NYSE$DFIN

Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported solid consolidated net sales growth and record quarterly software solutions net sales and Free Cash Flow.

Donnelley Financial Solutions reported a strong fourth quarter and full year 2020. The company's net sales increased by 10.5% compared to the fourth quarter of 2019, driven by a strong IPO market and growth in software solutions. Record quarterly software solutions net sales and Free Cash Flow were achieved. The company also announced a $50 million common stock repurchase program.

  • Net sales increased by 10.5% from the fourth quarter of 2019, driven by a strong IPO market and continued growth in software solutions.
  • Record quarterly software solutions net sales increased by 8.0% from the fourth quarter of 2019.
  • Record quarterly operating cash flow increased by 73.3% from the fourth quarter of 2019.
  • The company announced a $50 million common stock repurchase program.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$210M

Previous: $190M+10.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.36

Previous: $0.22+63.6%
Adjusted EBITDA

$34.9M

Previous: $26.1M+33.7%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

16.6%

Previous: 13.7%+21.2%
Capital Expenditures

$6.6M

Previous: $9.7M-32.0%
Free Cash Flow

$95.1M

Previous: $49M+94.1%
Net Income

-$35.8M

Previous: $7M-611.4%
Operating Income

-$27.4M

Previous: $6.4M-528.1%
Gross Profit

$101M

Previous: $72.1M+39.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$73.6M

Previous: $17.2M+327.9%
Total Assets

$866M

Previous: $887M-2.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.8M

Previous: $1.2M+216.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Donnelley Financial Solutions · Revenue · Quarterly

$210M

Q4 2020+10.5%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Donnelley Financial Solutions · $210M total across 3 segments · Q4 2020

  • Tech-enabled Services
    $107M
  • Software Solutions
    $54.2M
  • Print and Distribution
    $48.7M

Forward guidance

The implementation of SEC Rule 30e-3 (elimination or reduction of print annual and semi-annual reports), Rule 498A (elimination or reduction of print summary prospectus) and the Company’s exiting of certain printing and distribution relationships is expected to reduce the Company’s print-related 2021 net sales by approximately $130 million to $140 million, and the associated reduction in net earnings and Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be approximately $4 million to $7 million and approximately $5 million to $10 million, respectively, in 2021.

Headwinds

  • Print-related net sales are expected to be reduced by approximately $130 million to $140 million in 2021.
  • The associated reduction in net earnings is expected to be approximately $4 million to $7 million in 2021.
  • The associated reduction in Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be approximately $5 million to $10 million in 2021.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-2.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.8%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

17 / 42 earnings

Positive

+25.5%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-22.6%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.6%-15.0%-23.6%
Q4 2025+12.3%+21.2%+20.0%
Q3 2025-14.3%-10.3%-5.1%
Q1 2025+3.9%+11.6%+17.4%
Q4 2024-22.6%-26.3%-32.5%
Q3 2024-11.6%-9.5%-5.7%
Q2 2024-7.0%-12.7%-4.0%
Q1 2024-0.6%+0.6%-2.9%
Q4 2023+3.2%+3.9%+1.4%
Q3 2023+1.8%+1.3%+6.9%
Q2 2023+1.0%+2.3%+6.2%
Q1 2023+1.6%+1.7%+8.9%
Q4 2022-14.6%-13.5%-22.0%
Q3 2022-18.9%-16.9%-8.9%
Q2 2022+25.5%+26.9%+17.0%
Q1 2022-14.6%-12.2%+0.4%
Q4 2021-3.9%+0.5%+3.3%
Q3 2021+15.4%+23.0%+12.5%
Q2 2021+10.4%+6.4%+5.3%
Q1 2021-16.4%-14.2%+1.1%
Q4 2020+14.4%+24.3%+20.9%
Q3 2020+2.6%-0.1%+22.4%
Q2 2020+23.1%+17.5%+9.9%
Q1 2020+13.1%+0.3%+35.6%
Q4 2019+1.4%+6.9%-37.3%
Q3 2019-16.4%-14.1%-10.4%
Q2 2019-1.0%-11.3%-22.0%
Q1 2019+6.4%+2.1%-18.3%
Q4 2018-12.0%-10.7%-7.8%
Q3 2018+6.9%+7.3%+1.1%
Q2 2018-10.4%-11.8%+0.8%
Q1 2018-7.3%-7.8%-17.8%
Q4 2017-15.4%-10.1%-14.2%
Q3 2017-8.2%-12.6%-4.5%
Q2 2017-5.9%-9.7%-7.7%
Q1 2016-2.2%-1.4%+2.6%
Q1 2017+3.6%-0.9%+15.7%
Q2 2016-13.9%-18.4%-25.9%
Q4 2016-13.9%-18.4%-25.9%
Q4 2014-13.9%-18.4%-25.9%
Q4 2015-5.5%-0.7%-2.0%
Q3 2016-5.5%-0.7%-2.0%
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015

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