NYSE$DIN

Dine Brands Global Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Dine Brands reported solid Q4 2023 results, demonstrating progress with positive comp sales growth at IHOP and Applebee's and year-over-year EBITDA growth, while fully integrating Fuzzy's.

Dine Brands Global, Inc. announced its Q4 and fiscal year 2023 financial results, with total revenues for the fourth quarter of 2023 were $206.3 million compared to $208.0 million for the fourth quarter of 2022. GAAP net income available to common stockholders was $32.3 million, or earnings per diluted share of $2.14, for the fourth quarter of 2023 compared to net income available to common stockholders of $11.0 million, or earnings per diluted share of $0.72 for the fourth quarter of 2022.

  • Applebee’s year-over-year comparable same-restaurant sales declined 0.5%.
  • IHOP’s year-over-year domestic comparable same-restaurant sales increased 1.6%.
  • Total revenues for the fourth quarter of 2023 were $206.3 million.
  • Consolidated adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter of 2023 was $62.2 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$206M

Previous: $208M-0.8%
EPS (adj)

$1.40

Previous: $1.34+4.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$5.2M

Previous: $15.8M-132.9%
Net Income

$33M

Previous: $11.4M+191.1%
Operating Income

$26.2M

Previous: $19.4M+35.1%
Gross Profit

$95.8M

Previous: $94.6M+1.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.82M

Previous: $4M-4.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Dine Brands · Revenue · Quarterly

$206M

Q4 2023-0.8%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 5 of 14 quarters(36%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company introduced its fiscal 2024 guidance items:

Tailwinds

  • Applebee’s domestic system-wide comparable same-restaurant sales performance is expected to range between 0% and 2%.
  • IHOP’s domestic system-wide comparable same-restaurant sales performance is expected to range between 1% and 3%.
  • Domestic development activity by IHOP franchisees and area licensees is expected to be between 15 and 25 net new openings.
  • Consolidated adjusted EBITDA is expected to range between approximately $255 million and $265 million.
  • Gross capital expenditures are expected to range between approximately $15 million and $20 million.

Headwinds

  • Domestic development activity for Applebee’s franchisees is between 25 and 35 net fewer restaurants.
  • G&A expenses are expected to range between approximately $200 million and $210 million. This total includes non-cash stock-based compensation expense and depreciation of approximately $35 million.
  • Dine Brands does not provide forward-looking guidance for GAAP net income because it is unable to predict certain items contained in the GAAP measure without unreasonable efforts.
  • These items may include closure and impairment charges, loss on extinguishment of debt, gain or loss on disposition of assets, other non-income-based taxes and other items deemed not reflective of current operations.
  • The forward-looking statements contained in this press release are made as of the date hereof and the Corporation does not intend to, nor does it assume any obligation to, update or supplement any forward-looking statements after the date hereof to reflect actual results or future events or circumstances.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.9%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

33 / 65 earnings

Positive

+22.6%

Q4 2017

Best reaction

-12.8%

Q4 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.5%+3.2%+3.9%
Q4 2025-0.2%-1.2%-17.8%
Q3 2025+3.7%+3.7%+35.7%
Q1 2025+2.2%+21.2%+24.0%
Q4 2024+3.4%+14.5%-10.1%
Q3 2024+13.1%+7.9%+4.0%
Q2 2024-6.8%-7.1%-3.6%
Q1 2024-1.2%+0.8%-13.4%
Q4 2023+5.1%+3.9%+0.7%
Q3 2023-9.4%-8.6%-6.3%
Q2 2023-2.6%-1.2%-6.8%
Q1 2023+2.8%-0.3%+0.2%
Q4 2022-2.9%-3.8%-11.8%
Q3 2022+2.4%+5.0%+3.7%
Q2 2022+4.5%+3.8%-2.5%
Q1 2022-4.0%-6.3%+0.7%
Q4 2021-7.6%-19.2%-3.5%
Q3 2021+12.3%+4.8%-10.0%
Q2 2021+1.9%-2.1%+6.4%
Q1 2021+1.0%+0.7%-5.9%
Q4 2020-0.5%+3.5%+12.2%
Q3 2020-4.6%-11.6%+13.2%
Q2 2020+10.6%+5.7%+49.5%
Q1 2020+18.6%+4.4%+21.3%
Q4 2019-8.9%-15.8%-69.4%
Q3 2019+0.1%+4.6%+13.4%
Q2 2019-2.8%-6.2%-18.4%
Q1 2019-0.5%+1.1%+6.5%
Q4 2018+12.8%+9.8%-3.0%
Q3 2018+7.6%+14.7%+12.0%
Q2 2018+5.0%+3.6%+17.4%
Q1 2018-5.8%-4.9%-21.3%
Q4 2017+22.6%+26.2%+22.5%
Q3 2017+8.5%+5.0%+17.5%
Q2 2017+6.5%+6.0%+2.1%
Q1 2017-6.2%-7.1%-15.5%
Q4 2016-12.8%-10.2%-20.1%
Q3 2016-2.6%-2.1%+9.5%
Q2 2016-5.8%-6.0%-1.8%
Q1 2016-2.9%
Q4 2015+12.3%
Q3 2015-4.6%
Q2 2015+3.7%
Q1 2015-5.2%
Q4 2014-3.5%
Q3 2014+3.3%
Q2 2014+4.2%
Q1 2014+5.7%
Q4 2013+3.0%
Q3 2013+15.7%
Q2 2013+6.6%
Q1 2013+1.4%
Q4 2012-3.3%
Q3 2012+8.8%
Q2 2012+12.8%
Q1 2011+4.5%
Q1 2012+2.1%
Q4 2009-4.6%
Q1 2010-4.6%
Q4 2011-4.6%
Q3 2010-4.6%
Q3 2011-4.6%
Q2 2011-3.0%
Q2 2010-3.0%
Q4 2010-3.0%

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