NYSE$DFIN

Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Donnelley Financial Solutions reported strong third quarter results driven by software solutions growth and a robust IPO market.

Donnelley Financial Solutions reported net sales of $209.5 million, up 6.9% from the third quarter of 2019. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 53.1% to $47.6 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 22.7%. The company saw growth in software solutions and a strong IPO market, which drove the increase in net sales.

  • Net sales increased by 6.9% year-over-year to $209.5 million.
  • Software solutions net sales reached a record $51.1 million, up 9.7% year-over-year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased by 53.1% year-over-year to $47.6 million, with a margin of 22.7%.
  • Operating cash flow increased by 25.0% year-over-year to $76.4 million, and free cash flow increased by 29.5% to $67.6 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$210M

Previous: $196M+6.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.63

Previous: $0.13+384.6%
Adjusted EBITDA

$47.6M

Previous: $31.1M+53.1%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

22.7%

Previous: 15.9%+42.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$8.8M

Previous: -$8.9M+1.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$1.7M

Previous: $5.8M-129.3%
Net Income

$7.1M

Previous: $14.7M-51.7%
Operating Income

$15.2M

Previous: $32.1M-52.6%
Gross Profit

-$116M

Previous: -$120M+3.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$40.9M

Previous: $32.1M+27.4%
Total Assets

$930M

Previous: $962M-3.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.4M

Previous: $2.6M+69.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Donnelley Financial Solutions · Revenue · Quarterly

$210M

Q3 2020+6.9%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Donnelley Financial Solutions · $210M total across 3 segments · Q3 2020

  • Tech-enabled Services
    $105M
  • Print and Distribution
    $53.9M
  • Software Solutions
    $51.1M

Forward guidance

The implementation of SEC Rule 30e-3, Rule 498A, and the Company’s exiting of certain printing and distribution relationships is expected to reduce the Company’s print-related net sales by approximately $130 million to $140 million, and the associated reduction in non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA is expected to be approximately $5 million to $10 million in 2021. The Company reaffirms these estimates at this time.

Headwinds

  • Print-related net sales are expected to reduce by approximately $130 million to $140 million due to regulatory changes and exiting certain print-related relationships.
  • Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA is expected to reduce by approximately $5 million to $10 million due to regulatory changes and exiting certain print-related relationships.
  • SEC Rule 30e-3 (elimination or reduction of print annual & semi-annual reports) will reduce print-related net sales.
  • Rule 498A (elimination or reduction of print summary prospectus) will reduce print-related net sales.
  • The Company’s exiting of certain printing and distribution relationships will reduce print-related net sales.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

-2.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.8%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

17 / 42 earnings

Positive

+25.5%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-22.6%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.6%-15.0%-23.6%
Q4 2025+12.3%+21.2%+20.0%
Q3 2025-14.3%-10.3%-5.1%
Q1 2025+3.9%+11.6%+17.4%
Q4 2024-22.6%-26.3%-32.5%
Q3 2024-11.6%-9.5%-5.7%
Q2 2024-7.0%-12.7%-4.0%
Q1 2024-0.6%+0.6%-2.9%
Q4 2023+3.2%+3.9%+1.4%
Q3 2023+1.8%+1.3%+6.9%
Q2 2023+1.0%+2.3%+6.2%
Q1 2023+1.6%+1.7%+8.9%
Q4 2022-14.6%-13.5%-22.0%
Q3 2022-18.9%-16.9%-8.9%
Q2 2022+25.5%+26.9%+17.0%
Q1 2022-14.6%-12.2%+0.4%
Q4 2021-3.9%+0.5%+3.3%
Q3 2021+15.4%+23.0%+12.5%
Q2 2021+10.4%+6.4%+5.3%
Q1 2021-16.4%-14.2%+1.1%
Q4 2020+14.4%+24.3%+20.9%
Q3 2020+2.6%-0.1%+22.4%
Q2 2020+23.1%+17.5%+9.9%
Q1 2020+13.1%+0.3%+35.6%
Q4 2019+1.4%+6.9%-37.3%
Q3 2019-16.4%-14.1%-10.4%
Q2 2019-1.0%-11.3%-22.0%
Q1 2019+6.4%+2.1%-18.3%
Q4 2018-12.0%-10.7%-7.8%
Q3 2018+6.9%+7.3%+1.1%
Q2 2018-10.4%-11.8%+0.8%
Q1 2018-7.3%-7.8%-17.8%
Q4 2017-15.4%-10.1%-14.2%
Q3 2017-8.2%-12.6%-4.5%
Q2 2017-5.9%-9.7%-7.7%
Q1 2016-2.2%-1.4%+2.6%
Q1 2017+3.6%-0.9%+15.7%
Q2 2016-13.9%-18.4%-25.9%
Q4 2016-13.9%-18.4%-25.9%
Q4 2014-13.9%-18.4%-25.9%
Q4 2015-5.5%-0.7%-2.0%
Q3 2016-5.5%-0.7%-2.0%
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015

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