NYSE$CLF

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Cleveland-Cliffs reported record annual revenue and net income, driven by strategic acquisitions and strong demand.

Cleveland-Cliffs reported Q4 2021 consolidated revenues of $5.3 billion and a net income of $899 million, or $1.69 per diluted share. The company's Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $1.5 billion. They also announced a $1 billion share repurchase program.

  • Record annual revenue of $20.4 billion.
  • Record annual net income of $3.0 billion.
  • Record annual Adjusted EBITDA of $5.3 billion.
  • Announced $1 billion share repurchase program.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.35B

Previous: $2.26B+137.0%
EPS (adj)

$1.78

Previous: $0.24+641.7%
Adjusted EBITDA

$1.46B

Previous: $286M+409.1%
Steel Shipments

3.4K

Previous: 1.9K+82.1%
Avg Selling Price

$1.42K

Previous: $880.00+61.7%
Capital Expenditures

$232M

Previous: $146M+58.8%
Free Cash Flow

$905M

Previous: -$354M+355.7%
Net Income

$899M

Previous: $74M+1114.9%
Operating Income

$1.12B

Previous: $107M+945.8%
Gross Profit

$1.27B

Previous: $243M+424.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$48M

Previous: $112M-57.1%
Total Assets

$19B

Previous: $16.8B+13.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Cleveland-Cliffs · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.35B

Q4 2021+137%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Cleveland-Cliffs · $5.87B total across 1 segment · Q3 2021

  • Steelmaking
    $5.87B

Forward guidance

Cleveland-Cliffs anticipates a phenomenal year for profitability in 2022, driven by demand rebound and renewed contracts at higher selling prices. The company expects its 2022 average selling price to be approximately $1,225 per net ton, based on successful contract renewals and current steel futures curve.

Tailwinds

  • Demand on the rebound, particularly in automotive.
  • Vast majority of fixed-price contractual volumes at substantially higher selling prices.
  • Expectation of higher average selling prices for steel in 2022 than in 2021.
  • Limited needs for capex.
  • Comfortable to implement shareholder-focused actions.

Headwinds

  • Automotive clients may not resolve supply chain issues.
  • Potential lighter demand from service centers.
  • Short-term impact on unit costs due to accelerated maintenance.
  • Uncertainties associated with the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Volatility of steel, iron ore and scrap metal market prices.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.5%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

40 / 73 earnings

Positive

+23.1%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-21.1%

Q4 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.6%+0.3%+10.0%
Q4 2025-16.4%-29.5%-37.0%
Q3 2025+21.4%-1.4%-15.5%
Q2 2025-0.7%-1.9%+9.9%
Q1 2025-15.9%-10.7%-10.5%
Q4 2024-3.2%-2.8%-16.3%
Q3 2024-12.5%-3.0%-6.3%
Q2 2024+4.7%+2.0%-15.4%
Q1 2024-10.9%-14.1%-17.6%
Q4 2023+9.3%+10.4%+10.2%
Q3 2023+7.3%+9.9%+15.5%
Q2 2023+9.9%+7.0%-5.1%
Q1 2023-3.8%-3.1%-10.6%
Q4 2022+2.4%-0.6%-11.4%
Q3 2022-5.0%-13.4%+2.4%
Q2 2022-3.4%-2.9%+3.8%
Q1 2022-6.2%-7.2%-26.3%
Q4 2021-11.8%-5.2%+23.4%
Q3 2021+20.1%+17.2%+3.7%
Q2 2021+1.9%+5.1%+8.5%
Q1 2021+5.5%+9.6%+5.9%
Q4 2020-21.1%-13.1%-2.0%
Q3 2020+3.0%-3.5%+11.6%
Q2 2020-10.8%-5.9%+11.5%
Q1 2020-8.9%-14.9%+36.7%
Q4 2019-6.7%-15.0%-58.0%
Q3 2019+0.1%+3.6%+11.2%
Q2 2019+3.1%+0.6%-24.9%
Q1 2019+6.1%+5.0%-2.1%
Q4 2018+6.9%+5.2%-10.3%
Q3 2018-1.2%-11.2%-10.3%
Q2 2018+23.1%+22.2%+11.5%
Q1 2018+1.0%+4.0%+19.7%
Q4 2017-8.6%-11.0%-10.3%
Q3 2017-8.3%-8.2%-17.6%
Q2 2017-8.2%-3.6%+1.2%
Q1 2017-6.5%-7.8%-14.6%
Q4 2016+17.1%+26.4%-8.2%
Q3 2016-12.4%-12.1%+59.8%
Q2 2016+0.8%+1.4%-26.5%
Q1 2016+22.3%
Q4 2015+4.6%
Q3 2015+4.5%
Q2 2015-10.8%
Q1 2015-11.7%
Q4 2014+5.9%
Q3 2014+17.2%
Q2 2014-0.8%
Q1 2014-1.6%
Q4 2013+5.3%
Q3 2013+6.7%
Q2 2013+7.7%
Q1 2013+21.0%
Q4 2012-19.6%
Q3 2012-12.3%
Q2 2012-9.6%
Q1 2012-4.3%
Q4 2011-2.9%
Q3 2011+2.5%
Q2 2011-4.0%
Q1 2011-0.2%
Q1 2009+3.9%
Q4 2010+3.9%
Q3 2010+4.7%
Q2 2010+4.5%
Q1 2010+1.5%
Q4 2007+13.1%
Q4 2009+13.1%
Q3 2009+1.7%
Q3 2008+1.7%
Q2 2008+10.2%
Q2 2009+10.2%
Q4 2008+10.2%

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