NYSE$CLF

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Cleveland-Cliffs reported Q4 2020 results, marked by the acquisition of ArcelorMittal USA and the commencement of operations at the Toledo direct reduction plant.

Cleveland-Cliffs reported fourth-quarter 2020 consolidated revenues of $2.3 billion, a significant increase from the prior year. The company recorded a net income of $74 million, or $0.14 per diluted share, which included acquisition-related costs and amortization of inventory step-up. Adjusted EBITDA was $286 million, compared to $111 million in the fourth quarter of 2019.

  • Completed the acquisition of ArcelorMittal USA, transforming Cleveland-Cliffs into the largest flat-rolled steelmaker in North America.
  • Fourth-quarter consolidated revenues reached $2.3 billion, a substantial increase compared to the previous year.
  • The company reported a net income of $74 million, or $0.14 per diluted share, for the fourth quarter.
  • Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter was $286 million, a significant improvement from the prior year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.26B

Previous: $534M+322.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.24

Previous: $0.25-4.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$286M

Previous: $111M+157.4%
Steel Shipments

1.9K

Previous: 5.8K-68.2%
Avg Selling Price

$880.00

Previous: $90.79+869.3%
Capital Expenditures

$146M

Previous: $191M-23.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$354M

Previous: -$16.7M-2019.2%
Net Income

$74M

Previous: $63.2M+17.1%
Operating Income

$107M

Previous: $81.7M+31.0%
Gross Profit

$243M

Previous: $127M+91.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$112M

Previous: $353M-68.2%
Total Assets

$16.8B

Previous: $3.5B+378.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Cleveland-Cliffs · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.26B

Q4 2020+322.4%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Cleveland-Cliffs · $5.87B total across 1 segment · Q3 2021

  • Steelmaking
    $5.87B

Forward guidance

Cleveland-Cliffs anticipates a continuation of the favorable market environment, expecting first-quarter 2021 steel product shipments of approximately 4 million net tons and a significant improvement in first-quarter 2021 Adjusted EBITDA from the fourth quarter of 2020. The company also anticipates enhanced profitability in the second quarter of 2021 due to initial sales of HBI to outside clients.

Tailwinds

  • Continuation of the favorable market environment.
  • Positive impact of lagged pricing mechanisms in steel sales.
  • Expected first-quarter 2021 steel product shipments of approximately 4 million net tons.
  • Significant improvement in first-quarter 2021 Adjusted EBITDA from the fourth quarter of 2020.
  • Enhanced profitability in the second quarter of 2021 due to initial sales of HBI to outside clients.

Headwinds

  • Potential disruptions to operations relating to the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Continued volatility of steel and iron ore market prices.
  • Uncertainties associated with the highly competitive and cyclical steel industry.
  • Potential weaknesses and uncertainties in global economic conditions.
  • Excess global steelmaking capacity and oversupply of iron ore.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.5%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

40 / 73 earnings

Positive

+23.1%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-21.1%

Q4 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.6%+0.3%+10.0%
Q4 2025-16.4%-29.5%-37.0%
Q3 2025+21.4%-1.4%-15.5%
Q2 2025-0.7%-1.9%+9.9%
Q1 2025-15.9%-10.7%-10.5%
Q4 2024-3.2%-2.8%-16.3%
Q3 2024-12.5%-3.0%-6.3%
Q2 2024+4.7%+2.0%-15.4%
Q1 2024-10.9%-14.1%-17.6%
Q4 2023+9.3%+10.4%+10.2%
Q3 2023+7.3%+9.9%+15.5%
Q2 2023+9.9%+7.0%-5.1%
Q1 2023-3.8%-3.1%-10.6%
Q4 2022+2.4%-0.6%-11.4%
Q3 2022-5.0%-13.4%+2.4%
Q2 2022-3.4%-2.9%+3.8%
Q1 2022-6.2%-7.2%-26.3%
Q4 2021-11.8%-5.2%+23.4%
Q3 2021+20.1%+17.2%+3.7%
Q2 2021+1.9%+5.1%+8.5%
Q1 2021+5.5%+9.6%+5.9%
Q4 2020-21.1%-13.1%-2.0%
Q3 2020+3.0%-3.5%+11.6%
Q2 2020-10.8%-5.9%+11.5%
Q1 2020-8.9%-14.9%+36.7%
Q4 2019-6.7%-15.0%-58.0%
Q3 2019+0.1%+3.6%+11.2%
Q2 2019+3.1%+0.6%-24.9%
Q1 2019+6.1%+5.0%-2.1%
Q4 2018+6.9%+5.2%-10.3%
Q3 2018-1.2%-11.2%-10.3%
Q2 2018+23.1%+22.2%+11.5%
Q1 2018+1.0%+4.0%+19.7%
Q4 2017-8.6%-11.0%-10.3%
Q3 2017-8.3%-8.2%-17.6%
Q2 2017-8.2%-3.6%+1.2%
Q1 2017-6.5%-7.8%-14.6%
Q4 2016+17.1%+26.4%-8.2%
Q3 2016-12.4%-12.1%+59.8%
Q2 2016+0.8%+1.4%-26.5%
Q1 2016+22.3%
Q4 2015+4.6%
Q3 2015+4.5%
Q2 2015-10.8%
Q1 2015-11.7%
Q4 2014+5.9%
Q3 2014+17.2%
Q2 2014-0.8%
Q1 2014-1.6%
Q4 2013+5.3%
Q3 2013+6.7%
Q2 2013+7.7%
Q1 2013+21.0%
Q4 2012-19.6%
Q3 2012-12.3%
Q2 2012-9.6%
Q1 2012-4.3%
Q4 2011-2.9%
Q3 2011+2.5%
Q2 2011-4.0%
Q1 2011-0.2%
Q1 2009+3.9%
Q4 2010+3.9%
Q3 2010+4.7%
Q2 2010+4.5%
Q1 2010+1.5%
Q4 2007+13.1%
Q4 2009+13.1%
Q3 2009+1.7%
Q3 2008+1.7%
Q2 2008+10.2%
Q2 2009+10.2%
Q4 2008+10.2%

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