NYSE$DIN

Dine Brands Global Inc · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Dine Brands experienced significant improvement in domestic system-wide comparable same-restaurant sales and maintained a strong cash position.

Dine Brands Global reported strong second-quarter results, driven by significant improvements in comparable sales for both Applebee's and IHOP. Applebee's posted its best quarterly comp sales performance in over a decade relative to 2019, while IHOP's comp sales also improved markedly. The company's solid fundamentals generated significant adjusted free cash flow, enabling it to maintain a healthy cash position. However, the company remains tempered by continued volatility, including labor shortages and variants of COVID-19.

  • Applebee’s year-over-year comparable same-restaurant sales increased 102.2%.
  • IHOP’s comparable same-restaurant sales increased 120.1%.
  • Consolidated adjusted EBITDA was $71.7 million compared to $12.1 million for the second quarter of 2020.
  • Adjusted earnings per diluted share of $1.94 compared to an adjusted net loss per diluted share of $0.87 for the second quarter of 2020.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$234M

Previous: $110M+112.9%
EPS (adj)

$1.94

Previous: -$0.87+323.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$4.06M

Previous: -$7.38M+44.9%
Free Cash Flow

$25.3M

Previous: -$142M+117.8%
Net Income

$29.4M

Previous: -$135M+121.8%
Operating Income

$53.3M

Previous: -$127M+141.8%
Gross Profit

$98.9M

Previous: $30.1M+228.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$259M

Previous: $279M-6.8%
Total Assets

$1.9B

Previous: $2.04B-7.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.52M

Previous: $2.63M-4.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Dine Brands · Revenue · Quarterly

$234M

Q2 2021+112.9%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company believes that its consolidated financial results for 2021 could continue to be materially impacted by COVID-19. Considering the ongoing uncertainty of the pandemic and the possible emergence of new variants, the Company currently cannot provide a complete business outlook for fiscal 2021.

Tailwinds

  • The Company expects higher incentive compensation for 2021, which is a variable component of general and administrative expenses that will fluctuate based on business performance.
  • The Company revises expectations for general and administrative expenses for 2021 to range between approximately $168 million and $178 million, including non-cash stock-based compensation expense and depreciation of approximately $30 million.
  • Capital expenditures are expected to be approximately $19 million, inclusive of approximately $7 million related to the company restaurants segment.
  • As of June 30, 2021, out of 3,244 domestic restaurants, 3,222, or 99%, were open for either dine-in service or off-premise service comprised of take-out and delivery, and 22 were temporarily closed.
  • The Company assumes no obligation to update or supplement this information.

Headwinds

  • The Company believes that its consolidated financial results for 2021 could continue to be materially impacted by COVID-19.
  • Considering the ongoing uncertainty of the pandemic and the possible emergence of new variants, the Company currently cannot provide a complete business outlook for fiscal 2021.
  • The Company’s guidance assumes there are no significant disruptions to its business due to COVID-19 during the second half of fiscal 2021.
  • The projections are as of this date.
  • There may be significant disruptions to its business due to COVID-19 during the second half of fiscal 2021.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2021

Historical avgQ2 2021

+1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.9%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

33 / 65 earnings

Positive

+22.6%

Q4 2017

Best reaction

-12.8%

Q4 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.5%+3.2%+3.9%
Q4 2025-0.2%-1.2%-17.8%
Q3 2025+3.7%+3.7%+35.7%
Q1 2025+2.2%+21.2%+24.0%
Q4 2024+3.4%+14.5%-10.1%
Q3 2024+13.1%+7.9%+4.0%
Q2 2024-6.8%-7.1%-3.6%
Q1 2024-1.2%+0.8%-13.4%
Q4 2023+5.1%+3.9%+0.7%
Q3 2023-9.4%-8.6%-6.3%
Q2 2023-2.6%-1.2%-6.8%
Q1 2023+2.8%-0.3%+0.2%
Q4 2022-2.9%-3.8%-11.8%
Q3 2022+2.4%+5.0%+3.7%
Q2 2022+4.5%+3.8%-2.5%
Q1 2022-4.0%-6.3%+0.7%
Q4 2021-7.6%-19.2%-3.5%
Q3 2021+12.3%+4.8%-10.0%
Q2 2021+1.9%-2.1%+6.4%
Q1 2021+1.0%+0.7%-5.9%
Q4 2020-0.5%+3.5%+12.2%
Q3 2020-4.6%-11.6%+13.2%
Q2 2020+10.6%+5.7%+49.5%
Q1 2020+18.6%+4.4%+21.3%
Q4 2019-8.9%-15.8%-69.4%
Q3 2019+0.1%+4.6%+13.4%
Q2 2019-2.8%-6.2%-18.4%
Q1 2019-0.5%+1.1%+6.5%
Q4 2018+12.8%+9.8%-3.0%
Q3 2018+7.6%+14.7%+12.0%
Q2 2018+5.0%+3.6%+17.4%
Q1 2018-5.8%-4.9%-21.3%
Q4 2017+22.6%+26.2%+22.5%
Q3 2017+8.5%+5.0%+17.5%
Q2 2017+6.5%+6.0%+2.1%
Q1 2017-6.2%-7.1%-15.5%
Q4 2016-12.8%-10.2%-20.1%
Q3 2016-2.6%-2.1%+9.5%
Q2 2016-5.8%-6.0%-1.8%
Q1 2016-2.9%
Q4 2015+12.3%
Q3 2015-4.6%
Q2 2015+3.7%
Q1 2015-5.2%
Q4 2014-3.5%
Q3 2014+3.3%
Q2 2014+4.2%
Q1 2014+5.7%
Q4 2013+3.0%
Q3 2013+15.7%
Q2 2013+6.6%
Q1 2013+1.4%
Q4 2012-3.3%
Q3 2012+8.8%
Q2 2012+12.8%
Q1 2011+4.5%
Q1 2012+2.1%
Q4 2009-4.6%
Q1 2010-4.6%
Q4 2011-4.6%
Q3 2010-4.6%
Q3 2011-4.6%
Q2 2011-3.0%
Q2 2010-3.0%
Q4 2010-3.0%

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