NYSE$EAF

GrafTech International Ltd. · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

GrafTech reported second quarter results with net income of $93 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $151 million.

GrafTech's Q2 2020 net sales were $281 million, with a net income of $93 million, or $0.35 per share. Adjusted EBITDA was $151 million. The company generated $148 million in cash flow from operating activities and ended the quarter with a liquidity position of approximately $435 million.

  • Net sales for the quarter ended June 30, 2020 were $281 million, compared to $480 million in the second quarter of 2019.
  • Net income for the second quarter of 2020 was $93 million, or $0.35 per share, compared to $196 million, or $0.68 per share in the second quarter of 2019.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $151 million in the second quarter of 2020 compared to $284 million in the second quarter of 2019.
  • Cash flow from operating activities was $148 million in the second quarter of 2020, compared to $202 million in the comparable period of 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$281M

Previous: $480M-41.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.35

Previous: $0.68-48.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$24.4M

Previous: -$29.2M+16.6%
Free Cash Flow

$68.4M

Previous: $167M-59.1%
Net Income

$92.8M

Previous: $196M-52.8%
Operating Income

$133M

Previous: $267M-50.1%
Gross Profit

$150M

Previous: $283M-47.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$188M

Previous: $205M-8.6%
Total Assets

$1.53B

Previous: $1.73B-11.2%

Revenue & EPS history

GrafTech · Revenue · Quarterly

$281M

Q2 2020-41.6%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 8 of 12 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The second half of 2020 will continue to be challenging as GrafTech and its customers face macro-economic headwinds. Overall demand and pricing are expected to remain low for the remainder of 2020.

Tailwinds

  • The company has full confidence in the strengths of the Electric Arc Furnace and graphite electrode businesses.
  • The environmental and economic attributes of these industries are key advantages and position them for continued growth over the longer term.
  • GrafTech is well positioned to navigate the challenges of the current environment and the opportunities in the future recovery given its leadership position in the industry.
  • GrafTech has strong cash flows.
  • GrafTech has an advantaged cost position.

Headwinds

  • The second half of 2020 will continue to be challenging as GrafTech and its customers face macro-economic headwinds.
  • The company foresees a measured recovery in the industry when the pandemic eases as customers work through inventory levels that were elevated prior to the onset of the pandemic.
  • Overall demand is expected to remain low for the remainder of 2020.
  • Pricing is expected to remain low for the remainder of 2020.
  • The current market continues to challenge GrafTech's customers including those with LTAs.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

-4.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-4.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-3.1%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

13 / 33 earnings

Positive

+14.3%

Q4 2020

Best reaction

-46.2%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2025———
Q1 2026-1.7%+11.2%+15.6%
Q4 2025-46.2%-51.7%-62.8%
Q3 2025-1.9%-24.7%-30.0%
Q1 2025+7.8%-3.1%+59.3%
Q4 2024-9.4%-31.5%-22.1%
Q3 2024+3.9%+2.4%-7.2%
Q2 2024-3.5%-8.9%-13.0%
Q1 2024+3.1%+3.7%+10.6%
Q4 2023+7.6%+5.3%+26.5%
Q3 2023-23.6%-28.9%-22.1%
Q2 2023-21.8%-15.7%-31.5%
Q1 2023-9.9%-14.0%-5.7%
Q4 2022-16.2%-17.9%-12.3%
Q3 2022-3.1%-10.5%+7.6%
Q2 2022-13.0%-11.6%-25.6%
Q1 2022-8.9%-13.0%-2.0%
Q4 2021-12.6%-8.0%-13.2%
Q3 2021+12.7%+11.4%+5.6%
Q2 2021-6.6%-0.3%-4.1%
Q1 2021-2.0%-6.2%-2.0%
Q4 2020+14.3%+20.4%+11.8%
Q3 2020-9.3%+0.3%+39.2%
Q2 2020+9.3%+9.3%+1.9%
Q1 2020-14.3%-14.8%+11.5%
Q4 2019-5.6%-5.4%-31.9%
Q3 2019+2.2%+8.6%-3.0%
Q2 2019-1.6%-5.3%+9.0%
Q1 2019+2.2%+6.7%-13.4%
Q4 2018+0.8%+7.6%-5.8%
Q3 2018-0.6%-4.3%-13.6%
Q2 2018+0.4%-2.5%-15.6%
Q4 2017+8.3%+14.0%+18.6%
Q1 2018+8.3%+14.0%+18.6%
Q3 2017———
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Q4 2016———
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Q4 2011———
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Q4 2010———
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Q2 2009———
Q4 2008———
Q4 2007———
Q2 2008———

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