, it remains well above historical levels and the near-term fundamentals in the steel industry remain strong. More broadly, the industry is continuing to look for ways to de-carbonize and many of these efforts are focused on moving away from traditional blast furnace production to electric arc furnace steel production. GrafTech is well-positioned to benefit from these events in 2022 and beyond.

Tailwinds

  • Market trends continued to improve in the fourth quarter of 2021 and are expected to continue into 2022.
  • Average non-LTA graphite electrode price increased 10% sequentially from the third quarter of 2021.
  • First quarter average non-LTA prices are expected to increase an additional 17-20% over the fourth quarter.
  • The company is well-positioned to benefit from the steel industry's efforts to de-carbonize.
  • Focus on investing in our business, strengthening our balance sheet and opportunistic purchases under the remaining $159 million stock repurchase authorization.

Headwinds

  • Steel pricing has retreated recently, though it remains well above historical levels.
  • Cost increases are expected in 2022, driven by global inflationary pressures, particularly for third-party needle coke, energy, and freight.
  • Capital expenditures in 2022 are expected to be in the range of $70 to $80 million.
  • The ultimate impact the COVID-19 pandemic has on our business, results of operations, financial condition and cash flows, including the duration and spread of any variants, the duration and scope of related government orders and restrictions, the impact on our employees, and the disruptions and inefficiencies in our supply chain
  • Global graphite electrode overcapacity may adversely affect graphite electrode prices

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

-4.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-4.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-3.1%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

13 / 33 earnings

Positive

+14.3%

Q4 2020

Best reaction

-46.2%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.7%+11.2%+15.6%
Q4 2025-46.2%-51.7%-62.8%
Q3 2025-1.9%-24.7%-30.0%
Q1 2025+7.8%-3.1%+59.3%
Q4 2024-9.4%-31.5%-22.1%
Q3 2024+3.9%+2.4%-7.2%
Q2 2024-3.5%-8.9%-13.0%
Q1 2024+3.1%+3.7%+10.6%
Q4 2023+7.6%+5.3%+26.5%
Q3 2023-23.6%-28.9%-22.1%
Q2 2023-21.8%-15.7%-31.5%
Q1 2023-9.9%-14.0%-5.7%
Q4 2022-16.2%-17.9%-12.3%
Q3 2022-3.1%-10.5%+7.6%
Q2 2022-13.0%-11.6%-25.6%
Q1 2022-8.9%-13.0%-2.0%
Q4 2021-12.6%-8.0%-13.2%
Q3 2021+12.7%+11.4%+5.6%
Q2 2021-6.6%-0.3%-4.1%
Q1 2021-2.0%-6.2%-2.0%
Q4 2020+14.3%+20.4%+11.8%
Q3 2020-9.3%+0.3%+39.2%
Q2 2020+9.3%+9.3%+1.9%
Q1 2020-14.3%-14.8%+11.5%
Q4 2019-5.6%-5.4%-31.9%
Q3 2019+2.2%+8.6%-3.0%
Q2 2019-1.6%-5.3%+9.0%
Q1 2019+2.2%+6.7%-13.4%
Q4 2018+0.8%+7.6%-5.8%
Q3 2018-0.6%-4.3%-13.6%
Q2 2018+0.4%-2.5%-15.6%
Q4 2017+8.3%+14.0%+18.6%
Q1 2018+8.3%+14.0%+18.6%
Q3 2017
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Q4 2016
Q1 2017
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Q4 2015
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Q4 2014
Q3 2014
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Q4 2013
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Q1 2012
Q4 2011
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Q4 2010
Q3 2010
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Q1 2009
Q1 2010
Q4 2009
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Q3 2008
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Q4 2008
Q4 2007
Q2 2008

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