NYSE$DIN

Dine Brands Global Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Dine Brands reported Q1 2023 results, featuring same store sales and profit growth. The company refinanced $500 million of A-2 long-term debt and reaffirmed its 2023 full-year guidance.

Dine Brands Global, Inc. reported total revenues of $214 million for Q1 2023, compared to $230 million for the same period in 2022. Net income for the quarter was $27.4 million, an increase from $24.9 million in the prior year. The company highlighted the strength of its brands and strong execution in a challenging operating environment.

  • Applebee’s same-restaurant sales increased by 6.1% year-over-year.
  • IHOP’s same-restaurant sales increased by 8.7% year-over-year.
  • Net income increased to $27.4 million compared to $24.9 million in the first quarter of 2022.
  • The company completed refinancing of Senior Secured Notes, reducing debt balance by $200 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$214M

Previous: $230M-7.2%
EPS (adj)

$1.97

Previous: $1.54+27.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$16M

Previous: -$5.3M-202.6%
Free Cash Flow

$11.4M

Previous: $19.6M-41.8%
Net Income

$27.4M

Previous: $24.9M+10.3%
Operating Income

$48.7M

Previous: $48.6M+0.2%
Gross Profit

$104M

Previous: $92.8M+11.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$182M

Previous: $295M-38.4%
Total Assets

$1.76B

Previous: $1.89B-6.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.72M

Previous: $4.34M-60.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Dine Brands · Revenue · Quarterly

$214M

Q1 2023-7.2%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 5 of 14 quarters(36%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company reiterated its fiscal 2023 guidance items.

Tailwinds

  • Domestic development activity by IHOP franchisees and area licensees is expected to be between 45 and 60 net new openings.
  • Consolidated adjusted EBITDA is expected in the range of between approximately $243 million and $255 million.
  • G&A expenses are expected to range between approximately $200 million and $210 million, due to some of our planned 2022 G&A investments extended into 2023 given the disruptions caused by the pandemic last year and other organic investments, including Fuzzy’s. This range includes non-cash stock-based compensation expense and depreciation of approximately $30 million.
  • Gross capital expenditures are expected to range between $33 million and $38 million.

Headwinds

  • Domestic development activity by Applebee’s franchisees of between 10 and 20 net fewer restaurants.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.9%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

33 / 65 earnings

Positive

+22.6%

Q4 2017

Best reaction

-12.8%

Q4 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.5%+3.2%+3.9%
Q4 2025-0.2%-1.2%-17.8%
Q3 2025+3.7%+3.7%+35.7%
Q1 2025+2.2%+21.2%+24.0%
Q4 2024+3.4%+14.5%-10.1%
Q3 2024+13.1%+7.9%+4.0%
Q2 2024-6.8%-7.1%-3.6%
Q1 2024-1.2%+0.8%-13.4%
Q4 2023+5.1%+3.9%+0.7%
Q3 2023-9.4%-8.6%-6.3%
Q2 2023-2.6%-1.2%-6.8%
Q1 2023+2.8%-0.3%+0.2%
Q4 2022-2.9%-3.8%-11.8%
Q3 2022+2.4%+5.0%+3.7%
Q2 2022+4.5%+3.8%-2.5%
Q1 2022-4.0%-6.3%+0.7%
Q4 2021-7.6%-19.2%-3.5%
Q3 2021+12.3%+4.8%-10.0%
Q2 2021+1.9%-2.1%+6.4%
Q1 2021+1.0%+0.7%-5.9%
Q4 2020-0.5%+3.5%+12.2%
Q3 2020-4.6%-11.6%+13.2%
Q2 2020+10.6%+5.7%+49.5%
Q1 2020+18.6%+4.4%+21.3%
Q4 2019-8.9%-15.8%-69.4%
Q3 2019+0.1%+4.6%+13.4%
Q2 2019-2.8%-6.2%-18.4%
Q1 2019-0.5%+1.1%+6.5%
Q4 2018+12.8%+9.8%-3.0%
Q3 2018+7.6%+14.7%+12.0%
Q2 2018+5.0%+3.6%+17.4%
Q1 2018-5.8%-4.9%-21.3%
Q4 2017+22.6%+26.2%+22.5%
Q3 2017+8.5%+5.0%+17.5%
Q2 2017+6.5%+6.0%+2.1%
Q1 2017-6.2%-7.1%-15.5%
Q4 2016-12.8%-10.2%-20.1%
Q3 2016-2.6%-2.1%+9.5%
Q2 2016-5.8%-6.0%-1.8%
Q1 2016-2.9%
Q4 2015+12.3%
Q3 2015-4.6%
Q2 2015+3.7%
Q1 2015-5.2%
Q4 2014-3.5%
Q3 2014+3.3%
Q2 2014+4.2%
Q1 2014+5.7%
Q4 2013+3.0%
Q3 2013+15.7%
Q2 2013+6.6%
Q1 2013+1.4%
Q4 2012-3.3%
Q3 2012+8.8%
Q2 2012+12.8%
Q1 2011+4.5%
Q1 2012+2.1%
Q4 2009-4.6%
Q1 2010-4.6%
Q4 2011-4.6%
Q3 2010-4.6%
Q3 2011-4.6%
Q2 2011-3.0%
Q2 2010-3.0%
Q4 2010-3.0%

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