NYSE$CLF

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Cleveland-Cliffs reported a strong first quarter, marked by significant revenue growth and a return to profitability following strategic acquisitions.

Cleveland-Cliffs reported first-quarter 2021 consolidated revenues of $4.0 billion, a significant increase from the prior-year's $359 million. The company recorded a net income of $41 million, or $0.07 per diluted share, a substantial improvement compared to the prior-year's net loss of $52 million, or $0.18 per diluted share. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $513 million, compared to $23 million in the first quarter of 2020. The company has increased its full-year 2021 adjusted EBITDA guidance to approximately $4.0 billion.

  • Consolidated revenues reached $4.0 billion, significantly up from $359 million year-over-year.
  • Net income was $41 million, or $0.07 per diluted share, a turnaround from the previous year's net loss.
  • Adjusted EBITDA surged to $513 million, compared to $23 million in the same quarter last year.
  • Full-year 2021 adjusted EBITDA guidance increased to approximately $4.0 billion, reflecting improved contractual renewals and market conditions.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.05B

Previous: $359M+1027.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.35

Previous: $0.04+775.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$513M

Previous: $23M+2130.4%
Steel Shipments

4.1K

Previous: 197+2003.6%
Avg Selling Price

$900.00

Previous: $980.00-8.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$136M

Previous: -$138M+1.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$95M

Previous: -$190M+50.1%
Net Income

$41M

Previous: -$52.1M+178.7%
Operating Income

$177M

Previous: -$78.8M+324.6%
Gross Profit

$288M

Previous: $3.1M+9190.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$110M

Previous: $187M-41.1%
Total Assets

$17.2B

Previous: $8.91B+93.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Cleveland-Cliffs · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.05B

Q1 2021+1,027.5%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Cleveland-Cliffs · $5.87B total across 1 segment · Q3 2021

  • Steelmaking
    $5.87B

Forward guidance

The Company has increased its full-year 2021 adjusted EBITDA guidance to approximately $4.0 billion, up $500 million from its previous guidance of approximately $3.5 billion. The Company's second-quarter adjusted EBITDA expectation is $1.2 billion.

Tailwinds

  • Increased full-year 2021 adjusted EBITDA guidance to approximately $4.0 billion.
  • Second-quarter adjusted EBITDA expectation is $1.2 billion.
  • Anticipates record levels of free cash flow.
  • Expects to pay down a substantial amount of debt.
  • Aims to reach leverage of less than 1x by the end of the year.

Headwinds

  • Guidance is based on the assumption that the US HRC index price averages $1,100 per net ton for the last nine months of the year.
  • Net cash used by operating activities of $373 million in the first quarter of 2021 was impacted by approximately $650 million of net working capital build primarily related to the completion of the unwind of the ArcelorMittal USA factoring agreement.
  • Increasing receivables due to rising prices.
  • Made $118 million in deferred pension contributions under the CARES Act during the first quarter, which will not recur.
  • Continued volatility of steel and iron ore market prices.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.5%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

40 / 73 earnings

Positive

+23.1%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-21.1%

Q4 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.6%+0.3%+10.0%
Q4 2025-16.4%-29.5%-37.0%
Q3 2025+21.4%-1.4%-15.5%
Q2 2025-0.7%-1.9%+9.9%
Q1 2025-15.9%-10.7%-10.5%
Q4 2024-3.2%-2.8%-16.3%
Q3 2024-12.5%-3.0%-6.3%
Q2 2024+4.7%+2.0%-15.4%
Q1 2024-10.9%-14.1%-17.6%
Q4 2023+9.3%+10.4%+10.2%
Q3 2023+7.3%+9.9%+15.5%
Q2 2023+9.9%+7.0%-5.1%
Q1 2023-3.8%-3.1%-10.6%
Q4 2022+2.4%-0.6%-11.4%
Q3 2022-5.0%-13.4%+2.4%
Q2 2022-3.4%-2.9%+3.8%
Q1 2022-6.2%-7.2%-26.3%
Q4 2021-11.8%-5.2%+23.4%
Q3 2021+20.1%+17.2%+3.7%
Q2 2021+1.9%+5.1%+8.5%
Q1 2021+5.5%+9.6%+5.9%
Q4 2020-21.1%-13.1%-2.0%
Q3 2020+3.0%-3.5%+11.6%
Q2 2020-10.8%-5.9%+11.5%
Q1 2020-8.9%-14.9%+36.7%
Q4 2019-6.7%-15.0%-58.0%
Q3 2019+0.1%+3.6%+11.2%
Q2 2019+3.1%+0.6%-24.9%
Q1 2019+6.1%+5.0%-2.1%
Q4 2018+6.9%+5.2%-10.3%
Q3 2018-1.2%-11.2%-10.3%
Q2 2018+23.1%+22.2%+11.5%
Q1 2018+1.0%+4.0%+19.7%
Q4 2017-8.6%-11.0%-10.3%
Q3 2017-8.3%-8.2%-17.6%
Q2 2017-8.2%-3.6%+1.2%
Q1 2017-6.5%-7.8%-14.6%
Q4 2016+17.1%+26.4%-8.2%
Q3 2016-12.4%-12.1%+59.8%
Q2 2016+0.8%+1.4%-26.5%
Q1 2016+22.3%
Q4 2015+4.6%
Q3 2015+4.5%
Q2 2015-10.8%
Q1 2015-11.7%
Q4 2014+5.9%
Q3 2014+17.2%
Q2 2014-0.8%
Q1 2014-1.6%
Q4 2013+5.3%
Q3 2013+6.7%
Q2 2013+7.7%
Q1 2013+21.0%
Q4 2012-19.6%
Q3 2012-12.3%
Q2 2012-9.6%
Q1 2012-4.3%
Q4 2011-2.9%
Q3 2011+2.5%
Q2 2011-4.0%
Q1 2011-0.2%
Q1 2009+3.9%
Q4 2010+3.9%
Q3 2010+4.7%
Q2 2010+4.5%
Q1 2010+1.5%
Q4 2007+13.1%
Q4 2009+13.1%
Q3 2009+1.7%
Q3 2008+1.7%
Q2 2008+10.2%
Q2 2009+10.2%
Q4 2008+10.2%

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