NYSE$EAF

GrafTech International Ltd. · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Third quarter results fell short of expectations due to lower industry demand.

GrafTech's third quarter results were below expectations due to lower industry demand. Despite the financial performance, the company generated strong cash flow through cost management and working capital control. The company is making targeted investments to improve operational flexibility and commercial capabilities.

  • Net loss of $23 million, or $0.09 per share.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $1 million.
  • Sales volume of 24 thousand metric tons.
  • Net cash provided by operating activities of $51 million and adjusted free cash flow of $43 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$159M

Previous: $304M-47.7%
EPS (adj)

-$0.08

Previous: $0.37-121.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$48.3M

Previous: -$45.3M-6.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$70.9M

Previous: $48.2M-247.2%
Net Income

-$22.6M

Previous: $93.5M-124.2%
Operating Income

-$18.1M

Previous: $114M-115.9%
Gross Profit

$1.39M

Previous: $134M-99.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$173M

Previous: $109M+58.0%
Total Assets

$1.48B

Previous: $1.57B-5.3%
R&D Expense

$1.3M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$1.63M

Previous: $628K+159.2%

Revenue & EPS history

GrafTech · Revenue · Quarterly

$159M

Q3 2023-47.7%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Demand for graphite electrodes is expected to remain weak in the near term due to the constrained steel industry production. Sales volume in the fourth quarter of 2023 is expected to decline modestly compared to the third quarter of 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Accelerating efforts to decarbonize will lead to increased adoption of the electric arc furnace method of steelmaking, driving long-term demand growth for graphite electrodes.
  • Demand for petroleum needle coke is expected to accelerate driven by its utilization in producing synthetic graphite for use in lithium-ion batteries for the growing electric vehicle market.
  • Vertical integration into petroleum needle coke via the Seadrift facility will optimally position GrafTech to benefit from sustainable industry tailwinds.
  • Cash cost of goods sold per MT in the fourth quarter of 2023 will be below the level recognized in the third quarter of 2023.
  • The company continues to closely manage its operating costs and capital expenditures, as well as its working capital levels.

Headwinds

  • Demand for graphite electrodes in the near term will remain weak.
  • Steel industry production remains constrained by global economic uncertainty.
  • Sales volume in the fourth quarter of 2023 is expected to decline modestly compared to sales volume in the third quarter of 2023.
  • Cash cost of goods sold per MT will be higher compared to the fourth quarter of 2022.
  • Significant year-over-year increase in cash cost of goods sold per MT as fixed costs are recognized over a smaller volume base.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

-4.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-4.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-3.1%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

13 / 33 earnings

Positive

+14.3%

Q4 2020

Best reaction

-46.2%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.7%+11.2%+15.6%
Q4 2025-46.2%-51.7%-62.8%
Q3 2025-1.9%-24.7%-30.0%
Q1 2025+7.8%-3.1%+59.3%
Q4 2024-9.4%-31.5%-22.1%
Q3 2024+3.9%+2.4%-7.2%
Q2 2024-3.5%-8.9%-13.0%
Q1 2024+3.1%+3.7%+10.6%
Q4 2023+7.6%+5.3%+26.5%
Q3 2023-23.6%-28.9%-22.1%
Q2 2023-21.8%-15.7%-31.5%
Q1 2023-9.9%-14.0%-5.7%
Q4 2022-16.2%-17.9%-12.3%
Q3 2022-3.1%-10.5%+7.6%
Q2 2022-13.0%-11.6%-25.6%
Q1 2022-8.9%-13.0%-2.0%
Q4 2021-12.6%-8.0%-13.2%
Q3 2021+12.7%+11.4%+5.6%
Q2 2021-6.6%-0.3%-4.1%
Q1 2021-2.0%-6.2%-2.0%
Q4 2020+14.3%+20.4%+11.8%
Q3 2020-9.3%+0.3%+39.2%
Q2 2020+9.3%+9.3%+1.9%
Q1 2020-14.3%-14.8%+11.5%
Q4 2019-5.6%-5.4%-31.9%
Q3 2019+2.2%+8.6%-3.0%
Q2 2019-1.6%-5.3%+9.0%
Q1 2019+2.2%+6.7%-13.4%
Q4 2018+0.8%+7.6%-5.8%
Q3 2018-0.6%-4.3%-13.6%
Q2 2018+0.4%-2.5%-15.6%
Q4 2017+8.3%+14.0%+18.6%
Q1 2018+8.3%+14.0%+18.6%
Q3 2017
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Q1 2017
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Q4 2011
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Q4 2010
Q3 2010
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Q1 2009
Q1 2010
Q4 2009
Q3 2009
Q3 2008
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Q4 2008
Q4 2007
Q2 2008

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