NYSE$CLF

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Cleveland-Cliffs reported strong Q3 2023 results driven by robust automotive shipments and effective cost management.

Cleveland-Cliffs reported a net income of $275 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $614 million. The company generated over $600 million in free cash flow, which was used to reduce debt and repurchase shares. Record automotive steel shipments and a decrease in unit cost per ton contributed to the positive results.

  • Steel shipments exceeded 4 million tons for the third consecutive quarter.
  • Free cash flow generation was over $600 million, enabling debt reduction and share repurchases.
  • Automotive steel shipments reached a new record.
  • Unit cost per ton of steel decreased by $165 compared to the previous year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.61B

Previous: $5.65B-0.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.54

Previous: $0.29+86.2%
Adjusted EBITDA

$614M

Previous: $452M+35.8%
Steel Shipments

4.1M

Previous: 3.6K+112857.4%
Avg Selling Price

$1.2K

Previous: $1.36K-11.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$481M

Previous: -$716M+32.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$217M

Previous: -$564M+61.5%
Net Income

$264M

Previous: $152M+73.7%
Operating Income

$325M

Previous: $187M+73.8%
Gross Profit

$480M

Previous: $348M+37.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$31M

Previous: $56M-44.6%
Total Assets

$18.1B

Previous: $19.7B-8.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Cleveland-Cliffs · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.61B

Q3 2023-0.8%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Cleveland-Cliffs · $5.87B total across 1 segment · Q3 2021

  • Steelmaking
    $5.87B

Forward guidance

The Company expects a further $15 per net ton reduction in steel unit costs from Q3 to Q4 2023, with additional cost reductions expected into 2024. Working capital is expected to provide a significant benefit to free cash flow in Q4 2023. The full-year 2023 capital expenditures expectation lowered to $670 million.

Tailwinds

  • Anticipated cost reduction of $15 per net ton in steel unit costs from Q3 to Q4 2023.
  • Further cost reductions expected into 2024.
  • Working capital expected to significantly benefit free cash flow in Q4 2023.
  • Full-year 2023 capital expenditures expectation lowered to $670 million.
  • Locked in approximate $250 million cost reduction related to purchases of metallurgical coal.

Headwinds

  • Continued volatility of steel, iron ore and scrap metal market prices.
  • Uncertainties associated with the highly competitive and cyclical steel industry.
  • Potential weaknesses and uncertainties in global economic conditions.
  • Excess global steelmaking capacity and oversupply of iron ore.
  • Prevalence of steel imports and reduced market demand, including as a result of inflationary pressures.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.5%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

40 / 73 earnings

Positive

+23.1%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-21.1%

Q4 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.6%+0.3%+10.0%
Q4 2025-16.4%-29.5%-37.0%
Q3 2025+21.4%-1.4%-15.5%
Q2 2025-0.7%-1.9%+9.9%
Q1 2025-15.9%-10.7%-10.5%
Q4 2024-3.2%-2.8%-16.3%
Q3 2024-12.5%-3.0%-6.3%
Q2 2024+4.7%+2.0%-15.4%
Q1 2024-10.9%-14.1%-17.6%
Q4 2023+9.3%+10.4%+10.2%
Q3 2023+7.3%+9.9%+15.5%
Q2 2023+9.9%+7.0%-5.1%
Q1 2023-3.8%-3.1%-10.6%
Q4 2022+2.4%-0.6%-11.4%
Q3 2022-5.0%-13.4%+2.4%
Q2 2022-3.4%-2.9%+3.8%
Q1 2022-6.2%-7.2%-26.3%
Q4 2021-11.8%-5.2%+23.4%
Q3 2021+20.1%+17.2%+3.7%
Q2 2021+1.9%+5.1%+8.5%
Q1 2021+5.5%+9.6%+5.9%
Q4 2020-21.1%-13.1%-2.0%
Q3 2020+3.0%-3.5%+11.6%
Q2 2020-10.8%-5.9%+11.5%
Q1 2020-8.9%-14.9%+36.7%
Q4 2019-6.7%-15.0%-58.0%
Q3 2019+0.1%+3.6%+11.2%
Q2 2019+3.1%+0.6%-24.9%
Q1 2019+6.1%+5.0%-2.1%
Q4 2018+6.9%+5.2%-10.3%
Q3 2018-1.2%-11.2%-10.3%
Q2 2018+23.1%+22.2%+11.5%
Q1 2018+1.0%+4.0%+19.7%
Q4 2017-8.6%-11.0%-10.3%
Q3 2017-8.3%-8.2%-17.6%
Q2 2017-8.2%-3.6%+1.2%
Q1 2017-6.5%-7.8%-14.6%
Q4 2016+17.1%+26.4%-8.2%
Q3 2016-12.4%-12.1%+59.8%
Q2 2016+0.8%+1.4%-26.5%
Q1 2016+22.3%
Q4 2015+4.6%
Q3 2015+4.5%
Q2 2015-10.8%
Q1 2015-11.7%
Q4 2014+5.9%
Q3 2014+17.2%
Q2 2014-0.8%
Q1 2014-1.6%
Q4 2013+5.3%
Q3 2013+6.7%
Q2 2013+7.7%
Q1 2013+21.0%
Q4 2012-19.6%
Q3 2012-12.3%
Q2 2012-9.6%
Q1 2012-4.3%
Q4 2011-2.9%
Q3 2011+2.5%
Q2 2011-4.0%
Q1 2011-0.2%
Q1 2009+3.9%
Q4 2010+3.9%
Q3 2010+4.7%
Q2 2010+4.5%
Q1 2010+1.5%
Q4 2007+13.1%
Q4 2009+13.1%
Q3 2009+1.7%
Q3 2008+1.7%
Q2 2008+10.2%
Q2 2009+10.2%
Q4 2008+10.2%

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