NYSE$DIN

Dine Brands Global Inc · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Dine Brands reported strong Q4 2021 results driven by top-line growth and exceeding pre-pandemic sales levels.

Dine Brands Global, Inc. reported a 17% increase in consolidated revenues to $229.6 million and a 43% improvement in gross profit to $96.5 million for the fourth quarter of 2021. Domestic average weekly unit sales for both Applebee's and IHOP exceeded pre-pandemic levels for the second consecutive quarter.

  • Consolidated revenues increased 17% to $229.6 million.
  • Gross profit improved by 43% to $96.5 million.
  • Adjusted earnings per diluted share were $1.32, compared to $0.39 for the fourth quarter of 2020.
  • Applebee’s and IHOP franchisees opened 15 new restaurants and closed 23 restaurants.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$230M

Previous: $196M+17.1%
EPS (adj)

$1.32

Previous: $0.39+238.5%
Capital Expenditures

$8.93M

Previous: $1.84M+385.4%
Free Cash Flow

$41.3M

Previous: $57.9M-28.6%
Net Income

$19.8M

Previous: -$1.56M+1367.6%
Operating Income

$28.5M

No prior period
Gross Profit

$96.5M

Previous: $67.4M+43.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$361M

Previous: $383M-5.7%
Total Assets

$2B

Previous: $2.07B-3.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.01M

Previous: $3.32M-9.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Dine Brands · Revenue · Quarterly

$230M

Q4 2021+17.1%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company’s guidance assumes there are no significant disruptions to its business due to COVID-19 during 2022, except for the impact from Omicron in the first quarter.

Tailwinds

  • General and administrative expenses are expected to range between approximately $188 million and $198 million, including non-cash stock-based compensation expense and depreciation of approximately $30 million.
  • Capital expenditures are expected to range between $33 million and $38 million, reflecting incremental investments in the business to support sustainable growth.
  • Domestic development activity by IHOP franchisees and area licensees are expected to result in net new openings between 50 and 65 restaurants.
  • Consolidated adjusted EBITDA is expected to range between approximately $235 million and $250 million.
  • Effective April 1, 2022, the Company’s Board of Directors also approved a new share repurchase program of up to $250 million and terminated the existing share repurchase program, approved in February 2019.

Headwinds

  • The Company’s guidance assumes there are no significant disruptions to its business due to COVID-19 during 2022, except for the impact from Omicron in the first quarter.
  • Domestic development activity by Applebee’s franchisees is expected to result in between 5 and 15 net fewer restaurants.
  • In 2021, Applebee’s concluded a strategic initiative to close underperforming domestic restaurants to improve the performance of the franchised system.
  • This range reflects incremental investments in technology and operational initiatives as well as unit development and is inclusive of general and administrative expenses related to the company restaurants segment.
  • The projections are as of this date. The Company assumes no obligation to update or supplement this information.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.9%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

33 / 65 earnings

Positive

+22.6%

Q4 2017

Best reaction

-12.8%

Q4 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.5%+3.2%+3.9%
Q4 2025-0.2%-1.2%-17.8%
Q3 2025+3.7%+3.7%+35.7%
Q1 2025+2.2%+21.2%+24.0%
Q4 2024+3.4%+14.5%-10.1%
Q3 2024+13.1%+7.9%+4.0%
Q2 2024-6.8%-7.1%-3.6%
Q1 2024-1.2%+0.8%-13.4%
Q4 2023+5.1%+3.9%+0.7%
Q3 2023-9.4%-8.6%-6.3%
Q2 2023-2.6%-1.2%-6.8%
Q1 2023+2.8%-0.3%+0.2%
Q4 2022-2.9%-3.8%-11.8%
Q3 2022+2.4%+5.0%+3.7%
Q2 2022+4.5%+3.8%-2.5%
Q1 2022-4.0%-6.3%+0.7%
Q4 2021-7.6%-19.2%-3.5%
Q3 2021+12.3%+4.8%-10.0%
Q2 2021+1.9%-2.1%+6.4%
Q1 2021+1.0%+0.7%-5.9%
Q4 2020-0.5%+3.5%+12.2%
Q3 2020-4.6%-11.6%+13.2%
Q2 2020+10.6%+5.7%+49.5%
Q1 2020+18.6%+4.4%+21.3%
Q4 2019-8.9%-15.8%-69.4%
Q3 2019+0.1%+4.6%+13.4%
Q2 2019-2.8%-6.2%-18.4%
Q1 2019-0.5%+1.1%+6.5%
Q4 2018+12.8%+9.8%-3.0%
Q3 2018+7.6%+14.7%+12.0%
Q2 2018+5.0%+3.6%+17.4%
Q1 2018-5.8%-4.9%-21.3%
Q4 2017+22.6%+26.2%+22.5%
Q3 2017+8.5%+5.0%+17.5%
Q2 2017+6.5%+6.0%+2.1%
Q1 2017-6.2%-7.1%-15.5%
Q4 2016-12.8%-10.2%-20.1%
Q3 2016-2.6%-2.1%+9.5%
Q2 2016-5.8%-6.0%-1.8%
Q1 2016-2.9%
Q4 2015+12.3%
Q3 2015-4.6%
Q2 2015+3.7%
Q1 2015-5.2%
Q4 2014-3.5%
Q3 2014+3.3%
Q2 2014+4.2%
Q1 2014+5.7%
Q4 2013+3.0%
Q3 2013+15.7%
Q2 2013+6.6%
Q1 2013+1.4%
Q4 2012-3.3%
Q3 2012+8.8%
Q2 2012+12.8%
Q1 2011+4.5%
Q1 2012+2.1%
Q4 2009-4.6%
Q1 2010-4.6%
Q4 2011-4.6%
Q3 2010-4.6%
Q3 2011-4.6%
Q2 2011-3.0%
Q2 2010-3.0%
Q4 2010-3.0%

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