NYSE$DFIN

Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2019.

Donnelley Financial Solutions reported a decrease in net sales and an increase in net earnings for the fourth quarter of 2019. The company's non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA margin improved due to cost savings initiatives and improved business mix. The company also announced a stock repurchase program and issued full-year 2020 guidance.

  • GAAP fully diluted net earnings per share increased by $0.23 from the prior year, and non-GAAP fully diluted earnings per share increased by $0.28 from the prior year.
  • Operating cash flow increased by 5.0% from the prior year, and free cash flow increased by 17.8% from the prior year.
  • SaaS net sales reached a record quarterly amount of $49.8 million, accounting for 26.2% of total net sales.
  • Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA margin improved by 400 basis points from the prior year, driven by cost controls and an improved business mix.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$190M

Previous: $200M-5.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.22

Previous: -$0.06+466.7%
Adjusted EBITDA

$26.1M

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

13.7%

Previous: 9.7%+41.2%
Gross Margin

37.9%

No prior period
Operating Margin

3.4%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$9.7M

Previous: $14.3M-32.2%
Free Cash Flow

$49M

Previous: $41.6M+17.8%
Net Income

$7M

Previous: -$1M+800.0%
Operating Income

$6.4M

Previous: $3.4M+88.2%
Gross Profit

$72.1M

Previous: $70.5M+2.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$17.2M

Previous: $47.3M-63.6%
Total Assets

$887M

Previous: $869M+2.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.2M

Previous: $2M-40.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Donnelley Financial Solutions · Revenue · Quarterly

$190M

Q4 2019-5%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Donnelley Financial Solutions · $180M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Tech-enabled Services
    $80.4M-8.0%
  • Software Solutions
    $73.2M+5.3%
  • Print and Distribution
    $26.4M-17.0%

Forward guidance

The company provided full-year guidance for 2020.

Tailwinds

  • Net Sales $860 to $880 million
  • Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA $140 to $145 million
  • Operating cash flow $70 to $75 million
  • Free cash flow $35 to $40 million
  • Diluted share count Approximately 35 million

Headwinds

  • Depreciation and amortization Approximately $55 million
  • Interest expense Approximately $30 million
  • Non-GAAP effective tax rate 29% to 31%
  • Capital expenditures Approximately $35 million
  • Excludes the impact of potential share repurchases

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

-2.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.8%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

17 / 42 earnings

Positive

+25.5%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-22.6%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.6%-15.0%-23.6%
Q4 2025+12.3%+21.2%+20.0%
Q3 2025-14.3%-10.3%-5.1%
Q1 2025+3.9%+11.6%+17.4%
Q4 2024-22.6%-26.3%-32.5%
Q3 2024-11.6%-9.5%-5.7%
Q2 2024-7.0%-12.7%-4.0%
Q1 2024-0.6%+0.6%-2.9%
Q4 2023+3.2%+3.9%+1.4%
Q3 2023+1.8%+1.3%+6.9%
Q2 2023+1.0%+2.3%+6.2%
Q1 2023+1.6%+1.7%+8.9%
Q4 2022-14.6%-13.5%-22.0%
Q3 2022-18.9%-16.9%-8.9%
Q2 2022+25.5%+26.9%+17.0%
Q1 2022-14.6%-12.2%+0.4%
Q4 2021-3.9%+0.5%+3.3%
Q3 2021+15.4%+23.0%+12.5%
Q2 2021+10.4%+6.4%+5.3%
Q1 2021-16.4%-14.2%+1.1%
Q4 2020+14.4%+24.3%+20.9%
Q3 2020+2.6%-0.1%+22.4%
Q2 2020+23.1%+17.5%+9.9%
Q1 2020+13.1%+0.3%+35.6%
Q4 2019+1.4%+6.9%-37.3%
Q3 2019-16.4%-14.1%-10.4%
Q2 2019-1.0%-11.3%-22.0%
Q1 2019+6.4%+2.1%-18.3%
Q4 2018-12.0%-10.7%-7.8%
Q3 2018+6.9%+7.3%+1.1%
Q2 2018-10.4%-11.8%+0.8%
Q1 2018-7.3%-7.8%-17.8%
Q4 2017-15.4%-10.1%-14.2%
Q3 2017-8.2%-12.6%-4.5%
Q2 2017-5.9%-9.7%-7.7%
Q1 2016-2.2%-1.4%+2.6%
Q1 2017+3.6%-0.9%+15.7%
Q2 2016-13.9%-18.4%-25.9%
Q4 2016-13.9%-18.4%-25.9%
Q4 2014-13.9%-18.4%-25.9%
Q4 2015-5.5%-0.7%-2.0%
Q3 2016-5.5%-0.7%-2.0%
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015

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